Football Stats Hub

RB Bragantino crestRB Bragantino
v
Carabobo FC crestCarabobo FC

CONMEBOL Sudamericana | Thu 28 May, 01:30

RB Bragantino v Carabobo FC Stats

Data last updated: Tue 04 Aug 2026, 02:30 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

RB Bragantino face Carabobo FC in CONMEBOL Sudamericana on Thu 28 May, 01:30. RB Bragantino come in with 7 recent points and 2 goals per match, while Carabobo FC have 9 points and 1.2 goals per match in the same lens. In this competition context, game state, selection calls and recent rhythm matter more than a simple table position.

BT4Y best bet

Under 2.5 Goals

  • At 1.9, Under 2.5 Goals implies roughly 53%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 66%.
  • The Over 2.5 trend is 40% for RB Bragantino and 20% for Carabobo FC, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
  • RB Bragantino are carrying more of the scoring load at 2 goals per match, with Carabobo FC at 1.2.
  • BTTS rates of 40% for RB Bragantino and 20% for Carabobo FC show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 66% for Under 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 53% implied by the current price. The Over 2.5 trend is 40% for RB Bragantino and 20% for Carabobo FC, so the goals angle is not just a price call.

Model chance vs price66% model chance against roughly 53% implied
Positive
The Over 2.5 trend is 40% for RB Bragantino.Visible data support
Positive
RB Bragantino are carrying more of the scoring load at.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Under 2.5 Goals is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers RB Bragantino are carrying more of the scoring load at 2 goals per match, with Carabobo FC at 1.2. A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Key Data Signals

Under 2.5 Goals evidence

RB Bragantino are carrying more of the scoring load at 2 goals per match, with Carabobo FC at 1.2.

BTTS rates of 40% for RB Bragantino and 20% for Carabobo FC show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2.5 Goals notes

  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

RB Bragantino5.6
Avg corners for
Carabobo FC4.2
RB Bragantino9.8
Avg total corners
Carabobo FC10.4
RB Bragantino2.6
Avg yellow cards
Carabobo FC2
RB Bragantino18.8
Avg shots
Carabobo FC10.2
Best odds for this sectionOver 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · Model 61% vs implied 46% · edge +15 pts
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Load more odds for this section
Over 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 59%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Over 5.5 CardsBetMGM guide price
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 3.5 Cards needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

corners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

RB Bragantino2
Avg goals scored
Carabobo FC1.2
RB Bragantino1
Avg goals conceded
Carabobo FC0.6
RB Bragantino40%
BTTS rate
Carabobo FC20%
RB Bragantino40%
Over 2.5 goals
Carabobo FC20%
Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 66% vs implied 53% · edge +13.4 pts
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 38%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 22%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 51%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionOver 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · Model 61% vs implied 46% · edge +15 pts
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 38%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Carabobo FC Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 35%
5
Check odds @ 5
Carabobo FC to WinBet365 guide price · model 26%
9
Check odds @ 9
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
5
Check odds @ 5
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
RB Bragantino Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 49%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Over 3.5 Cards is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

RB Bragantino

DWLWL
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 2L
21 May 2026A River Plate1-1
08 May 2026A Blooming6-0
01 May 2026H River Plate0-1
17 Apr 2026H Blooming3-2
10 Apr 2026A Carabobo FC0-1

Carabobo FC

WLWLW
Last 53W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 0D 2L
22 May 2026A Blooming2-0
08 May 2026H River Plate1-2
30 Apr 2026H Blooming2-0
16 Apr 2026A River Plate0-1
10 Apr 2026H RB Bragantino1-0
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 46% vs implied 31% · edge +15 pts
3.21
Check odds @ 3.21
Load more odds for this section
Carabobo FC Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 35%
5
Check odds @ 5
Carabobo FC to WinBet365 guide price · model 26%
9
Check odds @ 9
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
5
Check odds @ 5
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.05
Check odds @ 1.05
RB Bragantino Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 49%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
RB Bragantino to WinBetMGM guide price · model 39%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0RB Bragantino wins
0Draws
1Carabobo FC wins
10 Apr 2026Carabobo FC v RB Bragantino1-0
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 38% vs implied 23% · edge +15 pts
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Load more odds for this section
Carabobo FC to WinBet365 guide price · model 26%
9
Check odds @ 9
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
5
Check odds @ 5
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
RB Bragantino to WinBetMGM guide price · model 39%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
The head-to-head sample gives context for BTTS Yes, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Season team stats

CONMEBOL Sudamericana

RB Bragantino8
Played
Carabobo FC6
RB Bragantino1.6
Avg goals for
Carabobo FC1
RB Bragantino0.6
Avg goals against
Carabobo FC0.8
RB Bragantino4
Clean sheets
Carabobo FC3
Best odds for this sectionCarabobo FC Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 35% vs implied 20% · edge +15 pts
5
Check odds @ 5
Load more odds for this section
Carabobo FC to WinBet365 guide price · model 26%
9
Check odds @ 9
RB Bragantino Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 49%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
RB Bragantino to WinBetMGM guide price · model 39%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Season data supports Carabobo FC Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
2RB Bragantino1063127
3Carabobo FC963031
CONMEBOL Sudamericana standings are background only here: the useful read is whether the form and chance profile translate into control, territory and clear openings in this specific fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%RB Bragantino Over 2.5
20%Carabobo FC Over 2.5
1H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: RB Bragantino sit at 40% and Carabobo FC sit at 20% with the H2H average at 1 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Football predictions hub

Find the latest football previews and betting angles from the main predictions hub.

More stats pages

Browse football stats pages

Open the main stats hub for the latest fixture dashboards.

Competition and hubs

corners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centre

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

View match centre