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Tottenham crestTottenham
v
1899 Hoffenheim crest1899 Hoffenheim

Friendlies Clubs | Sun 16 Aug, 12:00

Tottenham v 1899 Hoffenheim Stats

Data last updated: Fri 14 Aug 2026, 07:30 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Tottenham face 1899 Hoffenheim in Friendlies Clubs on Sun 16 Aug, 12:00. Tottenham come in with 11 recent points and 1.8 goals per match, while 1899 Hoffenheim have 9 points and 2.4 goals per match in the same lens. In this competition context, game state, selection calls and recent rhythm matter more than a simple table position.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

  • At 1.62, Over 2.5 Goals implies roughly 62%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 71%.
  • The Over 2.5 trend is 40% for Tottenham and 100% for 1899 Hoffenheim, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
  • 1899 Hoffenheim are carrying more of the scoring load at 2.4 goals per match, with Tottenham at 1.8.
  • BTTS rates of 60% for Tottenham and 40% for 1899 Hoffenheim show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 71% for Over 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 62% implied by the current price. The Over 2.5 trend is 40% for Tottenham and 100% for 1899 Hoffenheim, so the goals angle is not just a price call.

Model chance vs price71% model chance against roughly 62% implied
Positive
The Over 2.5 trend is 40% for Tottenham and 100%.Visible data support
Positive
1899 Hoffenheim are carrying more of the scoring load at.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Over 2.5 Goals is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers The Over 2.5 trend is 40% for Tottenham and 100% for 1899 Hoffenheim, so the goals angle is not just a price call. A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

The Over 2.5 trend is 40% for Tottenham and 100% for 1899 Hoffenheim, so the goals angle is not just a price call.

1899 Hoffenheim are carrying more of the scoring load at 2.4 goals per match, with Tottenham at 1.8.

BTTS rates of 60% for Tottenham and 40% for 1899 Hoffenheim show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • Use the last-five and H2H goal samples to judge whether Over 2.5 has a tempo route, not just a historical average.
  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Tottenham1.8
Avg goals scored
1899 Hoffenheim2.4
Tottenham0.6
Avg goals conceded
1899 Hoffenheim1.8
Tottenham60%
BTTS rate
1899 Hoffenheim40%
Tottenham40%
Over 2.5 goals
1899 Hoffenheim100%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 71% vs implied 62% · edge +9.5 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
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Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 88%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 53%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 37%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 33%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 71% vs implied 62% · edge +9.5 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
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BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Tottenham Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 62%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Tottenham to WinBetMGM guide price · model 53%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
1899 Hoffenheim Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
1899 Hoffenheim to WinBet365 guide price · model 31%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 27%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Over 2.5 Goals is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Tottenham

WDWDW
Last 53W 2D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 2D 0L
15 Aug 2026H 1899 Hoffenheim3-0
08 Aug 2026H Getafe1-1
01 Aug 2026A Chelsea2-1
29 Jul 2026H Sydney1-1
26 Jul 2026A Auckland2-0

1899 Hoffenheim

LWWWL
Last 53W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 0D 2L
15 Aug 2026A Tottenham0-3
01 Aug 2026H Karlsruher SC3-0
29 Jul 2026H Holstein Kiel3-1
18 Jul 2026A SGV Freiberg3-0
26 Mar 2026H SV Elversberg3-5
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 80% vs implied 80% · edge -0.2 pts
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Load more odds for this section
Tottenham Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 62%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Tottenham to WinBetMGM guide price · model 53%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 58%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
1899 Hoffenheim Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
1899 Hoffenheim to WinBet365 guide price · model 31%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 27%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2Tottenham wins
0Draws
01899 Hoffenheim wins
15 Aug 2026Tottenham v 1899 Hoffenheim3-0
23 Jan 20251899 Hoffenheim v Tottenham2-3
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 71% vs implied 62% · edge +9.5 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Tottenham to WinBetMGM guide price · model 53%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
1899 Hoffenheim to WinBet365 guide price · model 31%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 27%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
The head-to-head sample gives context for Over 2.5 Goals, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Friendlies Clubs

Tottenham7
Played
1899 Hoffenheim6
Tottenham1.9
Avg goals for
1899 Hoffenheim2.3
Tottenham0.7
Avg goals against
1899 Hoffenheim1.8
Tottenham3
Clean sheets
1899 Hoffenheim2
Best odds for this sectionTottenham Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 62% vs implied 63% · edge -0.2 pts
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Load more odds for this section
Tottenham to WinBetMGM guide price · model 53%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
1899 Hoffenheim Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
1899 Hoffenheim to WinBet365 guide price · model 31%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Season data supports Tottenham Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Tottenham Over 2.5
100%1899 Hoffenheim Over 2.5
4H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Tottenham sit at 40% and 1899 Hoffenheim sit at 100% with the H2H average at 4 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.