Football Stats Hub

Club Queretaro crestClub Queretaro
v
Cruz Azul crestCruz Azul

Liga MX | Mon 26 Oct, 01:00

Club Queretaro v Cruz Azul Stats

Data last updated: Sun 25 Oct 2026, 07:31 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This Liga MX clash features Cruz Azul visiting Club Queretaro in a contest where Cruz Azul holds a slight edge in recent form and league standing. Cruz Azul ranks 4th with 23 points, showing stronger offensive output averaging 2.6 goals per game compared to Queretaro's 1.2. Queretaro's defense concedes slightly fewer goals on average, but Cruz Azul's attacking threat and higher shot volume suggest they will press for victory. Both teams have shown mixed defensive resilience, setting up a potentially open game with tactical emphasis on Cruz Azul's forward momentum and Queretaro's need to contain.

BT4Y best bet

Cruz Azul to Win

  • Cruz Azul leads the league standings and has better recent form with 8 points versus Queretaro's 7.
  • Cruz Azul averages 2.6 goals per match, more than double Queretaro's 1.2, indicating stronger attack.
  • Cruz Azul takes more shots (17 per game) and shots on target (6.2) than Queretaro (13.6 and 3.8 respectively).
  • Both teams have similar defensive records, conceding 1.6 goals per game, suggesting chances for both sides.
  • Cruz Azul's higher BTTS rate (60%) and Over 2.5 goals rate (80%) hint at an open, attacking game.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

Cruz Azul to Win is favored with a of 55.8%, reflecting their superior attacking metrics and league position. Their high shot volume and goal-scoring rate underpin this , supported by a positive of 5.8%. The model sees Cruz Azul's offensive firepower, led by key attackers, as decisive against Queretaro's moderate defense. No price warnings apply, making this a standard stake recommendation. The data quality is solid for both teams, reinforcing the reliability of this pick.

Model Chance55.8% model chance vs 50% implied (+5.8 pts)
Strong positive
Value Edge55.8% model chance vs 50% implied (+5.8 pts)
Strong positive
Cruz Azul Attack2.6 goals/game, 17 shots/game
Strong positive
Queretaro Defense1.6 goals conceded/game
Neutral
Price Warning55.8% model chance vs 50% implied (+5.8 pts)
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Cruz Azul's superior attacking form and higher league standing make them the logical choice for victory. Their ability to generate more shots and goals per game suggests they can break down Queretaro's defense, which has been vulnerable at times. This combination of tactical strength and statistical advantage underpins the in Cruz Azul to secure the win.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“Cruz Azul's offensive consistency and key attacking players give them a clear edge in this matchup. Their capacity to create and convert chances should be the deciding factor against a Queretaro side that struggles to keep clean sheets.”

Key Data Signals

Cruz Azul to Win evidence

Cruz Azul leads the league standings and has better recent form with 8 points versus Queretaro's 7.

Cruz Azul averages 2.6 goals per match, more than double Queretaro's 1.2, indicating stronger attack.

Cruz Azul takes more shots (17 per game) and shots on target (6.2) than Queretaro (13.6 and 3.8 respectively).

Both teams have similar defensive records, conceding 1.6 goals per game, suggesting chances for both sides.

What To Watch In The Data

Cruz Azul to Win notes

  • In the last ten meetings, the average goals per game is 2.7, aligning with the Over 2.5 goals trend.
  • Cruz Azul's recent matches show an 80% Over 2.5 rate, indicating a high-tempo game with multiple scoring chances.
  • This trend supports expectations of an open match with goal opportunities for both sides.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Club Queretaro1.2
Avg goals scored
Cruz Azul2.6
Club Queretaro1.6
Avg goals conceded
Cruz Azul1.6
Club Queretaro40%
BTTS rate
Cruz Azul60%
Club Queretaro40%
Over 2.5 goals
Cruz Azul80%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 64% · edge +3 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 60%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 42%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 44%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 37%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Cruz Azul's high Over 2.5 goals rate of 80% and 60% BTTS rate indicate frequent open games with multiple goals. Queretaro's lower rates suggest a more cautious approach, but their 1.6 goals conceded per game supports the likelihood of goals. This match is set for goal-scoring opportunities from both sides.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickCruz Azul to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 56% vs implied 50% · edge +5.8 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Cruz Azul Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 65%
1.58
Check odds @ 1.58
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 60%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 70%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
The 55.8% for Cruz Azul to Win sits against roughly 50% implied by the current price (+5.8 pts). Cruz Azul have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 7 for Club Queretaro.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Club Queretaro

LLWWD
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 2D 3L
21 Oct 2026A Atletico San Luis1-2
18 Oct 2026A Santos Laguna0-5
11 Oct 2026H Atlante FC2-0
27 Sep 2026A Guadalajara Chivas2-0
21 Sep 2026H Leon1-1

Cruz Azul

WWDDL
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 2D 3L
22 Oct 2026A CF Pachuca2-1
18 Oct 2026H FC Juarez5-0
12 Oct 2026A U.N.A.M. - Pumas3-3
26 Sep 2026H Toluca3-3
20 Sep 2026A Monterrey0-1
Market aligned with main pickCruz Azul to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 56% vs implied 50% · edge +5.8 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
Load more odds for this section
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 81%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Cruz Azul Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 65%
1.58
Check odds @ 1.58
Recent form favors Cruz Azul, who have accumulated 8 points in their last matches compared to Queretaro's 7. Cruz Azul's higher goal-scoring rate and consistent offensive performances suggest momentum that could translate into a win. Queretaro's form is less convincing, with fewer goals scored and a lower BTTS rate, indicating challenges in breaking down opponents.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Club Queretaro Over 2.5
80%Cruz Azul Over 2.5
2.7H2H avg goals
In the last ten meetings, the average goals per game is 2.7, aligning with the Over 2.5 goals trend. Cruz Azul's recent matches show an 80% Over 2.5 rate, indicating a high-tempo game with multiple scoring chances. This trend supports expectations of an open match with goal opportunities for both sides.

Loading deeper match data…