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Blooming crestBlooming
v
RB Bragantino crestRB Bragantino

CONMEBOL Sudamericana | Fri 08 May, 01:30

Blooming v RB Bragantino Stats

Data last updated: Sat 13 Jun 2026, 08:27 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Blooming face RB Bragantino in CONMEBOL Sudamericana on Fri 08 May, 01:30. Blooming come in with 4 recent points and 1.5 goals per match, while RB Bragantino have 3 points and 1 goals per match in the same lens. In this competition context, game state, selection calls and recent rhythm matter more than a simple table position.

BT4Y best bet

Over 3.5 Cards

  • At 2.2, Over 3.5 Cards implies roughly 46%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 75%.
  • RB Bragantino have the higher yellow-card average at 3.67, while Blooming sit at 3.5.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 75% for Over 3.5 Cards sits against roughly 46% implied by the current price. RB Bragantino have the higher yellow-card average at 3.67, while Blooming sit at 3.5.

Model chance vs price75% model chance against roughly 46% implied
Strong positive
RB Bragantino have the higher yellow-card average at 3.67.Visible data support
Positive
Price sensitivityEdge +29.5 pts
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Over 3.5 Cards is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers RB Bragantino have the higher yellow-card average at 3.67, while Blooming sit at 3.5. The card line needs match pressure and repeated duels; a controlled game state would weaken the booking angle.

Key Data Signals

Over 3.5 Cards evidence

RB Bragantino have the higher yellow-card average at 3.67, while Blooming sit at 3.5.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 3.5 Cards notes

  • Compare both yellow-card averages before treating the card line as value.
  • Check whether match pressure is likely to create fouls and recovery challenges.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Blooming4.25
Avg corners for
RB Bragantino6.67
Blooming8.75
Avg total corners
RB Bragantino12
Blooming3.5
Avg yellow cards
RB Bragantino3.67
Blooming15
Avg shots
RB Bragantino19
Market aligned with main pickOver 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · Model 75% vs implied 46% · edge +29.5 pts
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
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Over 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 69%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 5.5 CardsBet365 guide price
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 3.5 Cards needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

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Useful next reads

corners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Blooming1.5
Avg goals scored
RB Bragantino1
Blooming1.5
Avg goals conceded
RB Bragantino1.33
Blooming50%
BTTS rate
RB Bragantino33%
Blooming50%
Over 2.5 goals
RB Bragantino33%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 61% vs implied 31% · edge +30.2 pts
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
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Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 70%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 34%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 43%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · Model 75% vs implied 46% · edge +29.5 pts
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 61%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Blooming to WinBetMGM guide price · model 50%
3
Check odds @ 3
Blooming Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 60%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
DrawBet365 guide price · model 28%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
RB Bragantino Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 44%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 3.5 Cards is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Blooming

LLDW
Last 51W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 1D 2L
30 Apr 2026A Carabobo FC0-2
17 Apr 2026A RB Bragantino2-3
09 Apr 2026H River Plate1-1
04 Mar 2026H San Antonio Bulo Bulo3-0

RB Bragantino

LWL
Last 51W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 2L
01 May 2026H River Plate0-1
17 Apr 2026H Blooming3-2
10 Apr 2026A Carabobo FC0-1
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 78% vs implied 61% · edge +16.9 pts
1.64
Check odds @ 1.64
Load more odds for this section
Blooming to WinBetMGM guide price · model 50%
3
Check odds @ 3
Blooming Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 60%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
DrawBet365 guide price · model 28%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
RB Bragantino Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 44%
2
Check odds @ 2
Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 62%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
RB Bragantino to WinBetUK guide price · model 34%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Blooming wins
0Draws
1RB Bragantino wins
17 Apr 2026RB Bragantino v Blooming3-2
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 61% vs implied 31% · edge +30.2 pts
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Load more odds for this section
Blooming to WinBetMGM guide price · model 50%
3
Check odds @ 3
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
DrawBet365 guide price · model 28%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
RB Bragantino to WinBetUK guide price · model 34%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
The head-to-head sample gives context for BTTS Yes, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Season team stats

CONMEBOL Sudamericana

Blooming7
Played
RB Bragantino6
Blooming0.9
Avg goals for
RB Bragantino2
Blooming2.4
Avg goals against
RB Bragantino0.8
Blooming1
Clean sheets
RB Bragantino2
Best odds for this sectionBlooming to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 50% vs implied 33% · edge +16.8 pts
3
Check odds @ 3
Load more odds for this section
Blooming Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 60%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
RB Bragantino Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 44%
2
Check odds @ 2
RB Bragantino to WinBetUK guide price · model 34%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Season data supports Blooming to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
2RB Bragantino1063127
4Blooming16015-14
CONMEBOL Sudamericana standings are background only here: the useful read is whether the form and chance profile translate into control, territory and clear openings in this specific fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

50%Blooming Over 2.5
33%RB Bragantino Over 2.5
5H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Blooming sit at 50% and RB Bragantino sit at 33% with the H2H average at 5 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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Betting context

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