Ecuador

Curaçao

World Cup | Sun 21 Jun, 01:00

Ecuador v Curaçao Stats

Data last updated: Wed 16 Sep 2026, 15:49 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Ecuador face Curaçao in World Cup on Sun 21 Jun, 01:00. Group E Pressure, Possession Control and a Test of Nerve in Kansas City. Ecuador have conceded just nine goals across their last 20 matches, keeping 11 clean sheets in that run. Ecuador hold defensive and territorial dominance with highly structured possession.

BT4Y best bet

Ecuador Win

At 2/5, Ecuador Win implies roughly 71%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 78%.
Curaçao conceded 18 goals in their last five matches, ensuring lines shift towards a higher total volume.
Ecuador have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the Ecuador Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 78% for Ecuador Win sits against roughly 71% implied by the current price. Ecuador have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the Ecuador Win angle more than a raw possession edge. Curaçao conceded 18 goals in their last five matches, ensuring lines shift towards a higher total volume.

Model chance vs price78% model chance against roughly 71% implied

Positive

Ecuador have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per.Visible data support

Positive

Curaçao conceded 18 goals in their last five matches.Article support

Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Ecuador Win is the preferred angle because curaçao conceded that scoring level in their last five matches, ensuring lines shift towards a higher total volume. Ecuador have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the Ecuador Win angle more than a raw possession edge. That is not glamorous, but it is serious football.

Main risk

That is not glamorous, but it is serious football.

Key Data Signals

Ecuador Win evidence

Curaçao conceded 18 goals in their last five matches, ensuring lines shift towards a higher total volume.

Ecuador have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the Ecuador Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

What To Watch In The Data

Ecuador Win notes

Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Ecuador5

Avg corners for

Curaçao1

Ecuador8

Avg total corners

Curaçao9

Ecuador1

Avg yellow cards

Curaçao0

Ecuador12

Avg shots

Curaçao8

Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 55% vs implied 53% · edge +2.2 pts

1.9

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Over 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 49%

2.1

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Over 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price

3.4

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Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 45%

Check odds @ 2

Over 8.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

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Useful next reads

World Cup fixtures and predictions full betting preview for Ecuador v Curaçao corners trends hub football cards angles player stats betting angles stats dashboard football analysis hub prediction centre best bets research acca fixture filtering

Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Ecuador0

Avg goals scored

Curaçao1

Ecuador1

Avg goals conceded

Curaçao7

Ecuador0%

BTTS rate

Curaçao100%

Ecuador0%

Over 2.5 goals

Curaçao100%

Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 54% vs implied 42% · edge +12 pts

2.38

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BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 33%

5.5

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Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 68%

1.17

Check odds @ 1.17

Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 50%

1.57

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Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 32%

2.38

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BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 37%

1.14

Check odds @ 1.14

Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickEcuador to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 78% vs implied 88% · edge -9.4 pts

1.14

Check odds @ 1.14

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BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 33%

5.5

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Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 55%

1.9

Check odds @ 1.9

Ecuador Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%

1.1

Check odds @ 1.1

Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 45%

Check odds @ 2

Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 50%

1.57

Check odds @ 1.57

Ecuador to Win is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.

Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Ecuador

Last 50W 0D 1L

Last 5 record

Last 100W 0D 1L

15 Jun 2026A Ivory Coast0-1

Curaçao

Last 50W 0D 1L

Last 5 record

Last 100W 0D 1L

14 Jun 2026A Germany1-7

Market aligned with main pickEcuador to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 78% vs implied 88% · edge -9.4 pts

1.14

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Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 86%

1.02

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Ecuador Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%

1.1

Check odds @ 1.1

Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Ecuador wins

0Draws

0Curaçao wins

Market aligned with main pickEcuador to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 78% vs implied 88% · edge -9.4 pts

1.14

Check odds @ 1.14

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BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 33%

5.5

Check odds @ 5.5

Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 50%

1.57

Check odds @ 1.57

There is no strong recent head-to-head sample for Ecuador to Win, which makes current output, injuries and market timing more important than historic meetings.

Season team stats

World Cup

Ecuador4

Played

Curaçao3

Ecuador0.5

Avg goals for

Curaçao0.3

Ecuador1

Avg goals against

Curaçao3

Ecuador1

Clean sheets

Curaçao1

Market aligned with main pickEcuador to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 78% vs implied 88% · edge -9.4 pts

1.14

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Ecuador Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%

1.1

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Season data supports Ecuador to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.

League standings snapshot

Current table context.

Pos	Team	Pts	P	W	D	L	GD
3	Ecuador	4	3	1	1	1	0
4	Curaçao	1	3	0	1	2	-8
4	Ecuador	4	3	1	1	1	0

World Cup standings are background only here: the useful read is whether the form and chance profile translate into control, territory and clear openings in this specific fixture.

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

0%Ecuador Over 2.5

100%Curaçao Over 2.5

-H2H avg goals

The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Ecuador sit at 0% and Curaçao sit at 100%, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

Read full prediction View match centre

Football Stats Hub

Ecuador v Curaçao Stats

Match Report

Ecuador Win

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

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Ecuador

Curaçao

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Football Stats Hub

Ecuador v Curaçao Stats

Match Report

Ecuador Win

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Continue the research

Ecuador

Curaçao

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