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Deportivo Pereira crestDeportivo Pereira
v
Jaguares crestJaguares

Primera A | Sun 16 Aug, 22:00

Deportivo Pereira v Jaguares Stats

Data last updated: Sat 15 Aug 2026, 07:45 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Deportivo Pereira and Jaguares meet in a Primera A clash where both sides have struggled to find consistent attacking form. Pereira's recent matches have been low-scoring affairs, while Jaguares have shown a cautious approach with defensive vulnerabilities but limited goal output. Both teams sit in the lower half of the table, adding pressure to avoid defeat but also encouraging a pragmatic tactical setup. This match is likely to feature tight defensive organization and limited clear-cut chances, setting the stage for a low-scoring encounter.

BT4Y best bet

Under 2.5 Goals

  • Deportivo Pereira has not scored in recent matches, averaging 0.2 goals per game.
  • Jaguares average only 0.6 goals per game with a 20% rate of matches over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams have low BTTS rates, with Pereira at 0% and Jaguares at 20%.
  • Average shots on target are modest: Pereira 1.8, Jaguares 3 per game.
  • H2H meetings average 1.8 goals, indicating generally tight scorelines.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Under 2.5 Goals with a 66% chance, reflecting both teams' recent low scoring and defensive tendencies. Deportivo Pereira's inability to score consistently and Jaguares' cautious approach limit the likelihood of a high-scoring game. The average goals in their head-to-head and recent form data support a controlled tempo with few clear chances. This pick is a solid value given the and the football context, though the relatively low shot volumes suggest a match dominated by defensive discipline rather than open attacking play.

Model Chance66%
Strong positive
Recent Goals ScoredPereira 0.2, Jaguares 0.6 per game
Strong positive
BTTS RatesPereira 0%, Jaguares 20%
Positive
Average Shots on TargetPereira 1.8, Jaguares 3
Positive
H2H Average Goals1.8 goals per match
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

This fixture is poised for a tight, low-scoring contest given both teams' recent struggles to convert chances and their defensive setups. Deportivo Pereira's lack of goals and Jaguares' cautious playstyle suggest Under 2.5 Goals is a sensible call, supported by the low shot volumes and historical goal averages.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome and goal expectation

“The data points to a match where defensive organization will dominate, limiting goal-scoring opportunities and making Under 2.5 Goals the most logical outcome.”

Key Data Signals

Under 2.5 Goals evidence

Deportivo Pereira has not scored in recent matches, averaging 0.2 goals per game.

Both teams have low BTTS rates, with Pereira at 0% and Jaguares at 20%.

Average shots on target are modest: Pereira 1.8, Jaguares 3 per game.

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2.5 Goals notes

  • In the last ten head-to-head meetings, the average goals scored is 1.8, indicating a trend toward low-scoring games.
  • This sample suggests a tempo controlled by defensive organization and limited attacking breakthroughs, reinforcing the likelihood of Under 2.5 Goals in this fixture.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Deportivo Pereira2.4
Avg corners for
Jaguares3.6
Deportivo Pereira9
Avg total corners
Jaguares7.4
Deportivo Pereira2
Avg yellow cards
Jaguares2.8
Deportivo Pereira7.8
Avg shots
Jaguares10.2
Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 59% vs implied 55% · edge +4.1 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
The match is expected to feature modest attacking pressure, with Pereira averaging 2.4 corners and Jaguares 3.6. Yellow card averages suggest moderate fouling, particularly from Jaguares, which may disrupt rhythm but not necessarily lead to open play. Shot volumes are low to moderate, indicating limited sustained pressure and few high-quality chances.

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Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Deportivo Pereira0.2
Avg goals scored
Jaguares0.6
Deportivo Pereira0.8
Avg goals conceded
Jaguares1.4
Deportivo Pereira0%
BTTS rate
Jaguares20%
Deportivo Pereira0%
Over 2.5 goals
Jaguares20%
Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 66% vs implied 61% · edge +5.4 pts
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
Load more odds for this section
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 22%
4
Check odds @ 4
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 34%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 52%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 37%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Both teams have low BTTS rates, with Pereira failing to score in recent games and Jaguares scoring sporadically. The average goals per game and head-to-head data indicate a controlled scoring environment, where defensive discipline limits open chances and reduces the likelihood of both teams scoring.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 59% vs implied 55% · edge +4.1 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Load more odds for this section
Jaguares to WinBetUK guide price · model 41%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Jaguares Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 52%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
Deportivo Pereira Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 54%
1.72
Check odds @ 1.72
Deportivo Pereira to WinBetfred guide price · model 43%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 30%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 34%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
The Under 2.5 Goals market is priced with a slight , reflecting the model's 66% probability against an implied 60.6%. This pricing suggests a cautious market consensus aligned with the defensive nature of both teams and their recent low-scoring matches, making it a reasonable selection without major price sensitivity.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Deportivo Pereira

DLLWL
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 3D 6L
01 Aug 2026A Fortaleza FC0-0
25 Jul 2026A Llaneros0-1
03 May 2026A America de Cali0-1
25 Apr 2026H Atletico Nacional1-0
19 Apr 2026A Deportes Tolima0-2

Jaguares

DLLLW
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 2D 6L
10 Aug 2026H Once Caldas1-1
06 Aug 2026A Internacional de Bogota0-1
02 Aug 2026H Atletico Nacional0-3
25 Jul 2026A Deportivo Cali0-2
02 May 2026H Cucuta2-0
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 71% vs implied 64% · edge +7.3 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Load more odds for this section
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 73%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Jaguares to WinBetUK guide price · model 41%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Jaguares Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 52%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
Deportivo Pereira Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 54%
1.72
Check odds @ 1.72
Deportivo Pereira to WinBetfred guide price · model 43%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 30%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Recent form data shows Deportivo Pereira struggling offensively with only 0.2 goals per game and no matches over 2.5 goals, while Jaguares have a slightly higher but still modest scoring rate and a 20% over 2.5 goals rate. Both teams' recent matches have been low-scoring, reinforcing the likelihood of a tight game with few goals.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

5Deportivo Pereira wins
2Draws
3Jaguares wins
26 May 2026Deportivo Pereira v Jaguares1-0
09 Feb 2026Jaguares v Deportivo Pereira1-0
01 Nov 2024Jaguares v Deportivo Pereira1-2
14 Apr 2024Deportivo Pereira v Jaguares0-0
19 Aug 2023Deportivo Pereira v Jaguares3-0
26 Feb 2023Jaguares v Deportivo Pereira2-0
Best odds for this sectionJaguares to WinBetUK guide price · Model 41% vs implied 31% · edge +9.7 pts
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Load more odds for this section
Deportivo Pereira to WinBetfred guide price · model 43%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 30%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 34%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 37%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
The ten previous meetings between Deportivo Pereira and Jaguares have averaged 1.8 goals per game, highlighting a consistent pattern of low-scoring encounters. This historical trend supports expectations of a tight match with few goals, reflecting balanced defensive efforts and cautious attacking approaches from both sides.
Season team stats

Primera A

Deportivo Pereira21
Played
Jaguares23
Deportivo Pereira0.7
Avg goals for
Jaguares0.9
Deportivo Pereira1.6
Avg goals against
Jaguares1.7
Deportivo Pereira4
Clean sheets
Jaguares4
Best odds for this sectionJaguares to WinBetUK guide price · Model 41% vs implied 31% · edge +9.7 pts
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Load more odds for this section
Jaguares Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 52%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
Deportivo Pereira Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 54%
1.72
Check odds @ 1.72
Deportivo Pereira to WinBetfred guide price · model 43%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Season-long statistics reveal both teams have low scoring outputs and moderate defensive records, with Pereira conceding fewer goals on average than Jaguares. The low goals-for and goals-against numbers support an expectation of a cautious match with limited goal-scoring opportunities, consistent with an Under 2.5 Goals outcome.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
16Jaguares18195311-13
20Deportivo Pereira10191711-17
14Deportivo Pereira12011-1
17Jaguares14013-6
Both teams occupy lower positions in the league standings, with Pereira 14th and Jaguares 17th, each having just one point in recent matches. This standing adds pressure to avoid defeat but also encourages pragmatic tactics prioritizing defensive solidity over attacking risk, aligning with a low-scoring match scenario.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

0%Deportivo Pereira Over 2.5
20%Jaguares Over 2.5
1.8H2H avg goals
In the last ten head-to-head meetings, the average goals scored is 1.8, indicating a trend toward low-scoring games. This sample suggests a tempo controlled by defensive organization and limited attacking breakthroughs, reinforcing the likelihood of Under 2.5 Goals in this fixture.

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