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Flamengo crestFlamengo
v
Estudiantes L.P. crestEstudiantes L.P.

CONMEBOL Libertadores | Thu 21 May, 01:30

Flamengo v Estudiantes L.P. Stats

Data last updated: Wed 10 Jun 2026, 07:49 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Flamengo face Estudiantes L.P. in CONMEBOL Libertadores on Thu 21 May, 01:30. Flamengo come in with 10 recent points and 2.5 goals per match, while Estudiantes L.P. have 6 points and 1.25 goals per match in the same lens. In this competition context, game state, selection calls and recent rhythm matter more than a simple table position.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • At 4.5, Both Teams To Score implies roughly 22%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 76%.
  • Flamengo show a 50% BTTS rate and Estudiantes L.P. Show a 100% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • Flamengo average 2.5 goals scored and Estudiantes L.P. Average 1.25, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 76% for Both Teams To Score sits against roughly 22% implied by the current price. Flamengo show a 50% BTTS rate and Estudiantes L.P. Show a 100% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Model chance vs price76% model chance against roughly 22% implied
Strong positive
Flamengo show a 50% BTTS rate and Estudiantes L.P. Show.Visible data support
Positive
Flamengo average 2.5 goals scored and Estudiantes L.P. Average 1.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Flamengo show a 50% BTTS rate and Estudiantes L.P. Show a 100% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams To Score evidence

Flamengo show a 50% BTTS rate and Estudiantes L.P. Show a 100% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Flamengo average 2.5 goals scored and Estudiantes L.P. Average 1.25, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams To Score notes

  • Compare both teams on scoring rate and clean-sheet record before trusting Both Teams To Score.
  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Flamengo2.5
Avg goals scored
Estudiantes L.P.1.25
Flamengo0.5
Avg goals conceded
Estudiantes L.P.1
Flamengo50%
BTTS rate
Estudiantes L.P.100%
Flamengo50%
Over 2.5 goals
Estudiantes L.P.25%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 22% · edge +53.8 pts
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
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Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 65%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 40%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 22%
4
Check odds @ 4
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 22% · edge +53.8 pts
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
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Over 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 66%
2
Check odds @ 2
Estudiantes L.P. Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 42%
4.25
Check odds @ 4.25
Flamengo to WinBet365 guide price · model 72%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Flamengo Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 78%
1.21
Check odds @ 1.21
Estudiantes L.P. to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
7.5
Check odds @ 7.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 40%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
BTTS Yes is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.

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Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Flamengo3.25
Avg corners for
Estudiantes L.P.4
Flamengo7
Avg total corners
Estudiantes L.P.7
Flamengo0.5
Avg yellow cards
Estudiantes L.P.3.75
Flamengo13
Avg shots
Estudiantes L.P.14.75
Best odds for this sectionOver 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · Model 66% vs implied 50% · edge +15.6 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
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Over 5.5 CardsBetfred guide price
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Over 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 37%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 3.5 Cards needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Flamengo

WDWW
Last 53W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 1D 0L
08 May 2026A Independiente Medellin3-0
30 Apr 2026A Estudiantes L.P.1-1
17 Apr 2026H Independiente Medellin4-1
09 Apr 2026A Cusco2-0

Estudiantes L.P.

DDWD
Last 51W 3D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 3D 0L
06 May 2026A Cusco1-1
30 Apr 2026H Flamengo1-1
14 Apr 2026H Cusco2-1
09 Apr 2026A Independiente Medellin1-1
Best odds for this sectionEstudiantes L.P. Draw No BetBetUK guide price · Model 42% vs implied 24% · edge +18.5 pts
4.25
Check odds @ 4.25
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Flamengo to WinBet365 guide price · model 72%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 86%
1.07
Check odds @ 1.07
Flamengo Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 78%
1.21
Check odds @ 1.21
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2.61
Check odds @ 2.61
Estudiantes L.P. to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
7.5
Check odds @ 7.5
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 21%
4
Check odds @ 4
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

1Flamengo wins
1Draws
1Estudiantes L.P. wins
30 Apr 2026Estudiantes L.P. v Flamengo1-1
26 Sep 2025Estudiantes L.P. v Flamengo1-0
19 Sep 2025Flamengo v Estudiantes L.P.2-1
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 22% · edge +53.8 pts
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Load more odds for this section
Flamengo to WinBet365 guide price · model 72%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Estudiantes L.P. to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
7.5
Check odds @ 7.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 40%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 21%
4
Check odds @ 4
The head-to-head sample gives context for BTTS Yes, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

CONMEBOL Libertadores

Flamengo5
Played
Estudiantes L.P.6
Flamengo2.2
Avg goals for
Estudiantes L.P.1
Flamengo0.4
Avg goals against
Estudiantes L.P.0.8
Flamengo3
Clean sheets
Estudiantes L.P.1
Best odds for this sectionEstudiantes L.P. Draw No BetBetUK guide price · Model 42% vs implied 24% · edge +18.5 pts
4.25
Check odds @ 4.25
Load more odds for this section
Flamengo to WinBet365 guide price · model 72%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Flamengo Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 78%
1.21
Check odds @ 1.21
Estudiantes L.P. to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
7.5
Check odds @ 7.5
Season data supports Estudiantes L.P. Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
1Flamengo16651012
2Estudiantes L.P.962311
CONMEBOL Libertadores standings are background only here: the useful read is whether the form and chance profile translate into control, territory and clear openings in this specific fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

50%Flamengo Over 2.5
25%Estudiantes L.P. Over 2.5
2H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Flamengo sit at 50% and Estudiantes L.P. sit at 25% with the H2H average at 2 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Related football research

Fixture links

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Betting context

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