Harrogate Town
BuryFA Cup | Tue 20 Oct, 19:45
Harrogate Town v Bury Stats
Data last updated: Mon 19 Oct 2026, 09:21 UK timeMatch Report
Fixture analysis
This FA Cup clash features Harrogate Town hosting Bury in a midweek fixture with Bury showing strong recent form, having collected 10 points in their last matches compared to just 1 point for Harrogate Town. Bury's attacking threat and defensive solidity, combined with their momentum, set up an intriguing contest where the visitors look well placed to claim victory despite the neutral venue. The tactical battle will hinge on Bury's ability to control the game and exploit Harrogate's struggles in front of goal.
Bury to Win
- Bury has earned 10 points recently versus Harrogate Town's 1 point, indicating superior form.
- Bury boasts a 75% rate of matches with over 2.5 goals, suggesting attacking potency.
- Harrogate Town has a 100% BTTS rate but has scored only 1 goal recently, showing limited offensive output.
- Bury concedes fewer than 1 goal per game on average, highlighting defensive resilience.
- The model assigns Bury a 70% chance to win with strong value at of 4.75.
Why The Model Likes This Bet
Chance, price and football numbers
The model strongly favors Bury to win based on their superior recent form and attacking efficiency, reflected in a 70% win probability. Bury's ability to score and keep clean sheets contrasts with Harrogate Town's limited goal output and poor recent results. The offer significant value, with a nearly 49% edge over the implied chance. This pick is supported by consistent data without any price warnings, making it a confident selection for this FA Cup tie.
Verdict
BT4Y analyst view
Bury's recent run of form and attacking threat make them the clear choice to win this FA Cup fixture. Their ability to score goals consistently and maintain defensive discipline contrasts sharply with Harrogate Town's struggles, providing a strong tactical and statistical basis for backing the visitors.
Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.
Quote from Expert
BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome
“Bury's momentum and goal-scoring efficiency position them well to overcome Harrogate Town, who have struggled to convert chances despite frequent goal attempts. This match should favor Bury's balanced approach and recent .”
Key Data Signals
Bury to Win evidence
Bury has earned 10 points recently versus Harrogate Town's 1 point, indicating superior form.
Bury boasts a 75% rate of matches with over 2.5 goals, suggesting attacking potency.
Harrogate Town has a 100% BTTS rate but has scored only 1 goal recently, showing limited offensive output.
Bury concedes fewer than 1 goal per game on average, highlighting defensive resilience.
What To Watch In The Data
Bury to Win notes
- Recent trends show a strong inclination towards over 2.5 goals in Bury's matches, with a 75% rate over the last fixtures.
- The single previous meeting between these teams averaged 2 goals, suggesting a moderate scoring history.
- The tempo and attacking intent from Bury support expectations for a lively, goal-rich encounter.
Goals, BTTS and over/under
Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.
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Useful next reads
Market odds
Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.
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Recent form
Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.
Harrogate Town
Bury
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Key match trends
Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.
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