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Notts County crestNotts County
v
Sheffield Wednesday crestSheffield Wednesday

League One | Tue 20 Oct, 19:45

Notts County v Sheffield Wednesday Stats

Data last updated: Mon 09 Nov 2026, 05:37 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Notts County face Sheffield Wednesday in League One on Tue 20 Oct, 19:45. 20 goals: Sheffield Wednesday have scored 20 times in nine League One matches, compared with Notts County's eight. Notts County vs Sheffield Wednesday Preview: In-Form Owls Target Another Victory at Meadow Lane.

BT4Y match pick

Notts County Asian Handicap +0

  • At 3.3, Notts County Asian Handicap +0 implies roughly 30%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 27%.
  • A 1-1 draw fits Notts County’s consistent scoring and Sheffield Wednesday’s away concession pattern, balancing attacking strength and defensive frailty on both sides.
  • Sheffield Wednesday have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 1 for Notts County.
  • Sheffield Wednesday have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.6 conceded per match, which helps the Notts County Asian Handicap +0 angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Notts County sit 17 in the table, while Sheffield Wednesday sit 9, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 27% for Notts County Asian Handicap +0 sits against roughly 30% implied by the current price. Sheffield Wednesday have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 1 for Notts County. A 1-1 draw fits Notts County’s consistent scoring and Sheffield Wednesday’s away concession pattern, balancing attacking strength and defensive frailty on both sides.

Model chance vs price27% model chance against roughly 30% implied
Negative
Sheffield Wednesday have the stronger recent points return, taking 9.Visible data support
Positive
Sheffield Wednesday have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.6 conceded.Visible data support
Positive
A 1-1 draw fits Notts County’s consistent scoring.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Notts County Win is the preferred angle because a 1-1 draw fits Notts County’s consistent scoring and Sheffield Wednesday’s away concession pattern, balancing attacking strength and defensive frailty on both sides. Sheffield Wednesday have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 1 for Notts County. Their most pressing concern is attacking productivity.

Main risk

Their most pressing concern is attacking productivity.

Key Data Signals

Notts County Asian Handicap +0 evidence

A 1-1 draw fits Notts County’s consistent scoring and Sheffield Wednesday’s away concession pattern, balancing attacking strength.

Sheffield Wednesday have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 1 for Notts County.

Sheffield Wednesday have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.6 conceded per match, which helps the Notts County Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Notts County sit 17 in the table, while Sheffield Wednesday sit 9, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Notts County Asian Handicap +0 notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Notts County0.4
    Avg goals scored
    Sheffield Wednesday1.8
    Notts County1.6
    Avg goals conceded
    Sheffield Wednesday0.6
    Notts County40%
    BTTS rate
    Sheffield Wednesday40%
    Notts County20%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Sheffield Wednesday60%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS NoBet365 guide price · Model 51% vs implied 48% · edge +3.1 pts
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Load more odds for this section
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 53%
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 51%
    1.85
    Check odds @ 1.85
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 69%
    1.25
    Check odds @ 1.25
    BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 53%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 33%
    3
    Check odds @ 3
    BTTS No is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: Notts County concede 1.6 on average and Sheffield Wednesday score 1.8, so the clean-sheet route has a data base.

    Continue the research

    Useful next reads

    more League One analysisfull betting preview for Notts County v Sheffield Wednesdaycorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickNotts County to WinBetfred guide price · Model 27% vs implied 30% · edge -3.3 pts
    3.3
    Check odds @ 3.3
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 75%
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 51%
    1.85
    Check odds @ 1.85
    BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 53%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Notts County Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
    1.98
    Check odds @ 1.98
    Notts County to Win is fairly priced at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Notts County

    LLLLD
    Last 50W 1D 4L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 4D 4L
    17 Oct 2026A Wycombe0-2
    10 Oct 2026H Oxford United1-2
    19 Sep 2026A Reading0-2
    12 Sep 2026H Bradford0-1
    05 Sep 2026A Huddersfield1-1

    Sheffield Wednesday

    WDDDW
    Last 52W 3D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 105W 3D 1L
    17 Oct 2026H AFC Wimbledon5-0
    10 Oct 2026A Huddersfield2-2
    19 Sep 2026H Stockport County0-0
    12 Sep 2026H Wigan0-0
    05 Sep 2026A Peterborough2-1
    Market aligned with main pickNotts County to WinBetfred guide price · Model 27% vs implied 30% · edge -3.3 pts
    3.3
    Check odds @ 3.3
    Load more odds for this section
    Notts County Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
    1.98
    Check odds @ 1.98
    Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 48%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    20%Notts County Over 2.5
    60%Sheffield Wednesday Over 2.5
    3H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Notts County sit at 20% and Sheffield Wednesday sit at 60% with the H2H average at 3 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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