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FC Nordsjaelland crestFC Nordsjaelland
v
Odense crestOdense

Superliga | Fri 09 Oct, 18:00

FC Nordsjaelland v Odense Stats

Data last updated: Thu 08 Oct 2026, 09:02 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This Superliga fixture features FC Nordsjaelland hosting Odense in a contest where Odense aims to improve on a challenging start to the season. FC Nordsjaelland currently sits fourth with 17 points, showing a stronger overall campaign, while Odense is ninth with 9 points, reflecting struggles in consistency. Odense's recent form includes competitive performances despite defensive vulnerabilities, and their tactical approach often involves cautious buildup and counterattacks. The match carries importance for Odense to gain ground and for FC Nordsjaelland to maintain momentum, setting up a contest with tactical discipline and potential for tight moments.

BT4Y best bet

Odense or Draw

  • Odense or Draw offers strong value with a 60.2% versus 38.2% implied .
  • Both teams have a 60% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals, indicating openness in attack.
  • Odense averages 6.4 corners per game, nearly double FC Nordsjaelland's 2.8, showing attacking pressure potential.
  • Odense's higher BTTS rate at 80% suggests they often both score and concede.
  • Key players like M. Ahl-Holmström provide goal threat and shot volume for their teams.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Odense or Draw with a 60.2% chance, reflecting Odense's resilience and ability to avoid defeat despite a lower league position. Odense's attacking pressure, evidenced by higher shots on target and corners, combined with FC Nordsjaelland's defensive concessions, supports this double chance. The price offers positive value given the implied chance of 38.2%. Both teams' tendency for open games with goals aligns with the match context, making Odense or Draw a tactically sound and statistically supported pick.

Model Chance32.8% model chance vs 19% implied (+13.8 pts)
Strong positive
Implied Chance32.8% model chance vs 19% implied (+13.8 pts)
Strong positive
BTTS Rate (Odense)80%
Positive
Corner Advantage (Odense)6.4 vs 2.8
Positive
Shots on Target (Odense)5.0 average
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Odense or Draw is a sensible selection given Odense's ability to generate attacking pressure and avoid defeat in recent matches. FC Nordsjaelland's defensive lapses and Odense's higher corner and BTTS rates suggest a competitive match where Odense can secure at least a point. The pick balances tactical caution with statistical backing.

Main risk

Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Tactical and statistical rationale for Odense or Draw

“Odense's resilience and attacking activity make the double chance a compelling option, especially given their ability to force chances and capitalize on FC Nordsjaelland's defensive vulnerabilities.”

Key Data Signals

Odense or Draw evidence

Odense or Draw offers strong value with a 60.2% versus 38.2% implied .

Both teams have a 60% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals, indicating openness in attack.

Odense averages 6.4 corners per game, nearly double FC Nordsjaelland's 2.8, showing attacking pressure potential.

Odense's higher BTTS rate at 80% suggests they often both score and concede.

What To Watch In The Data

Odense or Draw notes

  • Over the last ten matches, the average goals per game between these teams is 3.2, indicating a tendency for open, attacking games.
  • Both sides have a 60% rate of over 2.5 goals in recent matches, suggesting a match tempo conducive to multiple scoring opportunities and dynamic play.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

FC Nordsjaelland1.6
Avg goals scored
Odense1.2
FC Nordsjaelland1.8
Avg goals conceded
Odense2
FC Nordsjaelland60%
BTTS rate
Odense80%
FC Nordsjaelland60%
Over 2.5 goals
Odense60%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 65% · edge +10.6 pts
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
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Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 47%
2.7
Check odds @ 2.7
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 58%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 40%
2
Check odds @ 2
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Both teams have a 60% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals, and Odense's 80% BTTS rate indicates frequent goal exchanges. This suggests an open game with attacking intent from both sides, increasing the likelihood of goals and supporting a competitive fixture with scoring chances.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 65% · edge +10.6 pts
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
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Odense Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
3.55
Check odds @ 3.55
Odense to WinBetfred guide price · model 33%
5.25
Check odds @ 5.25
DrawBetfred guide price · model 28%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 58%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 62%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
FC Nordsjaelland Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 61%
1.27
Check odds @ 1.27
The 32.8% for Odense or Draw sits against roughly 19% implied by the current price (+13.8 pts).

Continue the research

Useful next reads

corners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

FC Nordsjaelland

LWDLW
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 2D 2L
20 Sep 2026A Viborg1-4
13 Sep 2026H Aarhus2-0
07 Sep 2026A FC Midtjylland2-2
03 Sep 2026A FC Copenhagen0-2
30 Aug 2026H Brondby3-1

Odense

DWLDD
Last 51W 3D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 3D 4L
19 Sep 2026H FC Midtjylland1-1
13 Sep 2026A Randers FC2-1
06 Sep 2026H FC Copenhagen0-5
30 Aug 2026A Lyngby1-1
23 Aug 2026A Aarhus2-2
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 53% vs implied 38% · edge +15 pts
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
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Odense Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
3.55
Check odds @ 3.55
Odense to WinBetfred guide price · model 33%
5.25
Check odds @ 5.25
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 79%
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
DrawBetfred guide price · model 28%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
FC Nordsjaelland Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 61%
1.27
Check odds @ 1.27
FC Nordsjaelland to WinBetfred guide price · model 51%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Recent form data shows FC Nordsjaelland with 7 points and Odense with 6 points from their last matches, indicating a relatively close momentum. Both teams have similar over 2.5 goal rates at 60%, but Odense's higher BTTS rate suggests they are more involved in open, goal-rich games, supporting the double chance pick for Odense or Draw.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%FC Nordsjaelland Over 2.5
60%Odense Over 2.5
3.2H2H avg goals
Over the last ten matches, the average goals per game between these teams is 3.2, indicating a tendency for open, attacking games. Both sides have a 60% rate of over 2.5 goals in recent matches, suggesting a match tempo conducive to multiple scoring opportunities and dynamic play.

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