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VPS crestVPS
v
Inter Turku crestInter Turku

Suomen Cup | Tue 30 Jun, 16:00

VPS v Inter Turku Stats

Data last updated: Sat 25 Jul 2026, 13:53 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

VPS face Inter Turku in Suomen Cup on Tue 30 Jun, 16:00. VPS come in with 13 recent points and 6.2 goals per match, while Inter Turku have 9 points and 4 goals per match in the same lens. In this competition context, game state, selection calls and recent rhythm matter more than a simple table position.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

  • At 2.05, Over 2.5 Goals implies roughly 49%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 64%.
  • The Over 2.5 trend is 80% for VPS and 100% for Inter Turku, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
  • VPS are carrying more of the scoring load at 6.2 goals per match, with Inter Turku at 4.
  • BTTS rates of 20% for VPS and 67% for Inter Turku show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 64% for Over 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 49% implied by the current price. The Over 2.5 trend is 80% for VPS and 100% for Inter Turku, so the goals angle is not just a price call.

Model chance vs price64% model chance against roughly 49% implied
Strong positive
The Over 2.5 trend is 80% for VPS and 100%.Visible data support
Positive
VPS are carrying more of the scoring load at 6.2.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Over 2.5 Goals is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers The Over 2.5 trend is 80% for VPS and 100% for Inter Turku, so the goals angle is not just a price call. A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

The Over 2.5 trend is 80% for VPS and 100% for Inter Turku, so the goals angle is not just a price call.

VPS are carrying more of the scoring load at 6.2 goals per match, with Inter Turku at 4.

BTTS rates of 20% for VPS and 67% for Inter Turku show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • Use the last-five and H2H goal samples to judge whether Over 2.5 has a tempo route, not just a historical average.
  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

VPS6.2
Avg goals scored
Inter Turku4
VPS0.2
Avg goals conceded
Inter Turku0.67
VPS20%
BTTS rate
Inter Turku67%
VPS80%
Over 2.5 goals
Inter Turku100%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 64% vs implied 49% · edge +15 pts
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
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Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 88%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 44%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 59%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 26%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 64% vs implied 49% · edge +15 pts
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Load more odds for this section
VPS Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 58%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
VPS to WinBetMGM guide price · model 44%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 59%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
DrawBet365 guide price · model 19%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Inter Turku Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
1.58
Check odds @ 1.58
Over 2.5 Goals is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

VPS

DWWWW
Last 54W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 1D 0L
10 Jun 2026A KuPS0-0
26 May 2026H Haka4-0
13 May 2026H ÅIFK7-0
29 Apr 2026A Leki9-1
14 Apr 2026A SalPa II11-0

Inter Turku

WWW
Last 53W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 0D 0L
10 Jun 2026A SJK2-1
26 May 2026H EBK2-1
12 May 2026H JS Hercules8-0
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 73% vs implied 58% · edge +15 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Load more odds for this section
VPS Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 58%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
VPS to WinBetMGM guide price · model 44%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
DrawBet365 guide price · model 19%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Inter Turku Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
1.58
Check odds @ 1.58
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Inter Turku to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

4VPS wins
3Draws
3Inter Turku wins
04 Apr 2026Inter Turku v VPS0-0
31 Aug 2025Inter Turku v VPS2-1
19 Apr 2025VPS v Inter Turku0-2
28 Jun 2024Inter Turku v VPS3-1
27 May 2024VPS v Inter Turku3-1
29 Sep 2023VPS v Inter Turku1-1
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 64% vs implied 49% · edge +15 pts
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Load more odds for this section
VPS to WinBetMGM guide price · model 44%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 59%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
DrawBet365 guide price · model 19%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Inter Turku to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
The head-to-head sample gives context for Over 2.5 Goals, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Suomen Cup

VPS6
Played
Inter Turku4
VPS5.7
Avg goals for
Inter Turku3.8
VPS0.7
Avg goals against
Inter Turku1
VPS4
Clean sheets
Inter Turku1
Best odds for this sectionVPS Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 58% vs implied 43% · edge +15 pts
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
Load more odds for this section
VPS to WinBetMGM guide price · model 44%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Inter Turku Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
1.58
Check odds @ 1.58
Inter Turku to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Season data supports VPS Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%VPS Over 2.5
100%Inter Turku Over 2.5
2.8H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: VPS sit at 80% and Inter Turku sit at 100% with the H2H average at 2.8 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.