Football Stats Hub

Paks crestPaks
v
Panathinaikos crestPanathinaikos

UEFA Europa Conference League | Thu 23 Jul, 19:00

Paks v Panathinaikos Stats

Data last updated: Wed 22 Jul 2026, 05:24 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Paks face Panathinaikos in UEFA Europa Conference League on Thu 23 Jul, 19:00. In this competition context, game state, selection calls and recent rhythm matter more than a simple table position.

BT4Y best bet

Under 2.5 Goals

  • At 2.25, Under 2.5 Goals implies roughly 44%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 54%.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 54% for Under 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 44% implied by the current price.

Model chance vs price54% model chance against roughly 44% implied
Positive
Price sensitivityEdge +9.6 pts
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Under 2.5 Goals is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2.5 Goals notes

  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionPaks Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 45% vs implied 32% · edge +12.7 pts
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Load more odds for this section
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Panathinaikos Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 63%
1.35
Check odds @ 1.35
Panathinaikos to WinBet365 guide price · model 55%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 50%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Paks to WinBetUK guide price · model 22%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 50%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Paks Draw No Bet is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

-Paks Over 2.5
-Panathinaikos Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Paks-
Avg goals scored
Panathinaikos-
Paks-
Avg goals conceded
Panathinaikos-
Paks-
BTTS rate
Panathinaikos-
Paks-
Over 2.5 goals
Panathinaikos-
Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 54% vs implied 44% · edge +9.6 pts
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Load more odds for this section
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 54%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 68%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 50%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 50%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 32%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Paks

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Paks yet.

Panathinaikos

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Panathinaikos yet.

Best odds for this sectionPaks Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 45% vs implied 32% · edge +12.7 pts
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Load more odds for this section
Away / DrawBetUK guide price · model 78%
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 48%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Panathinaikos Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 63%
1.35
Check odds @ 1.35
Panathinaikos to WinBet365 guide price · model 55%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Paks to WinBetUK guide price · model 22%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
DrawBetfred guide price · model 23%
4
Check odds @ 4

Loading deeper match data…