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Orgryte IS crestOrgryte IS
v
IF Elfsborg crestIF Elfsborg

Allsvenskan | Fri 29 May, 18:00

Orgryte IS v IF Elfsborg Stats

Data last updated: Fri 10 Jul 2026, 01:29 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Orgryte IS face IF Elfsborg in Allsvenskan on Fri 29 May, 18:00. Orgryte IS come in with 1 recent points and 0.6 goals per match, while IF Elfsborg have 7 points and 1.2 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

IF Elfsborg to Win

  • At 1.85, IF Elfsborg Win implies roughly 54%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 70%.
  • IF Elfsborg have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 1 for Orgryte IS.
  • IF Elfsborg have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.8 conceded per match, which helps the IF Elfsborg Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Orgryte IS sit 16 in the table, while IF Elfsborg sit 4, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 70% for IF Elfsborg Win sits against roughly 54% implied by the current price. IF Elfsborg have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 1 for Orgryte IS.

Model chance vs price70% model chance against roughly 54% implied
Strong positive
IF Elfsborg have the stronger recent points return, taking 7.Visible data support
Positive
IF Elfsborg have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.8 conceded.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: IF Elfsborg Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers IF Elfsborg have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 1 for Orgryte IS. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

IF Elfsborg Win evidence

IF Elfsborg have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 1 for Orgryte IS.

IF Elfsborg have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.8 conceded per match, which helps the IF Elfsborg Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Orgryte IS sit 16 in the table, while IF Elfsborg sit 4, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

IF Elfsborg Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Orgryte IS0.6
    Avg goals scored
    IF Elfsborg1.2
    Orgryte IS2.4
    Avg goals conceded
    IF Elfsborg0.8
    Orgryte IS40%
    BTTS rate
    IF Elfsborg80%
    Orgryte IS40%
    Over 2.5 goals
    IF Elfsborg0%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 73% vs implied 59% · edge +14.5 pts
    1.7
    Check odds @ 1.7
    Load more odds for this section
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 61%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 61%
    1.25
    Check odds @ 1.25
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 43%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 25%
    3
    Check odds @ 3
    BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 31%
    2.05
    Check odds @ 2.05

    Continue the research

    Useful next reads

    corners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickIF Elfsborg to WinBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 54% · edge +15.9 pts
    1.85
    Check odds @ 1.85
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 73%
    1.7
    Check odds @ 1.7
    IF Elfsborg Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 43%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    IF Elfsborg to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Orgryte IS4.4
    Avg corners for
    IF Elfsborg4.4
    Orgryte IS8.8
    Avg total corners
    IF Elfsborg9.2
    Orgryte IS1.8
    Avg yellow cards
    IF Elfsborg1
    Orgryte IS10
    Avg shots
    IF Elfsborg11.8
    Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 56% vs implied 58% · edge -2.3 pts
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price
    2.02
    Check odds @ 2.02
    Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Orgryte IS

    LLLLD
    Last 50W 1D 4L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 2D 6L
    23 May 2026A Halmstad0-2
    19 May 2026H IFK Goteborg2-3
    11 May 2026A Sirius0-2
    03 May 2026A Gais0-4
    27 Apr 2026H Degerfors IF1-1

    IF Elfsborg

    DDDWD
    Last 51W 4D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 104W 5D 1L
    25 May 2026H BK Hacken1-1
    21 May 2026H Mjallby AIF1-1
    16 May 2026A Halmstad1-1
    08 May 2026H IF Brommapojkarna2-0
    03 May 2026H AIK Stockholm1-1
    Market aligned with main pickIF Elfsborg to WinBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 54% · edge +15.9 pts
    1.85
    Check odds @ 1.85
    Load more odds for this section
    IF Elfsborg Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
    Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 84%
    1.2
    Check odds @ 1.2
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    1Orgryte IS wins
    0Draws
    1IF Elfsborg wins
    16 Feb 2025IF Elfsborg v Orgryte IS3-1
    24 Feb 2024Orgryte IS v IF Elfsborg3-2
    Market aligned with main pickIF Elfsborg to WinBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 54% · edge +15.9 pts
    1.85
    Check odds @ 1.85
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 73%
    1.7
    Check odds @ 1.7
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 43%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    The head-to-head sample gives context for IF Elfsborg to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Season team stats

    Allsvenskan

    Orgryte IS11
    Played
    IF Elfsborg12
    Orgryte IS0.9
    Avg goals for
    IF Elfsborg1.4
    Orgryte IS2.5
    Avg goals against
    IF Elfsborg1.1
    Orgryte IS1
    Clean sheets
    IF Elfsborg3
    Market aligned with main pickIF Elfsborg to WinBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 54% · edge +15.9 pts
    1.85
    Check odds @ 1.85
    Load more odds for this section
    IF Elfsborg Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
    Season data supports IF Elfsborg to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    4IF Elfsborg18124624
    16Orgryte IS611137-18
    Orgryte IS sit in position 16, while IF Elfsborg sit in position 4, so table pressure belongs in the IF Elfsborg Win assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    40%Orgryte IS Over 2.5
    0%IF Elfsborg Over 2.5
    4.5H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Orgryte IS sit at 40% and IF Elfsborg sit at 0% with the H2H average at 4.5 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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