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Atletico San Luis crestAtletico San Luis
v
Club Queretaro crestClub Queretaro

Liga MX | Wed 21 Oct, 02:00

Atletico San Luis v Club Queretaro Stats

Data last updated: Wed 21 Oct 2026, 16:01 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Atletico San Luis face Club Queretaro in a Liga MX fixture where both teams show contrasting styles that could influence set-piece frequency. Atletico San Luis, positioned 15th, have a more aggressive attacking approach, averaging 2.8 corners per match, while Club Queretaro, sitting 6th, average 5 corners per game and tend to press high and create wide chances. Recent form suggests a moderately open game with Atletico San Luis conceding and scoring at similar rates, and Queretaro showing a solid defensive record but less attacking threat. This clash of styles and tactical setups points to a lively contest with potential for numerous corners.

BT4Y best bet

Over 9.5 Corners

  • Atletico San Luis average 2.8 corners per game, Club Queretaro 5.0, combining for 7.8 on average
  • Model estimates a 69% chance for Over 9.5 Corners, indicating strong likelihood of many set-piece opportunities
  • Both teams show attacking intent with Atletico San Luis having 13.4 shots per game and Queretaro matching that output
  • Recent form shows Atletico San Luis involved in matches with higher corner counts, supporting the corner market selection

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Over 9.5 Corners with a 69% probability, reflecting the attacking tendencies and tactical styles of both teams. Club Queretaro's higher corner average and Atletico San Luis's willingness to attack and concede corners create a fertile environment for set-piece accumulation. The combined average corners per match approach 8, and the teams' shot volumes and fouling patterns support sustained pressure and wide play, increasing corner chances. No price warning is needed as the offer positive value with an 11.2% edge, making this a solid corner market selection.

Model Probability69% model chance vs 57.8% implied (+11.2 pts)
Strong positive
Combined Average Corners7.8 per match
Positive
Shot Volume13.4 shots per team per game
Positive
Price Value Edge69% model chance vs 57.8% implied (+11.2 pts)
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect a match where wide play and attacking pressure generate numerous corner kicks. Club Queretaro's higher corner count and Atletico San Luis's offensive style suggest a lively contest with frequent set-piece situations. The data supports a strong chance of exceeding 9.5 corners, making this market a tactically informed choice.

Main risk

Corner volume can be sterile if territory does not become shots, crosses or repeat box entries.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Corner market analysis

“The corner market stands out here due to Queretaro's consistent delivery from wide areas and Atletico San Luis's openness in defense, which should combine to produce a high volume of corners.”

Key Data Signals

Over 9.5 Corners evidence

Atletico San Luis average 2.8 corners per game, Club Queretaro 5.0, combining for 7.8 on average

Model estimates a 69% chance for Over 9.5 Corners, indicating strong likelihood of many set-piece opportunities

Both teams show attacking intent with Atletico San Luis having 13.4 shots per game and Queretaro matching that output

Recent form shows Atletico San Luis involved in matches with higher corner counts, supporting the corner market selection

What To Watch In The Data

Over 9.5 Corners notes

  • The last 10 head-to-head matches average 3.4 goals, indicating open games with attacking intent.
  • While this trend focuses on goals, the offensive tempo and pressure implied by these encounters also suggest frequent wide play and set-piece situations, reinforcing the likelihood of a high corner count in this fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Atletico San Luis1.6
Avg goals scored
Club Queretaro1.2
Atletico San Luis1.6
Avg goals conceded
Club Queretaro1.2
Atletico San Luis80%
BTTS rate
Club Queretaro20%
Atletico San Luis60%
Over 2.5 goals
Club Queretaro20%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 62% · edge +5 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
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Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 74%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 56%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 48%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 38%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 37%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
While Atletico San Luis averages 1.6 goals per game and Queretaro 1.2, their BTTS rates diverge sharply, with Atletico San Luis at 80% and Queretaro at 20%. This suggests Atletico San Luis tends to be involved in open games, but Queretaro's defensive solidity may limit goals. The goal trends imply a moderately open game but do not conflict with the corner market, which depends more on attacking width and pressure than goal volume.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

corners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionClub Queretaro Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 62% vs implied 50% · edge +12.3 pts
2.02
Check odds @ 2.02
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Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Club Queretaro to WinBetMGM guide price · model 51%
2.8
Check odds @ 2.8
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 63%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 56%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
DrawBet365 guide price · model 26%
3.7
Check odds @ 3.7
The 69% for Over 9.5 Corners sits against roughly 57.8% implied by the current price (+11.2 pts). Club Queretaro lead the corner sample at 5 per match, with Atletico San Luis lower at 2.8.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Atletico San Luis

DLWWL
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 3D 4L
18 Oct 2026A Toluca1-1
12 Oct 2026H Santos Laguna1-2
27 Sep 2026A U.N.A.M. - Pumas3-2
20 Sep 2026H Necaxa3-1
15 Sep 2026A Leon0-2

Club Queretaro

LWWDW
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 106W 2D 2L
18 Oct 2026A Santos Laguna0-5
11 Oct 2026H Atlante FC2-0
27 Sep 2026A Guadalajara Chivas2-0
21 Sep 2026H Leon1-1
12 Sep 2026A Club Tijuana1-0
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 77% vs implied 62% · edge +15 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
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Club Queretaro Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 62%
2.02
Check odds @ 2.02
Club Queretaro to WinBetMGM guide price · model 51%
2.8
Check odds @ 2.8
DrawBet365 guide price · model 26%
3.7
Check odds @ 3.7
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 58%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Atletico San Luis Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.78
Check odds @ 1.78
Atletico San Luis to WinBet365 guide price · model 31%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
Recent form data shows Atletico San Luis involved in matches with a 60% rate of Over 2.5 goals and 80% BTTS, indicating open play and attacking intent. Queretaro's lower over 2.5 goals and BTTS rates suggest a more cautious approach but their corner averages remain high, reflecting tactical emphasis on wide play and set pieces. This contrast supports the corner market as a key outlet for offensive pressure.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Atletico San Luis Over 2.5
20%Club Queretaro Over 2.5
3.4H2H avg goals
The last 10 head-to-head matches average 3.4 goals, indicating open games with attacking intent. While this trend focuses on goals, the offensive tempo and pressure implied by these encounters also suggest frequent wide play and set-piece situations, reinforcing the likelihood of a high corner count in this fixture.

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