Football Stats Hub

Doncaster crestDoncaster
v
Stockport County crestStockport County

League One | Tue 20 Oct, 19:45

Doncaster v Stockport County Stats

Data last updated: Tue 10 Nov 2026, 07:30 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Doncaster face Stockport County in League One on Tue 20 Oct, 19:45. 21 goals: Stockport have scored 21 times in 10 league matches, compared with Doncaster's 10 in nine. Stockport's prolific attack and recent winning streak contrast with Doncaster's improved home form and defensive lapses.

BT4Y match pick · price watch

Both Teams To Score YES

  • Price warning: current odds imply about 63%, above the 57% model chance, so this is a football-led pick rather than a clear value bet; reduce stake or wait for a better price.
  • At 6/10, Both Teams To Score YES implies roughly 63%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 57%.
  • Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.
  • Doncaster show a 40% BTTS rate and Stockport County show a 40% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • Doncaster average 1.2 goals scored and Stockport County average 1.6, so both attacking contributions need separating.
Price warning

Both Teams To Score YES is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 63% while the model sits nearer 57% (-5.8 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Over 9.5 Corners shows a +11.2 pts edge at 1.73.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The 57% for Both Teams To Score YES sits against roughly 63% implied by the current price. Doncaster show a 40% BTTS rate and Stockport County show a 40% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.

Model chance vs price57% model chance against roughly 63% implied
Negative
Doncaster show a 40% BTTS rate and Stockport County show.Visible data support
Positive
Doncaster average 1.2 goals scored and Stockport County average 1.Visible data support
Positive
Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because selection: Both Teams To Score YES. Doncaster show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Stockport County show a 40% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. However, their away record offers Doncaster some hope.

Main risk

However, their away record offers Doncaster some hope.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams To Score YES evidence

Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.

Doncaster show a 40% BTTS rate and Stockport County show a 40% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Doncaster average 1.2 goals scored and Stockport County average 1.6, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams To Score YES notes

  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Doncaster1.2
Avg goals scored
Stockport County1.6
Doncaster1.2
Avg goals conceded
Stockport County1
Doncaster40%
BTTS rate
Stockport County40%
Doncaster40%
Over 2.5 goals
Stockport County40%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 57% vs implied 62% · edge -5 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
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Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 54%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 47%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 68%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 50%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 32%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
BTTS Yes does not fully support the current price: the BTTS rates are 40% for Doncaster and 40% for Stockport County, so the price depends on both attacks contributing rather than the clean-sheet story.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 57% vs implied 62% · edge -5 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
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Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 75%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Stockport County to WinBetfred guide price · model 62%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Stockport County Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 70%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Doncaster Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 45%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 50%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Doncaster to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
BTTS Yes is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Doncaster

LWWLL
Last 52W 0D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 3D 4L
17 Oct 2026A Leicester1-2
10 Oct 2026H Burton Albion1-0
19 Sep 2026A Peterborough2-0
12 Sep 2026A AFC Wimbledon0-1
05 Sep 2026H Plymouth2-3

Stockport County

WWWDL
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 106W 1D 3L
17 Oct 2026H Bromley1-0
10 Oct 2026H Barnsley3-1
26 Sep 2026H Peterborough1-0
19 Sep 2026A Sheffield Wednesday0-0
12 Sep 2026H Leicester3-4
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 84% vs implied 80% · edge +4 pts
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
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Stockport County to WinBetfred guide price · model 62%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Stockport County Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 70%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Doncaster Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 45%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 51%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Doncaster to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
DrawBet365 guide price · model 24%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Doncaster Over 2.5
40%Stockport County Over 2.5
2.63H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Doncaster sit at 40% and Stockport County sit at 40% with the H2H average at 2.63 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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