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Shelbourne crestShelbourne
v
Shamrock Rovers crestShamrock Rovers

Premier Division | Fri 12 Jun, 20:00

Shelbourne v Shamrock Rovers Stats

Data last updated: Tue 07 Jul 2026, 21:27 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Shelbourne face Shamrock Rovers in Premier Division on Fri 12 Jun, 20:00. Leaders Shamrock Rovers average 1.5 goals per fixture and possess plenty of central attacking craft via Graham Burke, ensuring a high likelihood that both teams find the net.

BT4Y best bet

For both teams to score

  • At 5/1, Under 2.5 Goals implies roughly 17%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 54%.
  • Their defensive numbers in that run are also strong: 0.8 goals conceded, 2.9 shots on goal faced and 13.2 attempts allowed per game.
  • Shamrock Rovers are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.4 goals per match, with Shelbourne at 0.8.
  • BTTS rates of 40% for Shelbourne and 60% for Shamrock Rovers show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 54% for Under 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 17% implied by the current price. Shamrock Rovers are carrying more of the scoring load at that scoring level per match, with Shelbourne at 0.8. Their defensive numbers in that run are also strong: that scoring level conceded, 2.9 shots on goal faced and 13.2 attempts allowed per game.

Model chance vs price54% model chance against roughly 17% implied
Strong positive
Shamrock Rovers are carrying more of the scoring load at.Visible data support
Positive
BTTS rates of 40% for Shelbourne and 60% for Shamrock.Visible data support
Positive
Their defensive numbers in that run are also strong.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Under that scoring level is the preferred angle because their defensive numbers in that run are also strong: that scoring level conceded, that shot volume on goal faced and 13.2 attempts allowed per game. Shamrock Rovers are carrying more of the scoring load at that scoring level per match, with Shelbourne at 0.8. That symmetry looks neat on paper, but on the pitch it is maddening.

Main risk

That symmetry looks neat on paper, but on the pitch it is maddening.

Key Data Signals

Under 2.5 Goals evidence

Their defensive numbers in that run are also strong: 0.8 goals conceded, 2.

Shamrock Rovers are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.4 goals per match, with Shelbourne at 0.8.

BTTS rates of 40% for Shelbourne and 60% for Shamrock Rovers show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2.5 Goals notes

  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Shelbourne0.8
Avg goals scored
Shamrock Rovers1.4
Shelbourne0.4
Avg goals conceded
Shamrock Rovers1
Shelbourne40%
BTTS rate
Shamrock Rovers60%
Shelbourne20%
Over 2.5 goals
Shamrock Rovers60%
Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 54% vs implied 58% · edge -4.2 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 60%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 50%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 68%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 32%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 44%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Under 2.5 Goals does not fully support the current price: recent Over 2.5 rates are 20% for Shelbourne and 60% for Shamrock Rovers, so the goals line needs support from both scoring profiles.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 60% vs implied 56% · edge +4.4 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 62%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Shelbourne Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 52%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 50%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
Shamrock Rovers to WinBetMGM guide price · model 43%
2.55
Check odds @ 2.55
Shelbourne to WinBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.55
Check odds @ 2.55
Shamrock Rovers Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 53%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
BTTS Yes is fairly priced at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Shelbourne6
Avg corners for
Shamrock Rovers3.8
Shelbourne10
Avg total corners
Shamrock Rovers8.2
Shelbourne2.8
Avg yellow cards
Shamrock Rovers2.2
Shelbourne16.6
Avg shots
Shamrock Rovers15.6
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 56% vs implied 48% · edge +8.2 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Load more odds for this section
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 62%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 10.5 CornersBetUK guide price
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Shelbourne

DDWWD
Last 52W 3D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 4D 3L
29 May 2026H Galway United1-1
25 May 2026A Derry City0-0
22 May 2026H Waterford2-1
15 May 2026A St Patrick's Athl.1-0
08 May 2026H Sligo Rovers0-0

Shamrock Rovers

WWLLW
Last 53W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 107W 0D 3L
29 May 2026H St Patrick's Athl.1-0
25 May 2026A Bohemians2-1
22 May 2026H Sligo Rovers1-2
15 May 2026A Dundalk0-1
08 May 2026A Galway United3-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 72% vs implied 69% · edge +2.6 pts
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Load more odds for this section
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 71%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Shelbourne Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 52%
2
Check odds @ 2
Shamrock Rovers to WinBetMGM guide price · model 43%
2.55
Check odds @ 2.55
Shelbourne to WinBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.55
Check odds @ 2.55
Shamrock Rovers Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 53%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
DrawBet365 guide price · model 30%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

3Shelbourne wins
4Draws
3Shamrock Rovers wins
06 Apr 2026Shamrock Rovers v Shelbourne3-2
09 Mar 2026Shelbourne v Shamrock Rovers2-2
10 Oct 2025Shamrock Rovers v Shelbourne0-1
13 Jun 2025Shelbourne v Shamrock Rovers1-2
25 Apr 2025Shamrock Rovers v Shelbourne2-2
28 Feb 2025Shelbourne v Shamrock Rovers1-1
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 60% vs implied 56% · edge +4.4 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 50%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
Shamrock Rovers to WinBetMGM guide price · model 43%
2.55
Check odds @ 2.55
Shelbourne to WinBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.55
Check odds @ 2.55
DrawBet365 guide price · model 30%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
The head-to-head sample gives context for BTTS Yes, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Premier Division

Shelbourne24
Played
Shamrock Rovers25
Shelbourne1.5
Avg goals for
Shamrock Rovers1.6
Shelbourne1.5
Avg goals against
Shamrock Rovers0.9
Shelbourne5
Clean sheets
Shamrock Rovers9
Best odds for this sectionShelbourne Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 52% vs implied 50% · edge +1.8 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
Load more odds for this section
Shamrock Rovers to WinBetMGM guide price · model 43%
2.55
Check odds @ 2.55
Shelbourne to WinBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.55
Check odds @ 2.55
Shamrock Rovers Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 53%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Season data supports Shelbourne Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
1Shamrock Rovers5025155518
5Shelbourne342481060
Shelbourne sit in position 5, while Shamrock Rovers sit in position 1, so table pressure belongs in the Under 2.5 Goals assessment.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

20%Shelbourne Over 2.5
60%Shamrock Rovers Over 2.5
2.6H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Shelbourne sit at 20% and Shamrock Rovers sit at 60% with the H2H average at 2.6 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Shelbourne v Shamrock Rovers prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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Next step

Betting context

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