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Al-Nassr crestAl-Nassr
v
NEOM crestNEOM

Pro League | Tue 20 Oct, 19:00

Al-Nassr v NEOM Stats

Data last updated: Mon 19 Oct 2026, 09:23 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Al-Nassr and NEOM meet in a Pro League clash where both sides have shown attacking intent and resilience. Al-Nassr, ranked third with 19 points, boasts a potent offense averaging 1.8 goals per game, while NEOM, fifth with 16 points, counters with a slightly higher scoring rate of 2 goals per match. Both teams have demonstrated the ability to find the net consistently, supported by recent form where each side has accumulated 10 points. This fixture promises an open contest with tactical emphasis on offensive transitions and goal-scoring opportunities from both teams.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Al-Nassr scores 1.8 goals per game and concedes 1.0 on average.
  • NEOM averages 2 goals per match with a solid defense conceding 0.8 goals.
  • Both teams have a combined BTTS rate of 60%, with Al-Nassr at 80% and NEOM at 40%.
  • Al-Nassr averages 16.6 shots per game with 6.4 on target; NEOM averages 13.4 shots with 4.2 on target.
  • Head-to-head matches average 2.5 goals, indicating a moderately open scoring trend.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Both Teams to Score at a 73.3% chance, reflecting strong attacking profiles from both sides. Al-Nassr's high BTTS rate of 80% and NEOM's consistent scoring underline the likelihood of goals at both ends. The price offers positive value with a 13.4% edge, supported by solid shot volumes and recent form data. This suggests a balanced match where defensive vulnerabilities and offensive strengths combine to produce goals from both teams. The data quality is robust, with no limitations affecting the analysis.

Model BTTS Chance73.3%
Strong positive
Al-Nassr BTTS Rate80%
Strong positive
NEOM BTTS Rate40%
Positive
Shot Volume (Al-Nassr)16.6 per game
Positive
Shot Volume (NEOM)13.4 per game
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both teams have shown the ability to score consistently, with Al-Nassr's attacking firepower complemented by NEOM's resilience. The data indicates a high chance of goals at both ends, making Both Teams to Score a tactically sound and statistically supported selection for this fixture.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score

“This match features two sides with clear offensive intent and defensive gaps, making Both Teams to Score a compelling angle given their contrasting but effective attacking styles.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Al-Nassr scores 1.8 goals per game and concedes 1.0 on average.

NEOM averages 2 goals per match with a solid defense conceding 0.8 goals.

Both teams have a combined BTTS rate of 60%, with Al-Nassr at 80% and NEOM at 40%.

Al-Nassr averages 16.6 shots per game with 6.4 on target; NEOM averages 13.4 shots with 4.2 on target.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • In the last two head-to-head matches, the average goals scored was 2.5, indicating a moderately high-scoring trend.
  • Al-Nassr's 80% over 2.5 goals rate contrasts with NEOM's 40%, suggesting the match tempo and attacking intent could produce over 2.5 goals, driven by Al-Nassr's offensive pressure and NEOM's counterattacks.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Al-Nassr1.8
Avg goals scored
NEOM2
Al-Nassr1
Avg goals conceded
NEOM0.8
Al-Nassr80%
BTTS rate
NEOM40%
Al-Nassr80%
Over 2.5 goals
NEOM40%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 73% vs implied 60% · edge +13.4 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
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Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 77%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 59%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 41%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 31%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Al-Nassr's 80% BTTS rate combined with NEOM's 40% indicates a strong probability of goals from both teams, supported by their average goals per game (1.8 and 2 respectively). The head-to-head average of 2.5 goals across two matches further supports an open game with scoring chances at both ends.

Continue the research

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 73% vs implied 60% · edge +13.4 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 70%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
NEOM to WinBetMGM guide price · model 34%
5.25
Check odds @ 5.25
Over 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 60%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Al-Nassr Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 51%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
DrawBetfred guide price · model 29%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
NEOM Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 54%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
The 73.3% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 59.9% implied by the current price (+13.4 pts). Al-Nassr show a 80% BTTS rate and NEOM show a 40% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Al-Nassr

WDWLW
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 106W 1D 1L
09 Oct 2026H Al Diriyah3-0
12 Sep 2026A Al Khaleej Saihat1-1
09 Sep 2026H Abha2-1
05 Sep 2026A Al-Ittihad FC1-2
28 Aug 2026H Al Taawon2-1

NEOM

LDWWW
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 1D 3L
17 Oct 2026H Al-Ettifaq0-1
10 Oct 2026A Al-Hazm1-1
13 Sep 2026H Al-Fateh4-2
07 Sep 2026A Al-Hilal Saudi FC2-0
03 Sep 2026H Al Khaleej Saihat3-0
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 53% vs implied 38% · edge +15 pts
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
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NEOM to WinBetMGM guide price · model 34%
5.25
Check odds @ 5.25
Al-Nassr Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 51%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
DrawBetfred guide price · model 29%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
NEOM Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 54%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 70%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Al-Nassr to WinBetfred guide price · model 41%
1.42
Check odds @ 1.42
Both teams have earned 10 points recently, with Al-Nassr scoring 1.8 goals and conceding 1 per game, and NEOM scoring 2 and conceding 0.8. Al-Nassr's 80% BTTS rate in recent matches contrasts with NEOM's 40%, indicating Al-Nassr's matches are more likely to see goals at both ends, but NEOM's solid defense could limit scoring opportunities.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Al-Nassr Over 2.5
40%NEOM Over 2.5
2.5H2H avg goals
In the last two head-to-head matches, the average goals scored was 2.5, indicating a moderately high-scoring trend. Al-Nassr's 80% over 2.5 goals rate contrasts with NEOM's 40%, suggesting the match tempo and attacking intent could produce over 2.5 goals, driven by Al-Nassr's offensive pressure and NEOM's counterattacks.

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