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FC Juarez crestFC Juarez
v
Atlante FC crestAtlante FC

Liga MX | Wed 21 Oct, 02:00

FC Juarez v Atlante FC Stats

Data last updated: Tue 20 Oct 2026, 11:28 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

FC Juarez and Atlante FC meet in a Liga MX clash where both teams have shown moderate attacking intent but defensive vulnerabilities, reflected in their recent goal and points tallies. With Juarez ranked 18th and Atlante 16th, both sides are eager to improve their standings, adding competitive edge to this fixture. Their attacking styles and defensive lapses suggest a game with frequent territorial battles and set-piece opportunities, setting the stage for a high corner count. The tactical approach from both teams, combined with their recent form, points to a match where wide play and pressure will generate numerous corners.

BT4Y best bet

Over 9.5 Corners

  • FC Juarez averages 5.8 corners per game, Atlante FC 7.2, combining for a strong corner count.
  • Both teams have a 60% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals, indicating open play and attacking intent.
  • Atlante FC averages 20 shots per game, suggesting sustained attacking pressure leading to corners.
  • FC Juarez’s aggressive playstyle results in 3.2 yellow cards per game, reflecting physical contests that often lead to set-piece situations.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies Over 9.5 Corners as a value bet with a 69% chance, well above the implied 55.6% chance from , indicating a 13.4% . Both teams’ corner averages are high, with Atlante FC’s 7.2 and FC Juarez’s 5.8 per game, supported by their attacking styles and defensive vulnerabilities. The match context of competitive stakes and open play further supports frequent corner opportunities. No data limitations or price warnings reduce , making this a solid pick for standard stakes.

Model Chance69% model chance vs 55.6% implied (+13.4 pts)
Strong positive
Implied Chance69% model chance vs 55.6% implied (+13.4 pts)
Strong positive
Value Edge69% model chance vs 55.6% implied (+13.4 pts)
Strong positive
FC Juarez Corner Average5.8 per game
Positive
Atlante FC Corner Average7.2 per game
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

This corner count pick is supported by both teams’ tendency to generate numerous corners through sustained attacking play and defensive lapses. Atlante FC’s high shot volume and Juarez’s physical style create frequent set-piece situations. The data and tactical context suggest a lively match with ample corner opportunities, making Over 9.5 Corners a compelling choice.

Main risk

Corner volume can be sterile if territory does not become shots, crosses or repeat box entries.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Corners market

“The combination of Juarez’s aggressive defensive style and Atlante’s high shot output creates a fertile environment for corners. Expect wide play and pressure to drive the corner count above nine and a half.”

Key Data Signals

Over 9.5 Corners evidence

FC Juarez averages 5.8 corners per game, Atlante FC 7.2, combining for a strong corner count.

Both teams have a 60% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals, indicating open play and attacking intent.

Atlante FC averages 20 shots per game, suggesting sustained attacking pressure leading to corners.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 9.5 Corners notes

  • In the last nine head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.44, indicating open games.
  • Over recent matches, both teams maintain a 60% over 2.5 goals rate, suggesting a tempo and attacking pattern conducive to generating corners through transitions and set pieces.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

FC Juarez1
Avg goals scored
Atlante FC1.2
FC Juarez2
Avg goals conceded
Atlante FC2
FC Juarez60%
BTTS rate
Atlante FC60%
FC Juarez60%
Over 2.5 goals
Atlante FC60%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 73% vs implied 62% · edge +11.6 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 74%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 56%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 48%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 38%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 31%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Both teams have a 60% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals and a matching 60% BTTS rate, reflecting open games with attacking intent. This openness often leads to more corners due to frequent attacks and defensive pressure, reinforcing the corner market selection.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 73% vs implied 62% · edge +11.6 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
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Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 75%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
FC Juarez to WinBetfred guide price · model 42%
3
Check odds @ 3
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 56%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Atlante FC Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 53%
1.92
Check odds @ 1.92
FC Juarez Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 52%
1.88
Check odds @ 1.88
Atlante FC to WinBetMGM guide price · model 43%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
The 69% for Over 9.5 Corners sits against roughly 55.6% implied by the current price (+13.4 pts). Atlante FC lead the corner sample at 7.2 per match, with FC Juarez lower at 5.8.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

FC Juarez

LDLWL
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 1D 8L
18 Oct 2026A Cruz Azul0-5
11 Oct 2026H Club Tijuana1-1
28 Sep 2026A Leon1-2
19 Sep 2026H Tigres UANL2-0
14 Sep 2026A Santos Laguna1-2

Atlante FC

LLWDL
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 4D 4L
17 Oct 2026H U.N.A.M. - Pumas1-2
11 Oct 2026A Club Queretaro0-2
26 Sep 2026H Monterrey4-2
19 Sep 2026A Puebla1-1
12 Sep 2026H CF Pachuca0-3
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 71% vs implied 64% · edge +7.3 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
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Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 72%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
FC Juarez to WinBetfred guide price · model 42%
3
Check odds @ 3
Atlante FC Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 53%
1.92
Check odds @ 1.92
FC Juarez Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 52%
1.88
Check odds @ 1.88
Atlante FC to WinBetMGM guide price · model 43%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
DrawBet365 guide price · model 30%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Recent form shows both teams earning 4 points with similar goals scored and conceded, maintaining a 60% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals. This consistency in open, attacking matches supports the likelihood of numerous corners as both teams push forward.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%FC Juarez Over 2.5
60%Atlante FC Over 2.5
2.44H2H avg goals
In the last nine head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.44, indicating open games. Over recent matches, both teams maintain a 60% over 2.5 goals rate, suggesting a tempo and attacking pattern conducive to generating corners through transitions and set pieces.

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