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Haiti crestHaiti
v
Scotland crestScotland

World Cup | Sun 14 Jun, 02:00

Haiti v Scotland Stats

Data last updated: Sat 11 Jul 2026, 19:54 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Haiti face Scotland in World Cup on Sun 14 Jun, 02:00. World Cup Group C Opener Sets Up a Nerve-Shredding First Test. Scotland head into the match with strong technical depth and recent high-scoring momentum from back-to-back friendly wins.

BT4Y lean · price warning

Victories over Costa Rica and Nicaragua

  • Price warning: current odds imply about 64%, above the 43% model chance, so this is a football-led pick rather than a clear value bet; reduce stake or wait for a better price.
  • At 4/7, Haiti Win implies roughly 64%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 43%.
  • Haiti are back after 52 years away from the World Cup, the joint-fourth-longest gap between appearances in tournament history.
Price warning

Victories over Costa Rica and Nicaragua is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 64% while the model sits nearer 43% (-20.6 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Haiti Draw No Bet shows a +25.3 pts edge at 3.55.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The 43% for Haiti Win sits against roughly 64% implied by the current price. Haiti are back after 52 years away from the World Cup, the joint-fourth-longest gap between appearances in tournament history.

Model chance vs price43% model chance against roughly 64% implied
Negative
Haiti are back after 52 years away from the.Article support
Positive
Price sensitivityEdge -20.6 pts
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Haiti Win is the preferred angle because haiti are back after 52 years away from the World Cup, the joint-fourth-longest gap between appearances in tournament history. That number still hangs around the story like an unwanted guest at a party, but this Haiti side arrive with a different profile and a very different journey behind them.

Main risk

That number still hangs around the story like an unwanted guest at a party, but this Haiti side arrive with a different profile and a very different journey behind them.

Key Data Signals

Haiti Win evidence

Haiti are back after 52 years away from the World Cup, the joint-fourth-longest gap between appearances in tournament.

What To Watch In The Data

Haiti Win notes

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickHaiti to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 43% vs implied 17% · edge +25.6 pts
    5.75
    Check odds @ 5.75
    Load more odds for this section
    Haiti Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%
    3.55
    Check odds @ 3.55
    BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 50%
    3.25
    Check odds @ 3.25
    Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    Over 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Haiti to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Haiti-
    Avg goals scored
    Scotland-
    Haiti-
    Avg goals conceded
    Scotland-
    Haiti-
    BTTS rate
    Scotland-
    Haiti-
    Over 2.5 goals
    Scotland-
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 50% vs implied 31% · edge +19.2 pts
    3.25
    Check odds @ 3.25
    Load more odds for this section
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 54%
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 68%
    1.2
    Check odds @ 1.2
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 32%
    2.62
    Check odds @ 2.62
    BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 54%
    1.33
    Check odds @ 1.33
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Haiti

    Last 50W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 0L

    No recent match sample is available for Haiti yet.

    Scotland

    Last 50W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 0L

    No recent match sample is available for Scotland yet.

    Market aligned with main pickHaiti to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 43% vs implied 17% · edge +25.6 pts
    5.75
    Check odds @ 5.75
    Load more odds for this section
    Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 73%
    2.38
    Check odds @ 2.38
    Haiti Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%
    3.55
    Check odds @ 3.55
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    0Haiti wins
    0Draws
    0Scotland wins
    Market aligned with main pickHaiti to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 43% vs implied 17% · edge +25.6 pts
    5.75
    Check odds @ 5.75
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 50%
    3.25
    Check odds @ 3.25
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    There is no strong recent head-to-head sample for Haiti to Win, which makes current output, injuries and market timing more important than historic meetings.
    Season team stats

    World Cup

    Haiti3
    Played
    Scotland3
    Haiti0.7
    Avg goals for
    Scotland0.3
    Haiti2.7
    Avg goals against
    Scotland1.3
    Haiti0
    Clean sheets
    Scotland1
    Market aligned with main pickHaiti to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 43% vs implied 17% · edge +25.6 pts
    5.75
    Check odds @ 5.75
    Load more odds for this section
    Haiti Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%
    3.55
    Check odds @ 3.55
    Season data supports Haiti to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    3Scotland33102-3
    4Haiti03003-6
    11Scotland33102-3
    World Cup standings are background only here: the useful read is whether the form and chance profile translate into control, territory and clear openings in this specific fixture.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    -Haiti Over 2.5
    -Scotland Over 2.5
    -H2H avg goals
    Haiti are back after 52 years away from the World Cup, the joint-fourth-longest gap between appearances in tournament history.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

    Haiti v Scotland prediction

    Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

    Read full prediction View match centre