Football Stats Hub

Aldosivi crestAldosivi
v
Belgrano Cordoba crestBelgrano Cordoba

Liga Profesional Argentina | Sun 25 Oct, 17:45

Aldosivi v Belgrano Cordoba Stats

Data last updated: Mon 26 Oct 2026, 17:08 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Belgrano Cordoba arrives in strong form, sitting 4th in the Liga Profesional Argentina with 22 points, well ahead of 15th-placed Aldosivi who have 8 points. Belgrano's solid defensive record, conceding just one goal per game on average, contrasts with Aldosivi's leaky defense allowing two goals per match. Belgrano's tactical discipline and recent momentum, including a 10-point haul in recent fixtures, position them as favorites in this contest. Aldosivi's struggle for goals and points adds to the challenge they face in securing a positive result at home.

BT4Y best bet

Belgrano Cordoba to Win

  • Belgrano Cordoba ranks 4th with 22 points; Aldosivi is 15th with 8 points.
  • Belgrano concedes only 1 goal per game versus Aldosivi's 2 goals conceded per game.
  • Belgrano has a 70% to win, with positive value at 2.05 .
  • Aldosivi averages 14.8 shots per game but has a lower goal conversion rate.
  • Belgrano's key attackers like N. Gutierrez show consistent goal threat and creativity.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

Belgrano Cordoba's strong defensive record and higher league standing underpin the model's 70% win probability, supported by their recent 10-point form surge. Despite Aldosivi's higher shot volume, Belgrano's efficiency and tactical solidity give them the edge. The at 2.05 offer positive value with a 21.2% , making Belgrano a sensible pick. No data limitations affect , and the model rates this as a standard stake opportunity.

Model Win Probability70%
Strong positive
Implied Chance from Odds65% model chance vs 50% implied (+15 pts)
Positive
Value Edge65% model chance vs 50% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Recent Form PointsBelgrano 10, Aldosivi 3
Strong positive
Defensive RecordBelgrano concedes 1 goal/game, Aldosivi 2 goals/game
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Belgrano Cordoba's tactical discipline and superior defensive record make them the likely winners in this matchup. Their recent form and league position reflect a team capable of controlling the game and limiting Aldosivi's attacking threats. This combination of form and defensive solidity supports backing Belgrano to secure the victory.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“Belgrano Cordoba's balance of defensive resilience and attacking efficiency positions them well to capitalize on Aldosivi's defensive vulnerabilities, making them the smart choice for this fixture.”

Key Data Signals

Belgrano Cordoba to Win evidence

Belgrano Cordoba ranks 4th with 22 points; Aldosivi is 15th with 8 points.

Belgrano concedes only 1 goal per game versus Aldosivi's 2 goals conceded per game.

Belgrano has a 70% to win, with positive value at 2.05 .

Aldosivi averages 14.8 shots per game but has a lower goal conversion rate.

What To Watch In The Data

Belgrano Cordoba to Win notes

  • Over the last six head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is low at 1 per game, indicating tight contests.
  • Aldosivi's 60% over 2.5 goals rate contrasts with Belgrano's 40%, suggesting Aldosivi games tend to be more open.
  • This trend points to a potentially cautious match with limited goals, where Belgrano's defensive strength could be decisive.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Aldosivi1.2
Avg goals scored
Belgrano Cordoba1.2
Aldosivi2
Avg goals conceded
Belgrano Cordoba1
Aldosivi60%
BTTS rate
Belgrano Cordoba40%
Aldosivi60%
Over 2.5 goals
Belgrano Cordoba40%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 64% vs implied 49% · edge +15 pts
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Load more odds for this section
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 62%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 43%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 61%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 25%
4
Check odds @ 4
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 37%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Both teams have contrasting goal trends: Aldosivi averages 1.2 goals per game with a 60% over 2.5 goals rate and 60% BTTS rate, indicating open games. Belgrano averages the same goals scored but with a lower 40% over 2.5 and BTTS rate, reflecting tighter defensive matches. This suggests a moderate scoring game with potential for Belgrano to control the tempo and limit Aldosivi's chances.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

corners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Aldosivi

LLLWL
Last 51W 0D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 7L
18 Oct 2026A Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto1-2
09 Oct 2026H Sarmiento Junin1-3
04 Oct 2026A Huracan0-1
21 Sep 2026H Atletico Tucuman1-0
12 Sep 2026A Independ. Rivadavia3-4

Belgrano Cordoba

LWWWD
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 3D 2L
19 Oct 2026H River Plate0-3
11 Oct 2026A Racing Club2-0
04 Oct 2026A Talleres Cordoba1-0
20 Sep 2026H Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto2-1
13 Sep 2026A Sarmiento Junin1-1
Market aligned with main pickBelgrano Cordoba to WinBet365 guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
Load more odds for this section
Belgrano Cordoba Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 84%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Belgrano Cordoba's recent form is strong, accumulating 10 points in recent matches compared to Aldosivi's 3 points. This momentum reflects Belgrano's ability to secure results and maintain defensive solidity, contrasting with Aldosivi's struggles to convert chances and prevent goals, which undermines their heading into this fixture.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBelgrano Cordoba to WinBet365 guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 64%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Belgrano Cordoba Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 61%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 43%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
The 65% for Belgrano Cordoba to Win sits against roughly 50% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Belgrano Cordoba have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 3 for Aldosivi.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Aldosivi Over 2.5
40%Belgrano Cordoba Over 2.5
1H2H avg goals
Over the last six head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is low at 1 per game, indicating tight contests. Aldosivi's 60% over 2.5 goals rate contrasts with Belgrano's 40%, suggesting Aldosivi games tend to be more open. This trend points to a potentially cautious match with limited goals, where Belgrano's defensive strength could be decisive.

Loading deeper match data…