Football Stats Hub

Scotland crestScotland
v
Switzerland crestSwitzerland

UEFA Nations League | Tue 29 Sep, 19:45

Scotland v Switzerland Stats

Data last updated: Wed 21 Oct 2026, 10:16 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Scotland face Switzerland in UEFA Nations League on Tue 29 Sep, 19:45. Switzerland have won 13 of their last 20 internationals, underlining the sustained form behind their 3-0 Nations League opening victory.

BT4Y lean · price warning

Both Teams To Score YES

  • Price warning: current odds imply about 53%, above the 32% model chance, so this is a football-led pick rather than a clear value bet; reduce stake or wait for a better price.
  • At 9/10, Both Teams To Score YES implies roughly 53%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 32%.
  • Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.
  • Scotland show a 0% BTTS rate and Switzerland show a 0% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • Scotland average 0 goals scored and Switzerland average 3, so both attacking contributions need separating.
Price warning

Both Teams To Score YES is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 53% while the model sits nearer 32% (-20.6 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Switzerland Draw No Bet shows a +11.4 pts edge at 2.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The 32% for Both Teams To Score YES sits against roughly 53% implied by the current price. Scotland show a 0% BTTS rate and Switzerland show a 0% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.

Model chance vs price32% model chance against roughly 53% implied
Negative
Scotland show a 0% BTTS rate and Switzerland show a.Visible data support
Positive
Scotland average 0 goals scored and Switzerland average 3, so.Visible data support
Positive
Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because selection: Both Teams To Score YES. Scotland show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Switzerland show a 0% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Embolo’s suspension could have weakened the Swiss attack, but Zeki Amdouni made unusually light work of replacing him on Saturday.

Main risk

Embolo’s suspension could have weakened the Swiss attack, but Zeki Amdouni made unusually light work of replacing him on Saturday.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams To Score YES evidence

Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.

Scotland show a 0% BTTS rate and Switzerland show a 0% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Scotland average 0 goals scored and Switzerland average 3, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams To Score YES notes

  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Scotland0
Avg goals scored
Switzerland3
Scotland0
Avg goals conceded
Switzerland0
Scotland0%
BTTS rate
Switzerland0%
Scotland0%
Over 2.5 goals
Switzerland100%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 32% vs implied 50% · edge -18 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
Load more odds for this section
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 68%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 48%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 56%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 30%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
BTTS Yes does not fully support the current price: the BTTS rates are 0% for Scotland and 0% for Switzerland, so the price depends on both attacks contributing rather than the clean-sheet story.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 32% vs implied 50% · edge -18 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
Load more odds for this section
Switzerland Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 61%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 48%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Switzerland to WinBetfred guide price · model 53%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 50%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Scotland to WinBet365 guide price · model 22%
4.2
Check odds @ 4.2
Scotland Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
BTTS Yes is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

UEFA Nations League hubScotland v Switzerland predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Scotland

D
Last 50W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 1D 0L
26 Sep 2026A Slovenia0-0

Switzerland

W
Last 51W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 0L
26 Sep 2026A FYR Macedonia3-0
Best odds for this sectionSwitzerland Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 61% vs implied 50% · edge +11.4 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
Load more odds for this section
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Switzerland to WinBetfred guide price · model 53%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Home / DrawBetUK guide price · model 48%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Scotland to WinBet365 guide price · model 22%
4.2
Check odds @ 4.2
Scotland Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
DrawBetUK guide price · model 25%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

0%Scotland Over 2.5
100%Switzerland Over 2.5
2H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Scotland sit at 0% and Switzerland sit at 100% with the H2H average at 2 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Loading deeper match data…