Football Stats Hub

RB Bragantino crestRB Bragantino
v
Carabobo FC crestCarabobo FC

CONMEBOL Sudamericana | Thu 28 May, 01:30

RB Bragantino v Carabobo FC Stats

Data last updated: Sun 12 Jul 2026, 11:03 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

RB Bragantino face Carabobo FC in CONMEBOL Sudamericana on Thu 28 May, 01:30. RB Bragantino come in with 7 recent points and 2 goals per match, while Carabobo FC have 9 points and 1.2 goals per match in the same lens. In this competition context, game state, selection calls and recent rhythm matter more than a simple table position.

BT4Y best bet

Carabobo FC or Draw

  • At 3.21, Carabobo FC or Draw implies roughly 31%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 74%.
  • Carabobo FC have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 7 for RB Bragantino.
  • Carabobo FC have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.6 conceded per match, which helps the Carabobo FC or Draw angle more than a raw possession edge.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 74% for Carabobo FC or Draw sits against roughly 31% implied by the current price. Carabobo FC have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 7 for RB Bragantino.

Model chance vs price74% model chance against roughly 31% implied
Strong positive
Carabobo FC have the stronger recent points return, taking 9.Visible data support
Positive
Carabobo FC have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.6 conceded.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Carabobo FC or Draw is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Carabobo FC have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 7 for RB Bragantino. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

Carabobo FC or Draw evidence

Carabobo FC have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 7 for RB Bragantino.

Carabobo FC have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.6 conceded per match, which helps the Carabobo FC or Draw angle more than a raw possession edge.

What To Watch In The Data

Carabobo FC or Draw notes

    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    RB Bragantino5.6
    Avg corners for
    Carabobo FC4.2
    RB Bragantino9.8
    Avg total corners
    Carabobo FC10.4
    RB Bragantino2.6
    Avg yellow cards
    Carabobo FC2
    RB Bragantino18.8
    Avg shots
    Carabobo FC10.2
    Best odds for this sectionOver 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · Model 68% vs implied 46% · edge +22.4 pts
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 59%
    1.9
    Check odds @ 1.9
    Over 5.5 CardsBetMGM guide price
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Over 3.5 Cards needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

    Continue the research

    Useful next reads

    corners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    RB Bragantino2
    Avg goals scored
    Carabobo FC1.2
    RB Bragantino1
    Avg goals conceded
    Carabobo FC0.6
    RB Bragantino40%
    BTTS rate
    Carabobo FC20%
    RB Bragantino40%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Carabobo FC20%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 53% vs implied 23% · edge +30.2 pts
    4.33
    Check odds @ 4.33
    Load more odds for this section
    Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 66%
    1.9
    Check odds @ 1.9
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 22%
    3.25
    Check odds @ 3.25
    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%
    1.28
    Check odds @ 1.28
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
    1.9
    Check odds @ 1.9
    BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 51%
    1.2
    Check odds @ 1.2
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickCarabobo FC Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 55% vs implied 20% · edge +35.4 pts
    5
    Check odds @ 5
    Load more odds for this section
    Carabobo FC to WinBet365 guide price · model 45%
    9
    Check odds @ 9
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 53%
    4.33
    Check odds @ 4.33
    Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 68%
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
    1.9
    Check odds @ 1.9
    Carabobo FC Draw No Bet is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    RB Bragantino

    DWLWL
    Last 52W 1D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 102W 1D 2L
    21 May 2026A River Plate1-1
    08 May 2026A Blooming6-0
    01 May 2026H River Plate0-1
    17 Apr 2026H Blooming3-2
    10 Apr 2026A Carabobo FC0-1

    Carabobo FC

    WLWLW
    Last 53W 0D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 103W 0D 2L
    22 May 2026A Blooming2-0
    08 May 2026H River Plate1-2
    30 Apr 2026H Blooming2-0
    16 Apr 2026A River Plate0-1
    10 Apr 2026H RB Bragantino1-0
    Market aligned with main pickAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 74% vs implied 31% · edge +42.8 pts
    3.21
    Check odds @ 3.21
    Load more odds for this section
    Carabobo FC Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 55%
    5
    Check odds @ 5
    Carabobo FC to WinBet365 guide price · model 45%
    9
    Check odds @ 9
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    0RB Bragantino wins
    0Draws
    1Carabobo FC wins
    10 Apr 2026Carabobo FC v RB Bragantino1-0
    Market aligned with main pickCarabobo FC to WinBet365 guide price · Model 45% vs implied 11% · edge +34.3 pts
    9
    Check odds @ 9
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 53%
    4.33
    Check odds @ 4.33
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
    1.9
    Check odds @ 1.9
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Carabobo FC to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    CONMEBOL Sudamericana

    RB Bragantino6
    Played
    Carabobo FC6
    RB Bragantino2
    Avg goals for
    Carabobo FC1
    RB Bragantino0.8
    Avg goals against
    Carabobo FC0.8
    RB Bragantino2
    Clean sheets
    Carabobo FC3
    Market aligned with main pickCarabobo FC Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 55% vs implied 20% · edge +35.4 pts
    5
    Check odds @ 5
    Load more odds for this section
    Carabobo FC to WinBet365 guide price · model 45%
    9
    Check odds @ 9
    Season data supports Carabobo FC Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    2RB Bragantino1063127
    3Carabobo FC963031
    CONMEBOL Sudamericana standings are background only here: the useful read is whether the form and chance profile translate into control, territory and clear openings in this specific fixture.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    40%RB Bragantino Over 2.5
    20%Carabobo FC Over 2.5
    1H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: RB Bragantino sit at 40% and Carabobo FC sit at 20% with the H2H average at 1 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

    Football predictions hub

    Find the latest football previews and betting angles from the main predictions hub.

    More stats pages

    Browse football stats pages

    Open the main stats hub for the latest fixture dashboards.

    Competition and hubs

    corners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centre

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

    View match centre