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Jaguares crestJaguares

Primera A | Thu 12 Nov, 21:00

Cucuta v Jaguares Stats

Data last updated: Wed 11 Nov 2026, 01:38 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This Primera A clash between Cucuta and Jaguares features two teams with contrasting recent form and tactical approaches. Cucuta, positioned 11th with 24 points, has shown moderate attacking intent but struggles defensively, conceding an average of 1.4 goals per game. Jaguares, lower in the table at 19th with 13 points, have a more cautious style, reflected in their lower goal output and higher goals conceded rate. Both sides tend to generate set-piece opportunities through wide play and fouls, setting the stage for a match likely to see frequent corner kicks as both teams seek to create scoring chances from dead-ball situations.

BT4Y best bet

Over 9.5 Corners

  • Cucuta averages 4.8 corners per game, Jaguares 5.2, combining for over 9.5 corners on average.
  • Both teams have moderate attacking output but create pressure leading to set pieces.
  • Recent form shows Cucuta and Jaguares often concede fouls in wide areas, increasing corner potential.
  • Player data indicates active wide attackers and midfielders winning fouls and shots, supporting corner frequency.
  • for Over 9.5 Corners is 69%, with a positive of 13.4%.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies Over 9.5 Corners as a strong value bet with a 69% chance, significantly above the implied market chance of 55.6%. Both Cucuta and Jaguares average close to five corners per match, driven by their attacking patterns and defensive fouling tendencies. The presence of active wide players like J. Berdugo, who win fouls and generate shots, supports sustained pressure and corner opportunities. The data quality is solid, and the pricing reflects a positive , making this a compelling corners market selection.

Average Corners per GameCucuta 4.8, Jaguares 5.2
Strong positive
Player Fouls Won and Wide PlayL. Berdugo 2.98 fouls won/90
Positive
Model Probability vs Market Implied Chance69% model chance vs 55.6% implied (+13.4 pts)
Strong positive
Recent Form Corner TrendsConsistent corner generation from both teams
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect a match with sustained wide pressure and tactical fouling that should produce a high number of corners. Cucuta's and Jaguares' attacking styles and fouling profiles indicate frequent set-piece situations, making Over 9.5 Corners a sensible choice. The data supports this with both teams averaging near five corners per game and active wide players contributing to corner creation.

Main risk

Corner volume can be sterile if territory does not become shots, crosses or repeat box entries.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Corners market analysis

“The corner market here is compelling given the tactical emphasis on wide attacks and frequent fouling in dangerous areas. Both teams' styles naturally lead to numerous corner situations, making Over 9.5 Corners a smart angle to consider.”

Key Data Signals

Over 9.5 Corners evidence

Cucuta averages 4.8 corners per game, Jaguares 5.2, combining for over 9.5 corners on average.

Both teams have moderate attacking output but create pressure leading to set pieces.

Recent form shows Cucuta and Jaguares often concede fouls in wide areas, increasing corner potential.

Player data indicates active wide attackers and midfielders winning fouls and shots, supporting corner frequency.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 9.5 Corners notes

  • Over the last eight head-to-head matches, the average goals per game is 2.75, indicating moderate scoring tempo.
  • However, the corner trend is more influenced by tactical fouling and wide attacks, which have consistently generated high corner counts in recent matches between these teams.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Cucuta0.6
Avg goals scored
Jaguares0.4
Cucuta1.4
Avg goals conceded
Jaguares1.8
Cucuta20%
BTTS rate
Jaguares20%
Cucuta20%
Over 2.5 goals
Jaguares40%
Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · Model 56% vs implied 50% · edge +6.1 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
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BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 57%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 48%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 47%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 30%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Both Cucuta and Jaguares have low goal-scoring averages and modest BTTS rates, indicating a cautious attacking approach. However, their style leads to fouls and set-piece opportunities rather than open high-scoring games, aligning with a higher corner count rather than goals or BTTS outcomes.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

corners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Cucuta

LWLLW
Last 52W 0D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 0D 5L
10 Nov 2026A Junior0-2
04 Nov 2026H Santa Fe1-0
27 Oct 2026H Águilas Doradas0-2
25 Oct 2026A America de Cali1-3
21 Oct 2026H Atletico Nacional1-0

Jaguares

LLLWL
Last 51W 0D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 0D 8L
08 Nov 2026H Bucaramanga0-4
03 Nov 2026A Deportivo Pasto0-2
30 Oct 2026A Deportivo Pereira0-1
26 Oct 2026H Llaneros1-0
22 Oct 2026A Santa Fe1-2
Best odds for this sectionJaguares Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 42% vs implied 28% · edge +13.8 pts
3.55
Check odds @ 3.55
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Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 84%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 50%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Jaguares to WinBetMGM guide price · model 25%
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
Cucuta to WinBet365 guide price · model 59%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Cucuta Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 68%
1.27
Check odds @ 1.27
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 25%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
Recent form data shows Cucuta and Jaguares maintain consistent corner counts near or above 9.5 per match. Despite modest goal outputs, both teams generate set-piece chances regularly, reflecting tactical fouling and wide play that sustain corner opportunities in their recent fixtures.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 75% vs implied 67% · edge +8.3 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Load more odds for this section
Jaguares Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 42%
3.55
Check odds @ 3.55
Jaguares to WinBetMGM guide price · model 25%
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
Cucuta to WinBet365 guide price · model 59%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Cucuta Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 68%
1.27
Check odds @ 1.27
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 48%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 47%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
The 69% for Over 9.5 Corners sits against roughly 55.6% implied by the current price (+13.4 pts). Jaguares lead the corner sample at 5.2 per match, with Cucuta lower at 4.8.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

20%Cucuta Over 2.5
40%Jaguares Over 2.5
2.75H2H avg goals
Over the last eight head-to-head matches, the average goals per game is 2.75, indicating moderate scoring tempo. However, the corner trend is more influenced by tactical fouling and wide attacks, which have consistently generated high corner counts in recent matches between these teams.

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