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Real Sociedad crestReal Sociedad
v
Levante crestLevante

La Liga | Sun 25 Oct, 17:30

Real Sociedad v Levante Stats

Data last updated: Sat 24 Oct 2026, 18:48 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Real Sociedad hosts Levante in a La Liga clash where the home side aims to capitalize on their superior form and league position. Real Sociedad has been more consistent recently, collecting 16 points and sitting fifth, while Levante lags in 11th with 10 points. Sociedad's attacking play, led by key forwards, combines with a relatively solid defense, setting up a tactical battle where Levante will seek to disrupt and counter. The match promises intensity as Sociedad looks to maintain momentum and Levante tries to improve their standing in a competitive mid-table contest.

BT4Y best bet

Real Sociedad to Win

  • Real Sociedad holds a strong 74% to win, indicating solid in home victory.
  • Sociedad averages 15 shots per game with 5.6 on target, showing attacking control over Levante's 12.4 shots and 5.4 on target.
  • Levante's defensive record is weaker, conceding 2.4 goals per game compared to Sociedad's 2.2, suggesting vulnerability at the back.
  • Sociedad's home rank (5th) and recent form (16 points) contrast with Levante's 11th place and 10 points, highlighting the home advantage.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Real Sociedad to win with a 74% chance, reflecting their superior recent form, attacking output, and defensive stability compared to Levante. Sociedad's higher shot volume and accuracy, combined with Levante's defensive frailties, underpin this . The price offers positive value with an 11.5% edge, supported by Sociedad's consistent home performances and Levante's struggles to keep clean sheets. This data-driven outlook aligns with tactical expectations of Sociedad controlling the match and converting chances effectively.

Model Chance74% model chance vs 62.5% implied (+11.5 pts)
Strong positive
Implied Chance vs Model74% model chance vs 62.5% implied (+11.5 pts)
Strong positive
Recent Form PointsSociedad 16 vs Levante 10
Positive
Shots per GameSociedad 15 vs Levante 12.4
Positive
Goals AgainstSociedad 2.2 vs Levante 2.4
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Real Sociedad's tactical cohesion and superior attacking metrics make them the clear favorite to secure victory. Their ability to generate more shots and maintain defensive discipline contrasts with Levante's inconsistent form and defensive vulnerabilities, providing a strong foundation for a home win.

Main risk

Levante carry the stronger scoring threat, but Real Sociedad must contribute for BTTS to land.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“Real Sociedad's blend of attacking efficiency and defensive resilience positions them well to control this match and capitalize on Levante's defensive weaknesses.”

Key Data Signals

Real Sociedad to Win evidence

Real Sociedad holds a strong 74% to win, indicating solid in home victory.

Sociedad averages 15 shots per game with 5.6 on target, showing attacking control over Levante's 12.4 shots and 5.4 on target.

Levante's defensive record is weaker, conceding 2.4 goals per game compared to Sociedad's 2.2, suggesting vulnerability at the back.

Sociedad's home rank (5th) and recent form (16 points) contrast with Levante's 11th place and 10 points, highlighting the home advantage.

What To Watch In The Data

Real Sociedad to Win notes

  • In the last ten meetings, the average goals per game is 2.3, with a high frequency of Over 2.5 goals matches, aligning with both teams' attacking tendencies.
  • This trend supports expectations of an open game with multiple scoring opportunities, consistent with Sociedad's offensive style.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Real Sociedad2.8
Avg goals scored
Levante2
Real Sociedad2.2
Avg goals conceded
Levante2.4
Real Sociedad80%
BTTS rate
Levante100%
Real Sociedad100%
Over 2.5 goals
Levante80%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 62% · edge +14.3 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
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Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 88%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 72%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 54%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 32%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Both teams show tendencies for goals, with Sociedad's 80% BTTS rate and Levante's 100% BTTS rate indicating matches often see scoring from both sides. Sociedad's 100% Over 2.5 goals rate further suggests an open game with multiple goals likely.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickReal Sociedad to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 63% · edge +11.5 pts
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 72%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Real Sociedad Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.35
Check odds @ 1.35
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
The 74% for Real Sociedad to Win sits against roughly 62.5% implied by the current price (+11.5 pts). Real Sociedad have the stronger recent points return, taking 12 points from the sample compared with 5 for Levante. Levante's recent matches all featured goals for both sides despite their poor away record, while Real Sociedad's attacking momentum and defensive frailty support this.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

La Liga fixtures and predictionsrelated match predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Real Sociedad

WWWLW
Last 54W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 1D 3L
18 Oct 2026A Malaga5-2
11 Oct 2026H Deportivo La Coruna3-2
20 Sep 2026A Valencia3-2
13 Sep 2026H Atletico Madrid0-3
07 Sep 2026A Elche3-2

Levante

WDDLL
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 4D 3L
21 Oct 2026H Athletic Club3-1
16 Oct 2026A Deportivo La Coruna1-1
12 Oct 2026H Sevilla3-3
20 Sep 2026A Villarreal1-3
13 Sep 2026H Barcelona2-4
Market aligned with main pickReal Sociedad to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 63% · edge +11.5 pts
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Load more odds for this section
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 86%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
Real Sociedad Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.35
Check odds @ 1.35
Real Sociedad's recent form is strong, accumulating 16 points and averaging 2.8 goals scored per game, indicating effective attacking output. Levante's 10 points and 2 goals per game reflect less consistency and scoring potency, favoring Sociedad's momentum and .
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Real Sociedad Over 2.5
80%Levante Over 2.5
2.3H2H avg goals
In the last ten meetings, the average goals per game is 2.3, with a high frequency of Over 2.5 goals matches, aligning with both teams' attacking tendencies. This trend supports expectations of an open game with multiple scoring opportunities, consistent with Sociedad's offensive style.

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