Deportivo Pereira
ChicoPrimera A | Tue 20 Oct, 22:30
Deportivo Pereira v Chico Stats
Data last updated: Mon 19 Oct 2026, 09:20 UK timeMatch Report
Fixture analysis
This Primera A clash features Deportivo Pereira and Chico in a tightly contested fixture where both teams are battling to improve their league standing. Deportivo Pereira sits 18th with 10 points, while Chico is slightly ahead in 16th with 12 points. Recent form shows Chico with a slight edge, having earned 4 points compared to Pereira's 3 in their last matches. Chico's approach leans on a more active attacking style, reflected in their higher average shots and goal attempts, setting the stage for a competitive encounter with potential for an away victory.
Chico to Win
- Chico holds a higher at 47.2% versus an implied market chance of 28.6%, indicating strong value at 3.5 .
- Chico averages 8.2 shots and 2.8 shots on target per game, surpassing Deportivo Pereira's 6.4 shots and 1.8 on target.
- Recent form favors Chico with 4 points gained recently compared to Deportivo Pereira's 3 points.
- Chico's over 2.5 goals rate is 60%, suggesting a more open attacking style than Deportivo Pereira's 40%.
- Chico ranks 16th with 12 points, slightly better than Deportivo Pereira's 18th place with 10 points.
Why The Model Likes This Bet
Chance, price and football numbers
The model favors Chico to win due to their superior attacking metrics and recent form. Chico's higher average shots and shots on target per game indicate greater offensive pressure, while their 60% over 2.5 goals rate suggests matches involving them tend to be more open. The model's 47.2% win probability contrasts with the market's 28.6% implied chance, highlighting significant value. Defensive vulnerabilities on both sides and a close league standing add to the competitive edge, but Chico's offensive consistency provides a compelling case for an away win.
Verdict
BT4Y analyst view
Chico's recent form and attacking metrics suggest they have the momentum to secure a win in this fixture. Their ability to generate more shots and maintain offensive pressure, combined with Deportivo Pereira's struggles in defense, makes Chico a tactically and statistically sound choice for victory.
Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.
Quote from Expert
BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome
“Chico's offensive activity and recent points accumulation give them a clear tactical edge in this matchup, making their win a credible and data-backed prediction.”
Key Data Signals
Chico to Win evidence
Chico holds a higher at 47.2% versus an implied market chance of 28.6%, indicating strong value at 3.5 .
Chico averages 8.2 shots and 2.8 shots on target per game, surpassing Deportivo Pereira's 6.4 shots and 1.8 on target.
Recent form favors Chico with 4 points gained recently compared to Deportivo Pereira's 3 points.
Chico's over 2.5 goals rate is 60%, suggesting a more open attacking style than Deportivo Pereira's 40%.
What To Watch In The Data
Chico to Win notes
- In the last ten meetings, the average goals scored is 1.8, indicating relatively low-scoring encounters.
- However, Chico's recent matches show a 60% over 2.5 goals rate, suggesting an upward trend in goal frequency and a potential for a more open game in this fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under
Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.
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Market odds
Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.
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Recent form
Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.
Deportivo Pereira
Chico
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Key match trends
Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.
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