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Alianza Valledupar crestAlianza Valledupar
v
Internacional de Bogota crestInternacional de Bogota

Primera A | Sun 25 Oct, 21:05

Alianza Valledupar v Internacional de Bogota Stats

Data last updated: Sat 24 Oct 2026, 08:24 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Alianza Valledupar and Internacional de Bogota meet in a Primera A clash where both teams have shown offensive intent but also defensive vulnerabilities. Alianza Valledupar has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 2 goals per game, while Internacional de Bogota concedes slightly less but still shows defensive lapses. Both sides have been involved in matches with goals at both ends, reflecting open tactical approaches and a willingness to attack. The fixture's stakes and recent form suggest a competitive encounter with chances for both teams to find the net, setting up a potentially high-scoring game.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Alianza Valledupar concedes 2 goals per game on average, indicating defensive weaknesses.
  • Internacional de Bogota averages 1.2 goals conceded per match, showing some defensive vulnerability.
  • Both teams have BTTS rates of 80% (Alianza Valledupar) and 60% (Internacional de Bogota), supporting mutual scoring chances.
  • Recent matches show high shot volumes: Alianza Valledupar averages 13.8 shots, Internacional de Bogota 14.8 shots per game.
  • Head-to-head meetings average 2.5 goals per game, indicating a history of open contests.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies a strong 76% chance for both teams to score, driven by the offensive strengths and defensive fragilities of both Alianza Valledupar and Internacional de Bogota. Alianza Valledupar's high BTTS and Over 2.5 Goals rates (80%) combined with Internacional de Bogota's consistent attacking output and shot volumes create a scenario where goals at both ends are highly probable. The historical average of 2.5 goals per meeting further supports this outlook. The price at 1.8 reflects positive value with a 20.4% edge, making this a compelling selection based on current data and tactical context.

Alianza Valledupar BTTS Rate80%
Strong positive
Internacional de Bogota BTTS Rate60%
Positive
Model Chance for BTTS70.6% model chance vs 55.6% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Implied Market Chance70.6% model chance vs 55.6% implied (+15 pts)
Positive
Value Edge70.6% model chance vs 55.6% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both teams have shown attacking promise but also defensive lapses, making the Both Teams to Score market a logical choice. Alianza Valledupar's high BTTS rate and Internacional de Bogota's consistent offensive pressure suggest goals at both ends. The data supports an open game where both sides are likely to breach the opposition's defense, making this pick tactically and statistically sound.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · BTTS market rationale

“The attacking tendencies and defensive vulnerabilities on both sides create a fertile ground for goals at both ends, making the BTTS market a natural fit for this fixture.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Alianza Valledupar concedes 2 goals per game on average, indicating defensive weaknesses.

Internacional de Bogota averages 1.2 goals conceded per match, showing some defensive vulnerability.

Both teams have BTTS rates of 80% (Alianza Valledupar) and 60% (Internacional de Bogota), supporting mutual scoring chances.

Recent matches show high shot volumes: Alianza Valledupar averages 13.8 shots, Internacional de Bogota 14.8 shots per game.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals per game stand at 2.5, indicating a trend toward open, goal-rich encounters.
  • This trend, combined with recent form and attacking statistics, suggests a match tempo that favors multiple scoring opportunities and supports the likelihood of both teams scoring.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Alianza Valledupar1.4
Avg goals scored
Internacional de Bogota1
Alianza Valledupar2
Avg goals conceded
Internacional de Bogota1.2
Alianza Valledupar80%
BTTS rate
Internacional de Bogota60%
Alianza Valledupar80%
Over 2.5 goals
Internacional de Bogota40%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 59%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 77%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 41%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 46%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Both teams have high BTTS rates, with Alianza Valledupar at 80% and Internacional de Bogota at 60%. Combined with Alianza Valledupar's 80% Over 2.5 Goals rate and a historical average of 2.5 goals per head-to-head match, the data suggests open games with goals from both sides. The offensive intent and defensive gaps create a fertile environment for mutual scoring.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 59%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 69%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Alianza Valledupar to WinBetUK guide price · model 46%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
Internacional de Bogota to WinBet365 guide price · model 38%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Alianza Valledupar Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 56%
1.72
Check odds @ 1.72
Internacional de Bogota Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 48%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
The 70.6% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 55.6% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Alianza Valledupar show a 80% BTTS rate and Internacional de Bogota show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

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Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Alianza Valledupar

WDLWL
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 1D 5L
20 Oct 2026A Deportivo Pasto1-0
10 Oct 2026H Águilas Doradas2-2
03 Oct 2026A Deportivo Cali1-3
27 Sep 2026A Jaguares2-1
19 Sep 2026H Santa Fe1-4

Internacional de Bogota

WDDDL
Last 51W 3D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 6D 2L
21 Oct 2026H Fortaleza FC2-1
11 Oct 2026A Junior2-2
04 Oct 2026H Once Caldas1-1
26 Sep 2026A Deportivo Pereira0-0
20 Sep 2026A Bucaramanga0-2
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 75% vs implied 74% · edge +1.7 pts
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Load more odds for this section
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Alianza Valledupar to WinBetUK guide price · model 46%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
Internacional de Bogota to WinBet365 guide price · model 38%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Alianza Valledupar Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 56%
1.72
Check odds @ 1.72
Internacional de Bogota Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 48%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Recent form data shows Alianza Valledupar scoring 1.4 goals per game while conceding 2, reflecting defensive frailty. Internacional de Bogota scores 1 goal per match and concedes 1.2, indicating a slightly tighter defense but still prone to conceding. Both teams have maintained high BTTS rates recently, reinforcing the likelihood of goals at both ends in this fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Alianza Valledupar Over 2.5
40%Internacional de Bogota Over 2.5
2.5H2H avg goals
Over the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals per game stand at 2.5, indicating a trend toward open, goal-rich encounters. This trend, combined with recent form and attacking statistics, suggests a match tempo that favors multiple scoring opportunities and supports the likelihood of both teams scoring.

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