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SC Freiburg crestSC Freiburg
v
Aston Villa crestAston Villa

UEFA Europa League | Wed 20 May, 20:00

SC Freiburg v Aston Villa Stats

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

  • At 2, Over 2.5 Goals is priced at roughly 50% implied probability. Our model has it closer to 68%, so the current line is showing a +17.5-point value edge.
  • SC Freiburg are at 100% for Over 2.5 in their last-five sample, Aston Villa are at 60%, and the H2H goal average is -.
  • The goals data supports the Over 2.5 Goals angle: SC Freiburg have taken 4 wins from their last 5 matches, averaging 3 goals scored and 1 conceded.
  • The goals data supports the Over 2.5 Goals angle: Aston Villa have taken 4 wins from their last 5 matches, with BTTS landing in 20% of that sample.
  • If the bookmaker is still close to 2, this is the market to check first because the data and the price are both pointing in the same direction.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 68% vs implied 50% · edge +17.5 pts
2
Bet HERE @ 2
Load more odds for this section
Home WinBetfred guide price · model 43%
5.25
Bet HERE @ 5.25
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.95
Bet HERE @ 1.95
Away Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 52%
2
Bet HERE @ 2
Home Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.8
Bet HERE @ 1.8
DrawBetUK guide price · model 30%
3.75
Bet HERE @ 3.75
Away WinBetMGM guide price · model 41%
1.67
Bet HERE @ 1.67
Key match trends

A quick read of the strongest visible indicators.

100%SC Freiburg Over 2.5
60%Aston Villa Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Recent form

Results and scoring shape from recent games.

SC Freiburg

WLWWW
Last 54W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 106W 1D 3L
07 May 2026H SC Braga3-1
30 Apr 2026A SC Braga1-2
16 Apr 2026A Celta Vigo3-1
09 Apr 2026H Celta Vigo3-0
19 Mar 2026H Genk5-1

Aston Villa

WLWWW
Last 54W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 109W 0D 1L
07 May 2026H Nottingham Forest4-0
30 Apr 2026A Nottingham Forest0-1
16 Apr 2026H Bologna4-0
09 Apr 2026A Bologna3-1
19 Mar 2026H Lille2-0
Best odds for this sectionHome WinBetfred guide price · Model 43% vs implied 19% · edge +24 pts
5.25
Bet HERE @ 5.25
Load more odds for this section
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 73%
1.62
Bet HERE @ 1.62
Away Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 52%
2
Bet HERE @ 2
Home Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.8
Bet HERE @ 1.8
DrawBetUK guide price · model 30%
3.75
Bet HERE @ 3.75
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 71%
1.12
Bet HERE @ 1.12
Away WinBetMGM guide price · model 41%
1.67
Bet HERE @ 1.67
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Goal-market data and related prices.

SC Freiburg3
Avg goals scored
Aston Villa2.6
SC Freiburg1
Avg goals conceded
Aston Villa0.4
SC Freiburg80%
BTTS rate
Aston Villa20%
SC Freiburg100%
Over 2.5 goals
Aston Villa60%
Best odds for this sectionOver 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 86% vs implied 75% · edge +10.3 pts
1.33
Bet HERE @ 1.33
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 68%
2
Bet HERE @ 2
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.95
Bet HERE @ 1.95
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
3.5
Bet HERE @ 3.5
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 37%
1.8
Bet HERE @ 1.8
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 37%
1.8
Bet HERE @ 1.8
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and related markets.

0SC Freiburg wins
0Draws
0Aston Villa wins
Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 68% vs implied 50% · edge +17.5 pts
2
Bet HERE @ 2
Load more odds for this section
Home WinBetfred guide price · model 43%
5.25
Bet HERE @ 5.25
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.95
Bet HERE @ 1.95
DrawBetUK guide price · model 30%
3.75
Bet HERE @ 3.75
Away WinBetMGM guide price · model 41%
1.67
Bet HERE @ 1.67
Corners, cards and shots

Detailed stat markets where available.

SC Freiburg2.8
Avg corners for
Aston Villa5
SC Freiburg7.2
Avg total corners
Aston Villa8.8
SC Freiburg2.2
Avg yellow cards
Aston Villa0.6
SC Freiburg13.2
Avg shots
Aston Villa11.4
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 47% vs implied 48% · edge -0.6 pts
2.1
Bet HERE @ 2.1
Load more odds for this section
Over 4.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 49%
1.95
Bet HERE @ 1.95
Player stats

Player props and player-level signals.

Best player angleJ. Jimoh Anytime GoalscorerJ. Jimoh · 1 goals · 7.5 SOT/90
86/100
Bet HERE
Load more player angles
J. Jimoh 1+ Shot On TargetJ. Jimoh · 7.5 shots on target/90
84/100
Bet HERE
J. Jimoh 2+ ShotsJ. Jimoh · 11.25 shots/90
82/100
Bet HERE
K. Young To Assist / Key Pass AngleK. Young · 1 assists · 15 key passes/90
78/100
Bet HERE
J. Manzambi To Be FouledJ. Manzambi · 3.29 fouls won/90
80/100
Bet HERE
I. Matanović Card RiskI. Matanović · 2 yellows · 3.09 fouls/90
76/100
Bet HERE
J. Jimoh
J. JimohAston Villa · Midfielder
Goal threat100/100
Shots /9011.25
SOT /907.5
D. Malen
D. MalenAston Villa · Attacker
Goal threat76/100
Shots /902.74
SOT /902.19
L. Bailey
L. BaileyAston Villa · Attacker
Goal threat73/100
Shots /901.8
SOT /901.8
D. Scherhant
D. ScherhantSC Freiburg · Attacker
Goal threat55/100
Shots /903.04
SOT /902.1
I. Matanović
I. MatanovićSC Freiburg · Attacker
Goal threat50/100
Shots /902.1
SOT /900.99
K. Young
K. YoungAston Villa · Attacker
Goal threat23/100
Shots /900
SOT /900
L. Höler
L. HölerSC Freiburg · Attacker
Goal threat20/100
Shots /901.76
SOT /901.18
Season team stats

UEFA Europa League

SC Freiburg14
Played
Aston Villa14
SC Freiburg1.8
Avg goals for
Aston Villa2
SC Freiburg0.7
Avg goals against
Aston Villa0.6
SC Freiburg5
Clean sheets
Aston Villa8
Best odds for this sectionHome WinBetfred guide price · Model 43% vs implied 19% · edge +24 pts
5.25
Bet HERE @ 5.25
Load more odds for this section
Away Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 52%
2
Bet HERE @ 2
Home Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.8
Bet HERE @ 1.8
Away WinBetMGM guide price · model 41%
1.67
Bet HERE @ 1.67
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
2Aston Villa2187018
7SC Freiburg1785216

Next step

Betting context

Use the best-bet case above as the starting point, then check the live odds and the full prediction before staking.

Football Stats, Match Data & Daily Betting Analysis

Our football stats hub is built for punters who want to go deeper than basic predictions. Every day, BettingTips4You brings together data-led match analysis for fixtures across the biggest leagues and competitions, helping readers compare teams, spot trends and understand the numbers behind every game before making a betting decision.

Deep Match Data For Every Game

The aim of this page is simple: to give you a clear, structured view of the day’s football through meaningful data. Instead of relying only on form tables or headline odds, our stats centre breaks each match down across several important areas, including recent results, attacking output, defensive strength, goals trends, head-to-head records, home and away performance, market movement and key betting angles.

For every game available, you can explore detailed match data designed to support smarter analysis. This includes how often teams score and concede, whether they tend to start quickly or finish strongly, how reliable they are at home or away, and which betting markets appear most aligned with the numbers.

Key Betting Markets Covered

These insights can be especially useful when assessing popular football betting markets such as Match Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under Goals, Double Chance, Draw No Bet and Bet Builder selections.

Football betting is rarely about one statistic in isolation. A team may look strong in the league table but struggle away from home. Another side may be inconsistent overall but create high shot volume, win corners regularly or score in most home fixtures. Our match stats help bring those details into focus, allowing you to see the wider picture before looking at prices.

Data That Supports Our Predictions

The daily stats hub also supports our broader football predictions coverage. Where our match previews provide expert opinion and editorial betting insight, this page gives you the deeper numbers behind the fixtures.

That combination of data and analysis helps readers understand not just what the suggested bet is, but why it may make sense based on the available evidence.

Leagues And Competitions Analysed

We cover a wide range of football competitions, from the Premier League, Championship and major European leagues to international fixtures, cup matches and selected global leagues. On busy football days, this page acts as a central match data dashboard, giving you a fast route into the key fixtures and the strongest statistical angles.

Practical Stats, Not A Wall Of Numbers

Our approach is practical rather than overwhelming. Football data can quickly become a wall of numbers, so we focus on stats that are useful for betting analysis: goal averages, recent trends, scoring patterns, defensive records, fixture context and market relevance.

The goal is to help you move from raw data to a clearer betting view.

Smarter Football Betting Research

Whether you are checking today’s Premier League fixtures, comparing Champions League matchups or looking for value in lower-profile games, the BettingTips4You football stats centre is designed to give you a sharper starting point.

Use the data to support your own opinion, compare it with our expert predictions and always consider the risk before placing a bet.

Football betting should be based on research, discipline and value — not guesswork. This page gives you the tools to make that process clearer every day.