Football Stats Hub

Wolves crestWolves
v
Portsmouth crestPortsmouth

Championship | Tue 20 Oct, 19:45

Wolves v Portsmouth Stats

Data last updated: Mon 19 Oct 2026, 12:24 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This Championship clash features Wolves hosting Portsmouth in a contest where both teams have shown competitive form recently. Wolves sit 8th with 17 points, while Portsmouth are 13th with 14 points, indicating a tight mid-table battle. Wolves have scored and conceded an average of 1 goal per game in their last fixtures, while Portsmouth have a slightly higher scoring rate but similar defensive record. Both sides have a 40% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals and both teams to score. The match promises tactical balance with neither side dominating the standings, making a Portsmouth or Draw double chance an appealing option given their resilience and recent performances.

BT4Y best bet

Portsmouth or Draw

  • Portsmouth or Draw offers strong value with a 25.5% positive edge over the implied .
  • Both teams have similar recent scoring and conceding rates, suggesting a balanced contest.
  • Wolves have a higher average of shots and corners, but Portsmouth's defensive solidity supports a draw or away cover.
  • Portsmouth's recent form points to resilience, making the double chance a safer bet against Wolves' home advantage.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Portsmouth or Draw with a 67.5% chance, significantly higher than the 42% implied by current , indicating strong value. Both teams show similar defensive records, but Portsmouth's ability to avoid defeat away from home and Wolves' moderate scoring rate support this cautious approach. The model is high at 78%, reflecting consistent recent form and balanced attacking and defensive metrics. No data limitations affect this prediction, making it a reliable selection for a double chance outcome.

Model Chance32.4% model chance vs 17.4% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Implied Chance32.4% model chance vs 17.4% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Confidence78%
Strong positive
Recent Form BalanceSimilar points and goals scored/conceded
Positive
Price Edge32.4% model chance vs 17.4% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Portsmouth's recent resilience and Wolves' moderate scoring form suggest a cautious approach is prudent. The double chance on Portsmouth or Draw captures the likelihood of a tight contest where Wolves may struggle to secure a clear home win. This bet balances tactical parity and recent form data effectively, offering a sensible risk-managed option for this Championship fixture.

Main risk

Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome strategy

“Portsmouth's ability to absorb pressure and Wolves' inconsistent finishing make the away double chance a smart tactical play in this evenly matched Championship game.”

Key Data Signals

Portsmouth or Draw evidence

Portsmouth or Draw offers strong value with a 25.5% positive edge over the implied .

Both teams have similar recent scoring and conceding rates, suggesting a balanced contest.

Wolves have a higher average of shots and corners, but Portsmouth's defensive solidity supports a draw or away cover.

Portsmouth's recent form points to resilience, making the double chance a safer bet against Wolves' home advantage.

What To Watch In The Data

Portsmouth or Draw notes

  • Recent trends show both teams have a 40% rate of Over 2.5 Goals in their last matches, indicating moderate scoring frequency.
  • The balanced goal averages and similar BTTS rates suggest a game with measured tempo and chances, where defensive organization will be key.
  • This trend supports a cautious approach favoring a double chance rather than aggressive goal markets.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Wolves1
Avg goals scored
Portsmouth1.2
Wolves1
Avg goals conceded
Portsmouth1
Wolves40%
BTTS rate
Portsmouth40%
Wolves40%
Over 2.5 goals
Portsmouth40%
Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 54% vs implied 50% · edge +4 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 68%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 47%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 32%
3
Check odds @ 3
Both teams have a 40% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals and both teams scoring, indicating a balanced attacking and defensive profile. This suggests the game could be tight with moderate scoring, supporting a cautious double chance rather than a high-goal bet. The similar goals for and against averages reinforce the likelihood of a competitive, low-to-moderate scoring match.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

more Championship analysiscorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Wolves

WLLWW
Last 53W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 2D 3L
16 Oct 2026A Burnley2-1
13 Oct 2026H Bolton1-3
10 Oct 2026A Middlesbrough0-1
20 Sep 2026H West Brom1-0
13 Sep 2026A Sheffield Utd1-0

Portsmouth

WWLDD
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 2D 4L
17 Oct 2026A Norwich1-0
14 Oct 2026H Sheffield Utd3-2
11 Oct 2026A Southampton0-1
19 Sep 2026H Blackburn2-2
12 Sep 2026A Charlton0-0
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 57% vs implied 42% · edge +15 pts
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Load more odds for this section
Portsmouth Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 44%
3.45
Check odds @ 3.45
Portsmouth to WinBetMGM guide price · model 32%
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 29%
4.2
Check odds @ 4.2
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Wolves Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 56%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Wolves to WinBet365 guide price · model 46%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Wolves have collected 9 points recently with a goal difference of 1 scored and 1 conceded per game, showing moderate attacking output and defensive stability. Portsmouth's recent 8 points with a similar goal profile highlight their competitive form and ability to avoid defeat. This parity in recent form supports the double chance on Portsmouth or Draw as a reflection of the balanced momentum between the sides.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionPortsmouth Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 44% vs implied 29% · edge +15 pts
3.45
Check odds @ 3.45
Load more odds for this section
Portsmouth to WinBetMGM guide price · model 32%
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 64%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 29%
4.2
Check odds @ 4.2
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
The 32.4% for Portsmouth or Draw sits against roughly 17.4% implied by the current price (+15 pts).
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Wolves Over 2.5
40%Portsmouth Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Recent trends show both teams have a 40% rate of Over 2.5 Goals in their last matches, indicating moderate scoring frequency. The balanced goal averages and similar BTTS rates suggest a game with measured tempo and chances, where defensive organization will be key. This trend supports a cautious approach favoring a double chance rather than aggressive goal markets.

Loading deeper match data…