Atletico Nacional
Deportivo PastoPrimera A | Fri 23 Oct, 02:00
Atletico Nacional v Deportivo Pasto Stats
Data last updated: Fri 13 Nov 2026, 11:05 UK timeMatch Report
Fixture analysis
Atletico Nacional face Deportivo Pasto in Primera A on Fri 23 Oct, 02:00. 3 matches without scoring: Deportivo Pasto have failed to find the net in each of their last three league fixtures. Deportivo Pasto's Asian Handicap +1.75 offers coverage against Atlético Nacional's strong home form and attacking volume.
Wins fully if Deportivo Pasto win the match, draw, or lose by exactly one goal
- At 11, Wins fully if Deportivo Pasto win the match, draw, or lose by exactly one goal implies roughly 9%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 24%.
- The hosts have demonstrated considerably greater attacking strength, and their impressive home record makes them favourites to secure another positive result.
- Atletico Nacional have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 7 for Deportivo Pasto.
- Atletico Nacional have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.8 conceded per match, which helps the Wins fully if Deportivo Pasto win the match, draw, or lose by exactly one goal angle more than a.
- Atletico Nacional sit 1 in the table, while Deportivo Pasto sit 18, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.
Why The Model Likes This Bet
Chance, price and football numbers
The 24% for Wins fully if Deportivo Pasto win the match, draw, or lose by exactly one goal sits against roughly 9% implied by the current price. Atletico Nacional have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 7 for Deportivo Pasto. The hosts have demonstrated considerably greater attacking strength, and their impressive home record makes them favourites to secure another positive result.
Verdict
BT4Y analyst view
BT4Y analyst view: Deportivo Pasto Win is the preferred angle because the hosts have demonstrated considerably greater attacking strength, and their impressive home record makes them favourites to secure another positive result. Atletico Nacional have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 7 for Deportivo Pasto. The primary risk comes from Nacional's robust attacking profile, having scored that scoring level in 13 Clausura matches and recently dispatching Boyaca Chico 4-1.
The primary risk comes from Nacional's robust attacking profile, having scored 25 goals in 13 Clausura matches and recently dispatching Boyaca Chico 4-1.
Key Data Signals
Wins fully if Deportivo Pasto win the match, draw, or lose by exactly one goal evidence
The hosts have demonstrated considerably greater attacking strength, and their impressive home record makes them favourites to secure.
Atletico Nacional have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 7 for Deportivo Pasto.
Atletico Nacional have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.8 conceded per match, which helps the Deportivo Pasto Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
Atletico Nacional sit 1 in the table, while Deportivo Pasto sit 18, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.
What To Watch In The Data
Wins fully if Deportivo Pasto win the match, draw, or lose by exactly one goal notes
Goals, BTTS and over/under
Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.
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Market odds
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Recent form
Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.
Atletico Nacional
Deportivo Pasto
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Key match trends
Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.
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