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Espanyol crestEspanyol
v
Real Madrid crestReal Madrid

La Liga | Sun 03 May, 20:00

Espanyol v Real Madrid Stats

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • At 2.75, Both Teams to Score is priced at roughly 36% implied probability. Our model has it closer to 73%, so the current line is showing a +36.9-point value edge.
  • Espanyol have scored in 40% of the recent sample and Real Madrid have scored in 100%, with BTTS rates of 40% and 100%.
  • The goals data supports the Both Teams to Score angle: Espanyol have taken 0 wins from their last 5 matches, averaging 0.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded.
  • The goals data supports the Both Teams to Score angle: Real Madrid have taken 2 wins from their last 5 matches, with BTTS landing in 100% of that sample.
  • If the bookmaker is still close to 2.75, this is the market to check first because the data and the price are both pointing in the same direction.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 73% vs implied 36% · edge +36.9 pts
2.75
Bet HERE @ 2.75
Load more odds for this section
Away WinBetMGM guide price · model 70%
1.7
Bet HERE @ 1.7
Away Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.42
Bet HERE @ 1.42
Home Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.75
Bet HERE @ 2.75
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 61%
1.57
Bet HERE @ 1.57
Home WinBetfred guide price · model 27%
4.75
Bet HERE @ 4.75
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 19%
3.9
Bet HERE @ 3.9
Key match trends

A quick read of the strongest visible indicators.

40%Espanyol Over 2.5
60%Real Madrid Over 2.5
3.2H2H avg goals
Recent form

Results and scoring shape from recent games.

Espanyol

DLLDL
Last 50W 2D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 5D 5L
27 Apr 2026H Levante0-0
23 Apr 2026A Rayo Vallecano0-1
11 Apr 2026A Barcelona1-4
04 Apr 2026A Real Betis0-0
21 Mar 2026H Getafe1-2

Real Madrid

DWDLW
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 2D 3L
24 Apr 2026A Real Betis1-1
21 Apr 2026H Alaves2-1
10 Apr 2026H Girona1-1
04 Apr 2026A Mallorca1-2
22 Mar 2026H Atletico Madrid3-2
Best odds for this sectionAway WinBetMGM guide price · Model 70% vs implied 59% · edge +11.2 pts
1.7
Bet HERE @ 1.7
Load more odds for this section
Away Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.42
Bet HERE @ 1.42
Away / DrawBetUK guide price · model 84%
1.17
Bet HERE @ 1.17
Home Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.75
Bet HERE @ 2.75
Home WinBetfred guide price · model 27%
4.75
Bet HERE @ 4.75
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 48%
1.62
Bet HERE @ 1.62
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 19%
3.9
Bet HERE @ 3.9
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Goal-market data and related prices.

Espanyol0.4
Avg goals scored
Real Madrid1.6
Espanyol1.4
Avg goals conceded
Real Madrid1.4
Espanyol40%
BTTS rate
Real Madrid100%
Espanyol40%
Over 2.5 goals
Real Madrid60%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 73% vs implied 36% · edge +36.9 pts
2.75
Bet HERE @ 2.75
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 79%
1.17
Bet HERE @ 1.17
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 61%
1.57
Bet HERE @ 1.57
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 43%
2.38
Bet HERE @ 2.38
Under 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 43%
2.38
Bet HERE @ 2.38
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 31%
1.4
Bet HERE @ 1.4
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and related markets.

2Espanyol wins
0Draws
8Real Madrid wins
20 Sep 2025Real Madrid v Espanyol2-0
01 Feb 2025Espanyol v Real Madrid1-0
21 Sep 2024Real Madrid v Espanyol4-1
11 Mar 2023Real Madrid v Espanyol3-1
28 Aug 2022Espanyol v Real Madrid1-3
30 Apr 2022Real Madrid v Espanyol4-0
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 73% vs implied 36% · edge +36.9 pts
2.75
Bet HERE @ 2.75
Load more odds for this section
Away WinBetMGM guide price · model 70%
1.7
Bet HERE @ 1.7
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 61%
1.57
Bet HERE @ 1.57
Home WinBetfred guide price · model 27%
4.75
Bet HERE @ 4.75
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 19%
3.9
Bet HERE @ 3.9
Corners, cards and shots

Detailed stat markets where available.

Espanyol5.8
Avg corners for
Real Madrid6.6
Espanyol11.8
Avg total corners
Real Madrid10.8
Espanyol3.6
Avg yellow cards
Real Madrid1.6
Espanyol11.4
Avg shots
Real Madrid18
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 69% vs implied 56% · edge +13 pts
1.8
Bet HERE @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
Over 4.5 CardsBetfred guide price · model 65%
1.95
Bet HERE @ 1.95
Player stats

Player props and player-level signals.

Best player angleKylian Mbappé Anytime GoalscorerKylian Mbappé · 24 goals · 2.28 SOT/90
86/100
Bet HERE
Load more player angles
Kylian Mbappé 1+ Shot On TargetKylian Mbappé · 2.28 shots on target/90
84/100
Bet HERE
Kylian Mbappé 2+ ShotsKylian Mbappé · 3.75 shots/90
82/100
Bet HERE
Daniel Yañez To Assist / Key Pass AngleDaniel Yañez · 1 assists · 5.63 key passes/90
78/100
Bet HERE
Vinícius Júnior To Be FouledVinícius Júnior · 2.73 fouls won/90
80/100
Bet HERE
Pol Lozano Card RiskPol Lozano · 10 yellows · 2.67 fouls/90
80/100
Bet HERE
Kylian Mbappé
Kylian MbappéReal Madrid · Attacker
Goal threat100/100
Shots /903.75
SOT /902.28
Vinícius Júnior
Vinícius JúniorReal Madrid · Attacker
Goal threat86/100
Shots /902.49
SOT /901.54
Kike García
Kike GarcíaEspanyol · Attacker
Goal threat67/100
Shots /902.59
SOT /901.38
Rodrygo
RodrygoReal Madrid · Attacker
Goal threat53/100
Shots /902.51
SOT /901.46
Pol Lozano
Pol LozanoEspanyol · Midfielder
Goal threat22/100
Shots /900.36
SOT /900.22
José Salinas
José SalinasEspanyol · Defender
Goal threat2/100
Shots /900
SOT /900
C. Ngonge
C. NgongeEspanyol · Attacker
Goal threat29/100
Shots /902.32
SOT /900.85
Season team stats

La Liga

Espanyol34
Played
Real Madrid34
Espanyol1.1
Avg goals for
Real Madrid2.1
Espanyol1.5
Avg goals against
Real Madrid0.9
Espanyol9
Clean sheets
Real Madrid12
Best odds for this sectionAway WinBetMGM guide price · Model 70% vs implied 59% · edge +11.2 pts
1.7
Bet HERE @ 1.7
Load more odds for this section
Away Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.42
Bet HERE @ 1.42
Home Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.75
Bet HERE @ 2.75
Home WinBetfred guide price · model 27%
4.75
Bet HERE @ 4.75
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
2Real Madrid7734245539
13Espanyol393410915-14

Next step

Betting context

Use the best-bet case above as the starting point, then check the live odds and the full prediction before staking.