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Deportivo Pereira crestDeportivo Pereira
v
America de Cali crestAmerica de Cali

Primera A | Thu 12 Nov, 21:00

Deportivo Pereira v America de Cali Stats

Data last updated: Wed 11 Nov 2026, 01:38 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Deportivo Pereira and America de Cali meet in a Primera A clash where both teams show contrasting league positions but similar attacking intent. America de Cali sits second with a strong defensive record, while Deportivo Pereira struggles near the bottom. Both sides average a combined 9 corners per game, reflecting active wing play and set-piece opportunities. The match promises territorial battles and sustained pressure, especially from America de Cali, who rely on wide attacks and crosses. This fixture's corner potential is elevated by the teams' styles and recent corner averages, setting the stage for a high-corner count encounter.

BT4Y best bet

Over 8.5 Corners

  • Deportivo Pereira averages 3.4 corners per game, America de Cali 5.6, combining for over 9 corners on average.
  • Both teams have attacking players who generate frequent wide play and crosses, increasing corner chances.
  • Recent form shows both sides maintain aggressive wing play, sustaining pressure in final third.
  • The model estimates a 75% chance for over 8.5 corners, with a positive of 13.3%.
  • Defensive tendencies and fouling patterns suggest frequent set-piece awards near the goal areas.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies a strong corner count likelihood based on both teams' average corners per game and attacking styles. Deportivo Pereira and America de Cali combine for an average of 9 corners per match, supported by their high shot volumes and wing-focused attacks. The 75% exceeds the implied market chance, indicating positive value. This fixture's tactical context, with America de Cali's high pressing and Pereira's need to create chances, supports sustained pressure and frequent corners. No data limitations affect , making this a solid corner market selection.

Average corners per game9.0 combined
Strong positive
Model corner chance75%
Strong positive
Value edge vs market75% model chance vs 61.7% implied (+13.3 pts)
Strong positive
Shot volume and wing playHigh for both teams
Positive
Data qualityComplete for both teams
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect a lively contest with both Deportivo Pereira and America de Cali pushing wide and creating multiple attacking phases. The corner count should reflect this wing control and sustained pressure, especially given America de Cali's higher corner average. This match's tactical setup and recent corner trends make over 8.5 corners a compelling choice.

Main risk

Corner volume can be sterile if territory does not become shots, crosses or repeat box entries.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Corner market analysis

“This fixture's corner market stands out due to the clear attacking wing emphasis from both sides and their consistent corner generation. The model's high probability aligns with the tactical battle expected on the flanks, making over 8.5 corners a well-founded selection.”

Key Data Signals

Over 8.5 Corners evidence

Deportivo Pereira averages 3.4 corners per game, America de Cali 5.6, combining for over 9 corners on average.

Both teams have attacking players who generate frequent wide play and crosses, increasing corner chances.

Recent form shows both sides maintain aggressive wing play, sustaining pressure in final third.

The model estimates a 75% chance for over 8.5 corners, with a positive of 13.3%.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 8.5 Corners notes

  • Over the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals stand at 2.6, indicating moderate scoring but not necessarily high corner counts.
  • However, recent form and corner averages over the last five matches for both teams suggest a tempo and style conducive to frequent corners, supporting the over 8.5 corners trend in this specific matchup.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Deportivo Pereira1.6
Avg goals scored
America de Cali1.2
Deportivo Pereira1.6
Avg goals conceded
America de Cali0.6
Deportivo Pereira60%
BTTS rate
America de Cali60%
Deportivo Pereira40%
Over 2.5 goals
America de Cali40%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 67% vs implied 58% · edge +8.9 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
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Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 59%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 63%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 45%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 27%
3
Check odds @ 3
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 37%
2
Check odds @ 2
Both teams average 1.6 and 1.2 goals per game respectively, with a 40% over 2.5 goals rate and 60% BTTS rate each. While goal scoring is moderate, the attacking intent and open play contribute to frequent set-piece situations, supporting a high corner count rather than a high-scoring game. The goal trends complement the corner market by indicating active attacking phases.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Deportivo Pereira

LLWDW
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 4D 4L
07 Nov 2026A Atletico Nacional3-4
03 Nov 2026H Deportes Tolima1-3
30 Oct 2026H Jaguares1-0
25 Oct 2026A Once Caldas1-1
20 Oct 2026H Chico2-0

America de Cali

DDWWD
Last 52W 3D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 4D 2L
08 Nov 2026H Deportivo Cali0-0
05 Nov 2026A Millonarios0-0
29 Oct 2026H Fortaleza FC2-1
25 Oct 2026H Cucuta3-1
18 Oct 2026A Bucaramanga1-1
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetUK guide price · Model 59% vs implied 50% · edge +9.4 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
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Deportivo Pereira Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Deportivo Pereira to WinBetfred guide price · model 33%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 78%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
America de Cali Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 61%
1.42
Check odds @ 1.42
America de Cali to WinBet365 guide price · model 51%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 27%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Recent form data shows both teams maintain aggressive wing play, reflected in their corner averages and shot volumes. Deportivo Pereira and America de Cali have consistent corner generation rates, supporting the model's high in over 8.5 corners. Their recent matches demonstrate sustained pressure and territorial battles, increasing corner likelihood in this fixture.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 75% vs implied 62% · edge +13.3 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
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BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 67%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Deportivo Pereira Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Deportivo Pereira to WinBetfred guide price · model 33%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
America de Cali Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 61%
1.42
Check odds @ 1.42
America de Cali to WinBet365 guide price · model 51%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 27%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
The 75% for Over 8.5 Corners sits against roughly 61.7% implied by the current price (+13.3 pts). America de Cali lead the corner sample at 5.6 per match, with Deportivo Pereira lower at 3.4.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Deportivo Pereira Over 2.5
40%America de Cali Over 2.5
2.6H2H avg goals
Over the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals stand at 2.6, indicating moderate scoring but not necessarily high corner counts. However, recent form and corner averages over the last five matches for both teams suggest a tempo and style conducive to frequent corners, supporting the over 8.5 corners trend in this specific matchup.

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