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Union Brescia crestUnion Brescia
v
PRO Vercelli crestPRO Vercelli

Serie C - Girone A | Fri 09 Oct, 19:30

Union Brescia v PRO Vercelli Stats

Data last updated: Thu 08 Oct 2026, 09:03 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Union Brescia hosts PRO Vercelli in a Serie C - Girone A clash where both teams have shown attacking intent but defensive vulnerabilities. Union Brescia sits comfortably in 2nd place with 16 points, while PRO Vercelli is mid-table at 12th with 9 points. Both sides have averaged around 1.5 goals per game combined and have a 60% rate of matches featuring goals from both teams, indicating a tactical openness and willingness to engage offensively. This fixture promises a competitive encounter with chances at both ends, reflecting their recent form and league positioning.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Both teams have a 60% BTTS rate this season, showing consistent goal-scoring on both sides.
  • Union Brescia ranks 2nd in the league, suggesting strong offensive capabilities.
  • PRO Vercelli concedes an average of 1.8 goals per game, indicating defensive frailties.
  • Recent matches average 2.5 goals per game between these teams, supporting a goal-rich encounter.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 70% chance for both teams to score, significantly higher than the implied market chance of 42%, indicating strong value in this bet. Both Union Brescia and PRO Vercelli have a 60% BTTS rate this season, reflecting their attacking tendencies and defensive lapses. The average goals per game in their recent meetings and current form further support the likelihood of goals at both ends. No data limitations affect , making this a well-supported selection.

Model Chance65% model chance vs 50% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Implied Market Chance65% model chance vs 50% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
BTTS Rate Both Teams60% each
Strong positive
Average Goals in H2H2.5 goals per game
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both Union Brescia and PRO Vercelli have shown offensive promise but also defensive vulnerabilities, making both teams to score a logical pick. Union Brescia's strong league position and PRO Vercelli's tendency to concede goals create a tactical scenario where both sides are likely to find the net. This bet aligns well with recent form and scoring patterns.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score

“The attacking styles and defensive gaps of both Union Brescia and PRO Vercelli set the stage for goals at both ends, making BTTS a compelling angle in this fixture.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Both teams have a 60% BTTS rate this season, showing consistent goal-scoring on both sides.

Union Brescia ranks 2nd in the league, suggesting strong offensive capabilities.

PRO Vercelli concedes an average of 1.8 goals per game, indicating defensive frailties.

Recent matches average 2.5 goals per game between these teams, supporting a goal-rich encounter.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last two head-to-head matches, an average of 2.5 goals were scored, indicating a moderately high-scoring trend.
  • This sample suggests a tempo and openness conducive to goals, supporting the BTTS and Over 2.5 goals narratives for this match.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Union Brescia1.8
Avg goals scored
PRO Vercelli1.2
Union Brescia1
Avg goals conceded
PRO Vercelli1.8
Union Brescia60%
BTTS rate
PRO Vercelli60%
Union Brescia60%
Over 2.5 goals
PRO Vercelli60%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
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Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 51%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 71%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 53%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 35%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 34%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Both teams maintain a 60% rate of matches featuring goals from both sides this season, supported by an average of 2.5 goals in their recent head-to-head clashes. This pattern highlights a tendency for open play and mutual scoring opportunities, reinforcing the BTTS selection.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
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PRO Vercelli Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 38%
4.4
Check odds @ 4.4
PRO Vercelli to WinBet365 guide price · model 24%
6.5
Check odds @ 6.5
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 53%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Union Brescia Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 69%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
DrawBet365 guide price · model 25%
4.2
Check odds @ 4.2
The 65% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 50% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Union Brescia show a 60% BTTS rate and PRO Vercelli show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Union Brescia

DDWDD
Last 51W 4D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 4D 0L
04 Oct 2026A Lecco2-2
27 Sep 2026H Dolomiti Bellunesi1-1
20 Sep 2026A Alcione4-0
17 Sep 2026H Treviso2-2
13 Sep 2026A Trento0-0

PRO Vercelli

WDLDL
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 3D 3L
03 Oct 2026H Athletic Carpi2-0
26 Sep 2026A Giana Erminio1-1
21 Sep 2026A Trento0-4
17 Sep 2026H Alcione2-2
13 Sep 2026A Treviso1-2
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 49% vs implied 36% · edge +12.4 pts
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
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PRO Vercelli Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 38%
4.4
Check odds @ 4.4
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 85%
1.07
Check odds @ 1.07
PRO Vercelli to WinBet365 guide price · model 24%
6.5
Check odds @ 6.5
Union Brescia Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 69%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
DrawBet365 guide price · model 25%
4.2
Check odds @ 4.2
Union Brescia to WinBet365 guide price · model 60%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Union Brescia has accumulated 7 points recently with an average of 1.8 goals scored and 1 conceded per game, while PRO Vercelli has 5 points with 1.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. Both teams' recent form underscores their offensive capabilities and defensive lapses, aligning with the BTTS outcome.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Union Brescia Over 2.5
60%PRO Vercelli Over 2.5
2.5H2H avg goals
Over the last two head-to-head matches, an average of 2.5 goals were scored, indicating a moderately high-scoring trend. This sample suggests a tempo and openness conducive to goals, supporting the BTTS and Over 2.5 goals narratives for this match.

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