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France crestFrance
v
Senegal crestSenegal

World Cup | Tue 16 Jun, 20:00

France v Senegal Stats

Data last updated: Sat 22 Aug 2026, 17:51 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

France face Senegal in World Cup on Tue 16 Jun, 20:00. France possess a massive passing advantage, logging 627.3 passes with 90.0% accuracy to dictate terms against Senegal in Group I.

BT4Y best bet

Requires your chosen program to win the match outright and both teams to score at least one goal

  • At 13/5, Requires your chosen program to win the match outright and both teams to score at least one goal implies roughly 28%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 43%.
  • However, Senegal’s defensive blueprint is designed specifically to counter this type of onslaught.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 43% for Requires your chosen program to win the match outright and both teams to score at least one goal sits against roughly 28% implied by the current price. However, Senegal’s defensive blueprint is designed specifically to counter this type of onslaught.

Model chance vs price43% model chance against roughly 28% implied
Strong positive
However, Senegal’s defensive blueprint is designed specifically to counter.Article support
Positive
Price sensitivityEdge +15 pts
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: France Win is the preferred angle because however, Senegal’s defensive blueprint is designed specifically to counter this type of onslaught. Senegal's scoring punch can register, but they will eventually be overwhelmed in East Rutherford.

Main risk

Senegal's scoring punch can register, but they will eventually be overwhelmed in East Rutherford.

Key Data Signals

Requires your chosen program to win the match outright and both teams to score at least one goal evidence

However, Senegal’s defensive blueprint is designed specifically to counter this type of onslaught.

What To Watch In The Data

Requires your chosen program to win the match outright and both teams to score at least one goal notes

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickFrance to WinBet365 guide price · Model 43% vs implied 68% · edge -24.6 pts
    1.48
    Check odds @ 1.48
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%
    2.05
    Check odds @ 2.05
    Over 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    France Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 54%
    1.23
    Check odds @ 1.23
    France to Win is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    France-
    Avg goals scored
    Senegal-
    France-
    Avg goals conceded
    Senegal-
    France-
    BTTS rate
    Senegal-
    France-
    Over 2.5 goals
    Senegal-
    Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 54% vs implied 52% · edge +1.6 pts
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%
    2.05
    Check odds @ 2.05
    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 68%
    1.3
    Check odds @ 1.3
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 54%
    1.7
    Check odds @ 1.7
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 32%
    3.4
    Check odds @ 3.4
    Under 2.5 Goals is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet; goals for, goals conceded and recent over rates need to point in the same direction.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    France

    Last 50W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 0L

    No recent match sample is available for France yet.

    Senegal

    Last 50W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 0L

    No recent match sample is available for Senegal yet.

    Market aligned with main pickFrance to WinBet365 guide price · Model 43% vs implied 68% · edge -24.6 pts
    1.48
    Check odds @ 1.48
    Load more odds for this section
    Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 73%
    1.1
    Check odds @ 1.1
    France Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 54%
    1.23
    Check odds @ 1.23
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    0France wins
    0Draws
    0Senegal wins
    Market aligned with main pickFrance to WinBet365 guide price · Model 43% vs implied 68% · edge -24.6 pts
    1.48
    Check odds @ 1.48
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%
    2.05
    Check odds @ 2.05
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    There is no strong recent head-to-head sample for France to Win, which makes current output, injuries and market timing more important than historic meetings.
    Season team stats

    World Cup

    France8
    Played
    Senegal4
    France2.5
    Avg goals for
    Senegal2.5
    France1.3
    Avg goals against
    Senegal2.3
    France4
    Clean sheets
    Senegal1
    Market aligned with main pickFrance to WinBet365 guide price · Model 43% vs implied 68% · edge -24.6 pts
    1.48
    Check odds @ 1.48
    Load more odds for this section
    France Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 54%
    1.23
    Check odds @ 1.23
    Season data supports France to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    1France933008
    3Senegal331022
    8Senegal331022
    World Cup standings are background only here: the useful read is whether the form and chance profile translate into control, territory and clear openings in this specific fixture.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    -France Over 2.5
    -Senegal Over 2.5
    -H2H avg goals
    However, Senegal’s defensive blueprint is designed specifically to counter this type of onslaught.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

    France v Senegal prediction

    Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

    Read full prediction View match centre