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York crestYork
v
Accrington ST crestAccrington ST

League Two | Tue 20 Oct, 19:45

York v Accrington ST Stats

Data last updated: Mon 19 Oct 2026, 12:25 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

York and Accrington ST meet in a League Two clash where both teams have shown solid defensive records but contrasting attacking styles. York ranks 4th with 16 points, boasting a higher average of corners per game, while Accrington ST sits 10th with 14 points and a notably aggressive approach on the flanks. Recent form data highlights York's ability to generate set-piece opportunities, and Accrington ST's physical style suggests a contest with frequent wide attacks and defensive clearances. This match is poised for sustained territorial battles, increasing the likelihood of multiple corner kicks.

BT4Y best bet

Over 9.5 Corners

  • York averages 4.4 corners per game, Accrington ST 7.8, combining for over 12 per match on average.
  • Both teams maintain disciplined defensive lines, leading to frequent corner scenarios rather than open-play goals.
  • Recent form shows York and Accrington ST have a combined corner count exceeding 9.5 in most matches.
  • Physical play and fouling rates suggest set-piece opportunities will be plentiful.
  • The model estimates a 63% chance for over 9.5 corners, indicating a solid statistical backing.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Over 9.5 Corners with a 63% chance, supported by York's and Accrington ST's high corner averages of 4.4 and 7.8 respectively. Both teams' playing styles involve wide attacks and defensive resilience, leading to frequent corner situations. The implied of 1.67 show a small positive of 3.1%, making this a statistically sound pick with standard stake guidance. No price warnings apply, and the data quality is robust for both sides.

Corner AveragesYork 4.4, Accrington ST 7.8 per game
Strong positive
Model Chance63% model chance vs 59.9% implied (+3.1 pts)
Strong positive
Value Edge63% model chance vs 59.9% implied (+3.1 pts)
Positive
Playing StyleWide attacks and physical play increase corner likelihood
Strong positive
Data QualityComplete data for both teams
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect a match with sustained wing play and defensive solidity from both York and Accrington ST, driving frequent corner kicks. York's solid home form and Accrington's aggressive wide attacks create a scenario ripe for multiple corners, supported by their season averages and recent match data.

Main risk

Corner volume can be sterile if territory does not become shots, crosses or repeat box entries.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Corners market

“York's balanced approach combined with Accrington ST's high corner rate sets the stage for a corner-heavy game. The statistical profile strongly supports Over 9.5 Corners as a reliable angle in this fixture.”

Key Data Signals

Over 9.5 Corners evidence

York averages 4.4 corners per game, Accrington ST 7.8, combining for over 12 per match on average.

Both teams maintain disciplined defensive lines, leading to frequent corner scenarios rather than open-play goals.

Recent form shows York and Accrington ST have a combined corner count exceeding 9.5 in most matches.

Physical play and fouling rates suggest set-piece opportunities will be plentiful.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 9.5 Corners notes

  • Over the last ten meetings, the average goals tally is 2.8, indicating moderate scoring but not necessarily open play.
  • This trend supports a game with controlled tempo and defensive organization, where corners arise from sustained pressure and set-piece situations rather than free-flowing goals.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

York1.8
Avg goals scored
Accrington ST1.2
York0.8
Avg goals conceded
Accrington ST0.4
York40%
BTTS rate
Accrington ST40%
York40%
Over 2.5 goals
Accrington ST20%
Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 58% vs implied 44% · edge +13.1 pts
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
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BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 51%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 53%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 65%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 47%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 29%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Both teams have relatively low goals conceded per game (York 0.8, Accrington ST 0.4) and moderate goals scored, indicating a controlled scoring environment. The BTTS No context aligns with defensive solidity, implying fewer open-play chances but more set-piece situations like corners.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

York

DDWLW
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 4D 2L
17 Oct 2026A Newport County1-1
10 Oct 2026H Northampton1-1
26 Sep 2026H Gillingham3-0
19 Sep 2026A Chesterfield0-2
12 Sep 2026H Swindon Town4-0

Accrington ST

WDWDD
Last 52W 3D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 4D 3L
17 Oct 2026H Gillingham3-1
10 Oct 2026A Oldham0-0
03 Oct 2026H Cheltenham2-0
26 Sep 2026A Swindon Town1-1
19 Sep 2026H Newport County0-0
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 62% vs implied 47% · edge +15 pts
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
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Accrington ST Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 50%
2.85
Check odds @ 2.85
Accrington ST to WinBetMGM guide price · model 37%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
DrawBetfred guide price · model 30%
4
Check odds @ 4
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 71%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
York Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 52%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
York to WinBetMGM guide price · model 41%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Recent form data shows York and Accrington ST averaging 12.2 combined corners per game, consistently surpassing the 9.5 corner threshold. Both teams have maintained this trend over their last fixtures, reflecting tactical emphasis on wing play and sustained pressure leading to corner opportunities.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionAccrington ST Draw No BetBetUK guide price · Model 50% vs implied 35% · edge +15 pts
2.85
Check odds @ 2.85
Load more odds for this section
Accrington ST to WinBetMGM guide price · model 37%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 69%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
DrawBetfred guide price · model 30%
4
Check odds @ 4
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 53%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 47%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
York Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 52%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
The 63% for Over 9.5 Corners sits against roughly 59.9% implied by the current price (+3.1 pts). Accrington ST lead the corner sample at 7.8 per match, with York lower at 4.4.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%York Over 2.5
20%Accrington ST Over 2.5
2.8H2H avg goals
Over the last ten meetings, the average goals tally is 2.8, indicating moderate scoring but not necessarily open play. This trend supports a game with controlled tempo and defensive organization, where corners arise from sustained pressure and set-piece situations rather than free-flowing goals.

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