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Tamworth crestTamworth
v
Sutton Utd crestSutton Utd

National League | Wed 30 Sep, 19:45

Tamworth v Sutton Utd Stats

Data last updated: Wed 21 Oct 2026, 22:12 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Tamworth face Sutton Utd in National League on Wed 30 Sep, 19:45. Tamworth come in with 4 recent points and 1.4 goals per match, while Sutton Utd have 5 points and 1.2 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • At 1.62, Both Teams to Score implies roughly 62%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 76%.
  • Tamworth show a 100% BTTS rate and Sutton Utd show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • Tamworth average 1.4 goals scored and Sutton Utd average 1.2, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 76% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 62% implied by the current price. Tamworth show a 100% BTTS rate and Sutton Utd show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Model chance vs price76% model chance against roughly 62% implied
Positive
Tamworth show a 100% BTTS rate and Sutton Utd show.Visible data support
Positive
Tamworth average 1.4 goals scored and Sutton Utd average 1.2.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Tamworth show a 100% BTTS rate and Sutton Utd show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Tamworth show a 100% BTTS rate and Sutton Utd show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Tamworth average 1.4 goals scored and Sutton Utd average 1.2, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Compare both teams on scoring rate and clean-sheet record before trusting Both Teams To Score.
  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Tamworth1.4
Avg goals scored
Sutton Utd1.2
Tamworth2.8
Avg goals conceded
Sutton Utd2
Tamworth100%
BTTS rate
Sutton Utd60%
Tamworth100%
Over 2.5 goals
Sutton Utd60%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 62% · edge +14.3 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
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Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 88%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 70%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 51%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 34%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 28%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 62% · edge +14.3 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 70%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Sutton Utd Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 58%
2.02
Check odds @ 2.02
Sutton Utd to WinBetMGM guide price · model 48%
2.7
Check odds @ 2.7
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 28%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Tamworth Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 46%
1.78
Check odds @ 1.78
BTTS Yes is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.

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Useful next reads

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Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Tamworth

LWLLD
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 2D 6L
26 Sep 2026A Aldershot Town1-5
19 Sep 2026H Wealdstone2-1
15 Sep 2026A Southend1-3
12 Sep 2026A Harrogate Town1-3
05 Sep 2026H Boston United2-2

Sutton Utd

DDWLL
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 2D 3L
26 Sep 2026H Forest Green3-3
19 Sep 2026A FC Halifax Town1-1
15 Sep 2026H Eastleigh2-1
12 Sep 2026H Scunthorpe0-2
05 Sep 2026A Barrow0-3
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 62% · edge +13.9 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Load more odds for this section
Sutton Utd Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 58%
2.02
Check odds @ 2.02
Sutton Utd to WinBetMGM guide price · model 48%
2.7
Check odds @ 2.7
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 64%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 28%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Tamworth Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 46%
1.78
Check odds @ 1.78
Tamworth to WinBetfred guide price · model 36%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Tamworth Over 2.5
60%Sutton Utd Over 2.5
2.4H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Tamworth sit at 100% and Sutton Utd sit at 60% with the H2H average at 2.4 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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