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Gent crestGent
v
Anderlecht crestAnderlecht

Jupiler Pro League | Sun 25 Oct, 17:30

Gent v Anderlecht Stats

Data last updated: Sun 25 Oct 2026, 13:18 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Gent hosts Anderlecht in a Jupiler Pro League clash where both teams have shown solid defensive records but maintain attacking intent. Gent leads the league and has a strong home form, while Anderlecht sits fifth with competitive recent results. Both sides average close to six corners per game, indicating a likely high-corner count battle. The match promises tactical intensity with Gent's offensive pressure and Anderlecht's counter-attacking threat, setting the stage for sustained wide play and set-piece opportunities that could push the corner count above nine.

BT4Y best bet

Over 9.5 Corners

  • Gent averages 5.6 corners per game, Anderlecht 5.8, combining for over 11 per match on average.
  • Recent form shows both teams have a 40% rate for matches exceeding 2.5 goals, suggesting open play and attacking intent.
  • Gent ranks first in the league, often controlling possession and territory, leading to more corner opportunities.
  • Anderlecht's attacking players like A. Bertaccini generate high shot volumes, increasing chances for defensive clearances and corners.
  • Both teams maintain disciplined defensive records, but their offensive pressure creates set-piece situations frequently.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies a 63.7% chance for over 9.5 corners, supported by both teams' high average corners per game (Gent 5.6, Anderlecht 5.8). The combined pressure and attacking styles, with Gent's league-leading form and Anderlecht's active shot creation, suggest frequent wide attacks and defensive clearances. This corner volume aligns with the teams' tactical approaches, making the over 9.5 corners a solid pick with a positive at current . No price warnings apply, and the data quality is strong for both sides.

Gent average corners5.6 per game
Strong positive
Anderlecht average corners5.8 per game
Strong positive
Model corner chance63.7%
Strong positive
Value edge63.7% model chance vs 56.2% implied (+7.5 pts)
Positive
Data qualityComplete for both teams
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect a dynamic match with both Gent and Anderlecht pushing wide and creating multiple attacking phases. Their combined corner averages and offensive tendencies support a high corner count, making Over 9.5 Corners a compelling choice. Gent's home control and Anderlecht's active shot creation increase the likelihood of frequent defensive clearances leading to corners.

Main risk

Corner volume can be sterile if territory does not become shots, crosses or repeat box entries.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Corners market

“Gent and Anderlecht's attacking styles and high corner averages set the stage for a corner-heavy encounter. The match tempo and wide play should generate ample corner opportunities, making the over 9.5 corners a well-founded market to watch.”

Key Data Signals

Over 9.5 Corners evidence

Gent averages 5.6 corners per game, Anderlecht 5.8, combining for over 11 per match on average.

Recent form shows both teams have a 40% rate for matches exceeding 2.5 goals, suggesting open play and attacking intent.

Gent ranks first in the league, often controlling possession and territory, leading to more corner opportunities.

Anderlecht's attacking players like A. Bertaccini generate high shot volumes, increasing chances for defensive clearances and corners.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 9.5 Corners notes

  • In the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.8, indicating moderately open games.
  • Both teams have a 40% rate of over 2.5 goals in recent matches, suggesting a tempo and attacking style conducive to generating corners through sustained pressure and transitions.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Gent1.8
Avg goals scored
Anderlecht1.4
Gent0.4
Avg goals conceded
Anderlecht0.2
Gent40%
BTTS rate
Anderlecht20%
Gent40%
Over 2.5 goals
Anderlecht40%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS NoBetfred guide price · Model 54% vs implied 51% · edge +2.7 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 50%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 68%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 54%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 32%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 50%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Both teams have a 40% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals, reflecting open play that often leads to attacking pressure and set-piece situations. Gent concedes only 0.4 goals per game, Anderlecht 0.2, indicating disciplined defenses but with offensive intent that can force corners rather than goals.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Gent

WWDWW
Last 54W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 107W 1D 0L
10 Oct 2026A Zulte Waregem2-0
18 Sep 2026H Standard Liege2-1
13 Sep 2026A Genk1-1
06 Sep 2026A Cercle Brugge3-0
03 Sep 2026H OH Leuven1-0

Anderlecht

WWWDW
Last 54W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 1D 2L
10 Oct 2026A Cercle Brugge2-1
19 Sep 2026H Zulte Waregem3-0
11 Sep 2026A KV Mechelen1-0
06 Sep 2026H Genk0-0
03 Sep 2026H Kortrijk1-0
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 68% vs implied 62% · edge +6.7 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Load more odds for this section
Home / DrawBetUK guide price · model 74%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Gent Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 55%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Anderlecht to WinBet365 guide price · model 39%
3
Check odds @ 3
Gent to WinBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Anderlecht Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 49%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Recent form data shows both teams have earned 13 points in their last matches with similar over 2.5 goals and BTTS rates, indicating balanced attacking and defensive performances. Their consistent corner averages in recent games support the likelihood of surpassing 9.5 corners in this fixture.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

corners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price · Model 70% vs implied 69% · edge +0.3 pts
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Load more odds for this section
Gent Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 55%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Anderlecht to WinBet365 guide price · model 39%
3
Check odds @ 3
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 50%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Gent to WinBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Anderlecht Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 49%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 50%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
The 63.7% for Over 9.5 Corners sits against roughly 56.2% implied by the current price (+7.5 pts). Anderlecht lead the corner sample at 5.8 per match, with Gent lower at 5.6.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Gent Over 2.5
40%Anderlecht Over 2.5
2.8H2H avg goals
In the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.8, indicating moderately open games. Both teams have a 40% rate of over 2.5 goals in recent matches, suggesting a tempo and attacking style conducive to generating corners through sustained pressure and transitions.

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