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Anstey Nomads crestAnstey Nomads
v
Macclesfield crestMacclesfield

FA Cup | Tue 20 Oct, 19:45

Anstey Nomads v Macclesfield Stats

Data last updated: Mon 19 Oct 2026, 09:21 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

The FA Cup tie between Anstey Nomads and Macclesfield promises an open contest with both sides showing attacking intent in recent matches. Anstey Nomads have averaged 2.5 goals scored per game and maintain a 75% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals, while Macclesfield also exhibit offensive threat with 1.75 goals per game and a 75% over 2.5 goals rate. Macclesfield's perfect 100% BTTS rate indicates they consistently concede and score, suggesting a lively game. Both teams' recent form and goal-scoring patterns set the stage for a potentially high-scoring encounter at this knockout stage.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

  • Anstey Nomads average 2.5 goals scored per game with 75% of matches over 2.5 goals.
  • Macclesfield score 1.75 goals per game and also have a 75% over 2.5 goals match rate.
  • Macclesfield have a 100% Both Teams To Score rate, indicating open games with goals at both ends.
  • Recent form shows both teams involved in high-scoring matches, supporting an Over 2.5 Goals outcome.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 65.7% chance for Over 2.5 Goals, reflecting both teams' attacking tendencies and recent high-scoring matches. Macclesfield's perfect BTTS rate and solid goal output from Anstey Nomads underpin this view. The at 1.67 offer a small positive of 5.8%, making Over 2.5 Goals a sensible selection given the offensive profiles and recent form. No significant data limitations affect in this pick.

Model chance65.7% model chance vs 59.9% implied (+5.8 pts)
Strong positive
Implied chance from odds65.7% model chance vs 59.9% implied (+5.8 pts)
Positive
Value edge65.7% model chance vs 59.9% implied (+5.8 pts)
Positive
Recent form goal ratesStrong attacking output from both sides
Strong positive
BTTS ratesMacclesfield 100%, Anstey Nomads 75%
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open and attacking FA Cup clash as both Anstey Nomads and Macclesfield have shown strong goal-scoring form recently. The data highlights their tendency for matches with multiple goals, making Over 2.5 Goals a fitting choice. Tactical approaches and the knockout nature could influence the final outcome, but the attacking momentum is clear.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Goal-scoring potential and match tempo

“The attacking profiles and recent scoring trends of both sides strongly suggest a lively encounter with multiple goals, making Over 2.5 Goals a compelling angle for this FA Cup fixture.”

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

Anstey Nomads average 2.5 goals scored per game with 75% of matches over 2.5 goals.

Macclesfield score 1.75 goals per game and also have a 75% over 2.5 goals match rate.

Macclesfield have a 100% Both Teams To Score rate, indicating open games with goals at both ends.

Recent form shows both teams involved in high-scoring matches, supporting an Over 2.5 Goals outcome.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • In the last head-to-head meeting, the average goals scored were 2, slightly below the Over 2.5 threshold.
  • However, recent form and goal-scoring trends over the last several matches for both teams suggest an upward tempo and higher goal potential in this upcoming encounter.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Anstey Nomads2.5
Avg goals scored
Macclesfield1.75
Anstey Nomads1
Avg goals conceded
Macclesfield1.25
Anstey Nomads75%
BTTS rate
Macclesfield100%
Anstey Nomads75%
Over 2.5 goals
Macclesfield75%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 66% vs implied 60% · edge +5.8 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
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Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 38%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Both teams have demonstrated strong goal-scoring and conceding patterns, with Macclesfield's 100% BTTS rate and Anstey Nomads' 75% over 2.5 goals rate indicating open games. This suggests a high likelihood of multiple goals and goals at both ends, fitting the Over 2.5 Goals market well.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 66% vs implied 60% · edge +5.8 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
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Anstey Nomads to WinBet365 guide price · model 43%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
DrawBetfred guide price · model 25%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Macclesfield to WinBet365 guide price · model 26%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
The 65.7% for Over 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 59.9% implied by the current price (+5.8 pts). The Over 2.5 trend is 75% for Anstey Nomads and 75% for Macclesfield, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Anstey Nomads

DWWW
Last 53W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 1D 0L
17 Oct 2026A Macclesfield1-1
03 Oct 2026A Gainsborough Trinity3-2
19 Sep 2026H Newcastle Town2-1
05 Sep 2026A Sileby Rangers4-0

Macclesfield

DWDW
Last 52W 2D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 2D 0L
17 Oct 2026H Anstey Nomads1-1
06 Oct 2026A Scarborough Athletic2-1
03 Oct 2026H Scarborough Athletic2-2
19 Sep 2026A Redcar Athletic2-1
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +15 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
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Anstey Nomads to WinBet365 guide price · model 43%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
DrawBetfred guide price · model 25%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 51%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Macclesfield to WinBet365 guide price · model 26%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Recent form data shows both teams involved in matches with high goal totals, with Anstey Nomads scoring 2.5 goals per game and Macclesfield 1.75. Both maintain a 75% rate of Over 2.5 Goals matches, reinforcing the expectation of a high-scoring game in this fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

75%Anstey Nomads Over 2.5
75%Macclesfield Over 2.5
2H2H avg goals
In the last head-to-head meeting, the average goals scored were 2, slightly below the Over 2.5 threshold. However, recent form and goal-scoring trends over the last several matches for both teams suggest an upward tempo and higher goal potential in this upcoming encounter.

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