Football Stats Hub

HNK Hajduk Split crestHNK Hajduk Split
v
Žilina crestŽilina

UEFA Europa League | Thu 09 Jul, 19:00

HNK Hajduk Split v Žilina Stats

Data last updated: Thu 30 Jul 2026, 09:32 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

HNK Hajduk Split face Žilina in UEFA Europa League on Thu 09 Jul, 19:00. In this competition context, game state, selection calls and recent rhythm matter more than a simple table position.

BT4Y best bet

Žilina to Win

  • At 6.5, Žilina to Win implies roughly 15%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 30%.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 30% for Žilina to Win sits against roughly 15% implied by the current price.

Model chance vs price30% model chance against roughly 15% implied
Strong positive
Price sensitivityEdge +15 pts
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Žilina Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

What To Watch In The Data

Žilina to Win notes

    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    HNK Hajduk Split

    Last 50W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 0L

    No recent match sample is available for HNK Hajduk Split yet.

    Žilina

    Last 50W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 0L

    No recent match sample is available for Žilina yet.

    Market aligned with main pickŽilina to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 30% vs implied 15% · edge +15 pts
    6.5
    Check odds @ 6.5
    Load more odds for this section
    Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 51%
    2.75
    Check odds @ 2.75
    Žilina Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 39%
    4.25
    Check odds @ 4.25
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    HNK Hajduk Split-
    Avg goals scored
    Žilina-
    HNK Hajduk Split-
    Avg goals conceded
    Žilina-
    HNK Hajduk Split-
    BTTS rate
    Žilina-
    HNK Hajduk Split-
    Over 2.5 goals
    Žilina-
    Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 54% vs implied 48% · edge +5.9 pts
    2.08
    Check odds @ 2.08
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 50%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 54%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 68%
    1.22
    Check odds @ 1.22
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 32%
    2.75
    Check odds @ 2.75
    Under 2.5 Goals is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet; goals for, goals conceded and recent over rates need to point in the same direction.
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickŽilina to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 30% vs implied 15% · edge +15 pts
    6.5
    Check odds @ 6.5
    Load more odds for this section
    Žilina Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 39%
    4.25
    Check odds @ 4.25
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 50%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    Žilina to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    0HNK Hajduk Split wins
    0Draws
    0Žilina wins
    Market aligned with main pickŽilina to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 30% vs implied 15% · edge +15 pts
    6.5
    Check odds @ 6.5
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 50%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    There is no strong recent head-to-head sample for Žilina to Win, which makes current output, injuries and market timing more important than historic meetings.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Season team stats

    UEFA Europa League

    HNK Hajduk Split3
    Played
    Žilina2
    HNK Hajduk Split1.7
    Avg goals for
    Žilina1
    HNK Hajduk Split0.7
    Avg goals against
    Žilina1.5
    HNK Hajduk Split2
    Clean sheets
    Žilina0
    Market aligned with main pickŽilina to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 30% vs implied 15% · edge +15 pts
    6.5
    Check odds @ 6.5
    Load more odds for this section
    Žilina Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 39%
    4.25
    Check odds @ 4.25
    Season data supports Žilina to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    -HNK Hajduk Split Over 2.5
    -Žilina Over 2.5
    -H2H avg goals

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.