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Blooming crestBlooming
v
RB Bragantino crestRB Bragantino

CONMEBOL Sudamericana | Fri 08 May, 01:30

Blooming v RB Bragantino Stats

Data last updated: Sat 25 Jul 2026, 07:42 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Blooming face RB Bragantino in CONMEBOL Sudamericana on Fri 08 May, 01:30. Blooming come in with 4 recent points and 1.5 goals per match, while RB Bragantino have 3 points and 1 goals per match in the same lens. In this competition context, game state, selection calls and recent rhythm matter more than a simple table position.

BT4Y best bet

Over 9.5 Corners

  • At 1.95, Over 9.5 Corners implies roughly 51%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 66%.
  • RB Bragantino lead the corner sample at 5 per match, with Blooming lower at 4.
  • Corner value is stronger when the territory also produces shots: Blooming average 15.67 and RB Bragantino average 12.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 66% for Over 9.5 Corners sits against roughly 51% implied by the current price. RB Bragantino lead the corner sample at 5 per match, with Blooming lower at 4.

Model chance vs price66% model chance against roughly 51% implied
Strong positive
RB Bragantino lead the corner sample at 5 per match.Visible data support
Positive
Corner value is stronger when the territory also produces shots.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Over 9.5 Corners is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers RB Bragantino lead the corner sample at 5 per match, with Blooming lower at 4. Corner volume can be sterile if territory does not become shots, crosses or repeat box entries.

Main risk

Corner volume can be sterile if territory does not become shots, crosses or repeat box entries.

Key Data Signals

Over 9.5 Corners evidence

RB Bragantino lead the corner sample at 5 per match, with Blooming lower at 4.

Corner value is stronger when the territory also produces shots: Blooming average 15.67 and RB Bragantino average 12.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 9.5 Corners notes

  • Use corner averages alongside shot pressure to separate territory from real threat.
  • Check whether wide attacks are producing repeat deliveries rather than harmless possession.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Blooming4
Avg corners for
RB Bragantino5
Blooming7.33
Avg total corners
RB Bragantino11
Blooming3.33
Avg yellow cards
RB Bragantino6
Blooming15.67
Avg shots
RB Bragantino12
Market aligned with main pickOver 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Model 66% vs implied 51% · edge +15 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
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Over 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 61%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Over 5.5 CardsBet365 guide price
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

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Useful next reads

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Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Blooming1.5
Avg goals scored
RB Bragantino1
Blooming1.5
Avg goals conceded
RB Bragantino1.33
Blooming50%
BTTS rate
RB Bragantino33%
Blooming50%
Over 2.5 goals
RB Bragantino33%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 46% vs implied 31% · edge +15 pts
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
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Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 70%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 34%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 43%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionOver 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · Model 61% vs implied 46% · edge +15 pts
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
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Blooming to WinBetMGM guide price · model 48%
3
Check odds @ 3
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 46%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Blooming Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 60%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
DrawBet365 guide price · model 28%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
RB Bragantino Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 44%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 3.5 Cards is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Blooming

LLDW
Last 51W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 1D 2L
30 Apr 2026A Carabobo FC0-2
17 Apr 2026A RB Bragantino2-3
09 Apr 2026H River Plate1-1
04 Mar 2026H San Antonio Bulo Bulo3-0

RB Bragantino

LWL
Last 51W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 2L
01 May 2026H River Plate0-1
17 Apr 2026H Blooming3-2
10 Apr 2026A Carabobo FC0-1
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 61% · edge +15 pts
1.64
Check odds @ 1.64
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Blooming to WinBetMGM guide price · model 48%
3
Check odds @ 3
Blooming Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 60%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
DrawBet365 guide price · model 28%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
RB Bragantino Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 44%
2
Check odds @ 2
Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 62%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
RB Bragantino to WinBetUK guide price · model 34%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Blooming wins
0Draws
1RB Bragantino wins
17 Apr 2026RB Bragantino v Blooming3-2
Best odds for this sectionBlooming to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 48% vs implied 33% · edge +15 pts
3
Check odds @ 3
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 46%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
DrawBet365 guide price · model 28%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
RB Bragantino to WinBetUK guide price · model 34%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
The head-to-head sample gives context for Blooming to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Season team stats

CONMEBOL Sudamericana

Blooming7
Played
RB Bragantino7
Blooming0.9
Avg goals for
RB Bragantino1.7
Blooming2.4
Avg goals against
RB Bragantino0.7
Blooming1
Clean sheets
RB Bragantino3
Best odds for this sectionBlooming to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 48% vs implied 33% · edge +15 pts
3
Check odds @ 3
Load more odds for this section
Blooming Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 60%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
RB Bragantino Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 44%
2
Check odds @ 2
RB Bragantino to WinBetUK guide price · model 34%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Season data supports Blooming to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
2RB Bragantino1063127
4Blooming16015-14
CONMEBOL Sudamericana standings are background only here: the useful read is whether the form and chance profile translate into control, territory and clear openings in this specific fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

50%Blooming Over 2.5
33%RB Bragantino Over 2.5
5H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Blooming sit at 50% and RB Bragantino sit at 33% with the H2H average at 5 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

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Betting context

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