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Llaneros crestLlaneros
v
Chico crestChico

Primera A | Thu 12 Nov, 21:00

Llaneros v Chico Stats

Data last updated: Wed 11 Nov 2026, 01:38 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Llaneros and Chico face off in a Primera A clash where both teams have shown mixed defensive records and moderate scoring ability this season. Llaneros have averaged 1.2 goals for and 1.4 against per game, while Chico's figures stand at 0.8 goals for and 1.2 against. Recent form data shows both sides have been involved in matches with goals at both ends, reflecting an open tactical approach. The fixture carries significance for mid-table positioning, with Llaneros sitting 12th and Chico 15th, adding competitive edge without heavy relegation pressure.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Both teams have a 40% BTTS rate this season, indicating a balanced chance of both scoring.
  • Llaneros average 13.4 shots per game with 5 on target, showing attacking intent.
  • Gomez leads with 11.25 shots on target per 90 minutes, highlighting offensive threat.
  • Recent form shows Llaneros scoring 1.2 goals and conceding 1.4, suggesting open games.
  • H2H average goals stand at 2.3 over 10 matches, supporting goal involvement from both sides.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Both Teams to Score with a 60% chance, supported by both teams' moderate scoring and conceding rates. Llaneros' higher shot volume and Chico's key player M. Gomez's prolific shooting underline offensive potential. The 40% BTTS rate for both teams combined with an average of 2.3 goals in their last 10 meetings suggests a balanced likelihood of goals at both ends. The at 1.91 offer positive value with a 7.6% edge, making this a sensible pick for standard stakes.

Model Chance60% model chance vs 52.4% implied (+7.6 pts)
Strong positive
Implied Chance60% model chance vs 52.4% implied (+7.6 pts)
Positive
Value Edge60% model chance vs 52.4% implied (+7.6 pts)
Strong positive
Llaneros Shots per Game13.4
Positive
Chico Key Player Shots on Target11.25 per 90
Strong positive
Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score rationale

“This fixture features two sides with moderate defensive records but clear attacking threats, especially from key players like M. The balance in offensive output and defensive lapses makes Both Teams to Score a compelling angle for bettors.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Both teams have a 40% BTTS rate this season, indicating a balanced chance of both scoring.

Llaneros average 13.4 shots per game with 5 on target, showing attacking intent.

Gomez leads with 11.25 shots on target per 90 minutes, highlighting offensive threat.

Recent form shows Llaneros scoring 1.2 goals and conceding 1.4, suggesting open games.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last 10 meetings, the average goals per match is 2.3, indicating a moderate scoring tempo.
  • Llaneros' 60% Over 2.5 Goals rate this season contrasts with Chico's 20%, suggesting variability in match tempo.
  • This trend panel points to a fixture where goals are plausible, with tempo and transitions likely to create scoring chances for both teams.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Llaneros1.2
Avg goals scored
Chico0.8
Llaneros1.4
Avg goals conceded
Chico1.2
Llaneros40%
BTTS rate
Chico40%
Llaneros60%
Over 2.5 goals
Chico20%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 60% vs implied 52% · edge +7.6 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
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Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 57%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 47%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 65%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 29%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 44%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Both teams have a 40% BTTS rate, reflecting moderate frequency of matches where both sides score. Llaneros average 1.2 goals per game and concede 1.4, while Chico scores 0.8 and concedes 1.2, indicating open games with goal opportunities at both ends. The 2.3 average goals in their last 10 meetings further supports goal involvement from both sides.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 60% vs implied 52% · edge +7.6 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
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Chico Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
3.45
Check odds @ 3.45
Chico to WinBet365 guide price · model 31%
6
Check odds @ 6
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 47%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
DrawBetfred guide price · model 27%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
Llaneros Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 63%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Llaneros to WinBetfred guide price · model 53%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
The 60% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 52.4% implied by the current price (+7.6 pts). Llaneros show a 40% BTTS rate and Chico show a 40% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Llaneros

WWLLW
Last 53W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 0D 6L
09 Nov 2026A Alianza Valledupar2-1
31 Oct 2026H Junior3-2
26 Oct 2026A Jaguares0-1
22 Oct 2026H Deportivo Cali0-3
19 Oct 2026H Santa Fe1-0

Chico

WLDWL
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 2D 5L
06 Nov 2026H Internacional de Bogota2-1
01 Nov 2026A Deportivo Cali0-2
28 Oct 2026H Junior1-1
24 Oct 2026H Bucaramanga1-0
20 Oct 2026A Deportivo Pereira0-2
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 57% vs implied 44% · edge +13.9 pts
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
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Chico Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
3.45
Check odds @ 3.45
Chico to WinBet365 guide price · model 31%
6
Check odds @ 6
Home / DrawBetUK guide price · model 80%
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
DrawBetfred guide price · model 27%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
Llaneros Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 63%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Llaneros to WinBetfred guide price · model 53%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Recent form shows Llaneros earning 9 points with an average of 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game, indicating open matches. Chico has 7 points with lower scoring at 0.8 goals per game but similar defensive concessions at 1.2. Both teams have a 40% BTTS rate in recent matches, reinforcing the likelihood of goals from both sides in this fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Llaneros Over 2.5
20%Chico Over 2.5
2.3H2H avg goals
Over the last 10 meetings, the average goals per match is 2.3, indicating a moderate scoring tempo. Llaneros' 60% Over 2.5 Goals rate this season contrasts with Chico's 20%, suggesting variability in match tempo. This trend panel points to a fixture where goals are plausible, with tempo and transitions likely to create scoring chances for both teams.

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