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Club America crestClub America
v
CF Pachuca crestCF Pachuca

Liga MX | Mon 26 Oct, 01:05

Club America v CF Pachuca Stats

Data last updated: Mon 26 Oct 2026, 18:10 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Club America enters this Liga MX clash as the league leaders, boasting strong recent form with 11 points from their last fixtures and a potent attack averaging 3.4 goals per game. CF Pachuca, positioned 16th, have struggled with only 2 points recently and a less effective offense scoring 1.4 goals per match. Club America's home advantage and superior attacking firepower set a clear tactical edge, while Pachuca's defensive vulnerabilities and lower scoring rate add to the uphill challenge they face in this encounter.

BT4Y best bet

Club America to Win

  • Club America leads the league and has secured 11 recent points, showing strong momentum.
  • CF Pachuca ranks 16th with just 2 points recently, indicating poor form.
  • Club America averages 3.4 goals per game, significantly higher than Pachuca's 1.4.
  • Both teams have an 80% Over 2.5 Goals rate, suggesting an open game.
  • Club America maintains a 100% BTTS rate, highlighting consistent offensive threat.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 74% chance for Club America to win, reflecting their dominant league position and recent form superiority. The 1.62 imply a 61.7% chance, offering a positive of 12.3%. Club America's attacking metrics, including high shots on target and goal-scoring rates, combined with Pachuca's defensive struggles, underpin this . No data limitations or price warnings are present, supporting a standard stake recommendation for this selection.

Model Win Probability74%
Strong positive
Implied Market Probability74% model chance vs 59.9% implied (+14.1 pts)
Positive
Value Edge74% model chance vs 59.9% implied (+14.1 pts)
Strong positive
Recent FormStrong for Club America, weak for Pachuca
Strong positive
Data QualityComplete and reliable for both teams
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Club America's tactical superiority and consistent scoring ability make them the clear favorite to win this match. Their strong recent form and league leadership provide a solid foundation, while Pachuca's struggles in both attack and defense reduce their chances of causing an upset.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“Club America's offensive depth and league control create a compelling case for their victory, especially given Pachuca's defensive frailties and poor recent results.”

Key Data Signals

Club America to Win evidence

Club America leads the league and has secured 11 recent points, showing strong momentum.

CF Pachuca ranks 16th with just 2 points recently, indicating poor form.

Club America averages 3.4 goals per game, significantly higher than Pachuca's 1.4.

Both teams have an 80% Over 2.5 Goals rate, suggesting an open game.

What To Watch In The Data

Club America to Win notes

  • In the last ten meetings, the average goals scored is 1.7, indicating moderate scoring.
  • However, recent form and attacking stats suggest this fixture could see more goals, supported by both teams' high Over 2.5 Goals rates, pointing to a potentially open and attacking match.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Club America3.4
Avg goals scored
CF Pachuca1.4
Club America2
Avg goals conceded
CF Pachuca2
Club America100%
BTTS rate
CF Pachuca80%
Club America80%
Over 2.5 goals
CF Pachuca80%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 75% vs implied 60% · edge +15 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
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Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 82%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 64%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 46%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 40%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Both teams have an 80% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals, with Club America also showing a 100% BTTS rate recently. This suggests an open game with chances for both sides to score, driven by Club America's potent attack and Pachuca's defensive vulnerabilities.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickClub America to WinBet365 guide price · Model 74% vs implied 60% · edge +14.1 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
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BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 75%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Club America Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 78%
1.35
Check odds @ 1.35
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 71%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 64%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
The 74% for Club America to Win sits against roughly 59.9% implied by the current price (+14.1 pts). Club America have the stronger recent points return, taking 11 points from the sample compared with 2 for CF Pachuca.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Club America

WWDWD
Last 53W 2D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 107W 2D 1L
22 Oct 2026A Atlas5-2
18 Oct 2026A Leon5-3
11 Oct 2026H Monterrey1-1
28 Sep 2026A Necaxa4-2
20 Sep 2026H Guadalajara Chivas2-2

CF Pachuca

LLDLD
Last 50W 2D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 4D 4L
22 Oct 2026H Cruz Azul1-2
19 Oct 2026A Monterrey1-2
12 Oct 2026H Necaxa3-3
27 Sep 2026A Santos Laguna0-1
21 Sep 2026H Club Tijuana2-2
Market aligned with main pickClub America to WinBet365 guide price · Model 74% vs implied 60% · edge +14.1 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
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Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 86%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Club America Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 78%
1.35
Check odds @ 1.35
Club America's recent form is impressive, securing 11 points with a strong goal difference, reflecting effective attacking and defensive balance. In contrast, Pachuca's 2 points and lower goal output indicate struggles to compete at this level, reinforcing Club America's advantage heading into the match.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Club America Over 2.5
80%CF Pachuca Over 2.5
1.7H2H avg goals
In the last ten meetings, the average goals scored is 1.7, indicating moderate scoring. However, recent form and attacking stats suggest this fixture could see more goals, supported by both teams' high Over 2.5 Goals rates, pointing to a potentially open and attacking match.

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