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Brann crestBrann
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Viking crestViking

Eliteserien | Fri 09 Oct, 18:00

Brann v Viking Stats

Data last updated: Thu 08 Oct 2026, 09:02 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Brann hosts Viking in this Eliteserien clash with Viking leading the table and Brann sitting mid-table. Viking's potent attack, averaging 3 goals per game recently, contrasts with Brann's more modest scoring but a decent 60% rate of high-scoring matches. Both teams have shown offensive intent, with Viking's aggressive forward line and Brann's willingness to engage in open play setting the stage for a potentially goal-rich encounter. Tactical openness and recent scoring trends suggest an entertaining match with multiple goals likely.

BT4Y best bet

Over 3.5 Goals

  • Viking averages 3 goals per game recently, showing strong scoring form
  • Brann has a 60% rate of matches with over 2.5 goals, indicating openness
  • Head-to-head average goals stand at 3.2 per game over last 10 meetings
  • Both teams maintain high shot volumes, with Viking averaging 19.2 shots per game
  • Viking's top attacker E. Botheim has 2 goals and 3.73 shots on target per 90 minutes

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model estimates a 55.6% chance for over 3.5 goals, supported by Viking's prolific attack and Brann's tendency for higher scoring games. Both teams generate high shot volumes and have shown recent matches with multiple goals. The head-to-head average of 3.2 goals per game further reinforces the likelihood of a goal-heavy fixture. No data limitations affect , making this a solid value bet at the current .

Model Chance55.6% model chance vs 50% implied (+5.6 pts)
Strong positive
Implied Chance55.6% model chance vs 50% implied (+5.6 pts)
Positive
Recent Scoring FormViking 3.0, Brann 1.2 goals per game
Strong positive
Head-to-Head Average Goals3.2 goals per game
Positive
Shot VolumeHigh shots and shots on target for both teams
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect a lively game with Viking's attacking prowess likely to challenge Brann's defense repeatedly. Viking's recent goal-scoring form combined with Brann's openness in matches suggests over 3.5 goals is a plausible outcome. The data supports a high-scoring contest driven by Viking's offensive threats and Brann's vulnerability to conceding multiple goals.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match attacking dynamics and goal potential

“Viking's offensive efficiency and Brann's susceptibility to conceding create a compelling case for a high-scoring match. Their combined shot volumes and recent goal trends point towards a fixture where goals should flow.”

Key Data Signals

Over 3.5 Goals evidence

Viking averages 3 goals per game recently, showing strong scoring form

Brann has a 60% rate of matches with over 2.5 goals, indicating openness

Head-to-head average goals stand at 3.2 per game over last 10 meetings

Both teams maintain high shot volumes, with Viking averaging 19.2 shots per game

What To Watch In The Data

Over 3.5 Goals notes

  • Over the last ten meetings, the average goals scored is 3.2, indicating a history of relatively high-scoring games.
  • Recent matches show a trend toward open play and attacking tempo, suggesting that over 2.5 goals is a frequent outcome and that this fixture is likely to continue that pattern.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Brann1.2
Avg goals scored
Viking3
Brann1
Avg goals conceded
Viking1
Brann40%
BTTS rate
Viking80%
Brann60%
Over 2.5 goals
Viking80%
Market aligned with main pickOver 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 56% vs implied 50% · edge +5.6 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
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Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 88%
1.11
Check odds @ 1.11
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 74%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 34%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 30%
2.88
Check odds @ 2.88
Both teams have shown strong attacking output, with Viking scoring 3 goals per game and Brann contributing to a 60% over 2.5 goals rate. The head-to-head average of 3.2 goals per match supports an open game with multiple scoring chances, making over 3.5 goals a realistic expectation.

Continue the research

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionViking Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 69% vs implied 54% · edge +15 pts
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Load more odds for this section
Viking to WinBet365 guide price · model 65%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 74%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 75%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Brann Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
DrawBetfred guide price · model 22%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
The 55.6% for Over 3.5 Goals sits against roughly 50% implied by the current price (+5.6 pts). The Over 2.5 trend is 60% for Brann and 80% for Viking, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Brann

WLLDW
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 1D 4L
20 Sep 2026H Bodo/Glimt2-1
13 Sep 2026A Start0-2
05 Sep 2026H Lillestrom1-2
30 Aug 2026A Sandefjord0-0
16 Aug 2026H Ham-Kam3-0

Viking

WWDWL
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 107W 2D 1L
20 Sep 2026H Lillestrom3-0
13 Sep 2026H Kristiansund BK8-1
04 Sep 2026A Sandefjord1-1
30 Aug 2026H Aalesund2-1
14 Aug 2026A Rosenborg1-2
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 84% vs implied 74% · edge +10.5 pts
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
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Viking Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 69%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Viking to WinBet365 guide price · model 65%
2
Check odds @ 2
Brann Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 49%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
DrawBetfred guide price · model 22%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
Brann to WinBetfred guide price · model 27%
3
Check odds @ 3
Recent form shows Viking scoring 3 goals per game with an 80% over 2.5 goals rate, while Brann averages 1.2 goals with a 60% over 2.5 rate. These figures highlight Viking's offensive control and Brann's openness, supporting the likelihood of a high-scoring encounter consistent with the over 3.5 goals pick.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Brann Over 2.5
80%Viking Over 2.5
3.2H2H avg goals
Over the last ten meetings, the average goals scored is 3.2, indicating a history of relatively high-scoring games. Recent matches show a trend toward open play and attacking tempo, suggesting that over 2.5 goals is a frequent outcome and that this fixture is likely to continue that pattern.

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