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Oman crestOman
v
Mozambique crestMozambique

Friendlies | Sun 07 Jun, 14:00

Oman v Mozambique Stats

Data last updated: Sat 01 Aug 2026, 02:51 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Oman face Mozambique in Friendlies on Sun 07 Jun, 14:00. A clear look at defensive records shows a significant disparity in containment stability leading into this friendly fixture. Oman’s recent form paints a picture of a side with some defensive discipline, but also one searching for attacking sharpness.

BT4Y lean · price warning

Oman Win

  • Price warning: current odds imply about 42%, above the 28% model chance, so this is a football-led pick rather than a clear value bet; reduce stake or wait for a better price.
  • At 7/5, Oman Win implies roughly 42%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 28%.
  • Mozambique have conceded thirteen goals across their last five fixtures, rendering them vulnerable to transitions despite Oman's own recent inefficiencies in the final third.
Price warning

Oman Win is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 42% while the model sits nearer 28% (-13.8 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Mozambique Draw No Bet shows a +15 pts edge at 2.1.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The 28% for Oman Win sits against roughly 42% implied by the current price. Mozambique have conceded thirteen goals across their last five fixtures, rendering them vulnerable to transitions despite Oman's own recent inefficiencies in the final third.

Model chance vs price28% model chance against roughly 42% implied
Negative
Mozambique have conceded thirteen goals across their last five.Article support
Positive
Price sensitivityEdge -13.8 pts
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Oman Win is the preferred angle because mozambique have conceded thirteen goals across their last five fixtures, rendering them vulnerable to transitions despite Oman's own recent inefficiencies in the final third. For Oman, the concern was not only the scoreline but the lack of response.

Main risk

For Oman, the concern was not only the scoreline but the lack of response.

Key Data Signals

Oman Win evidence

Mozambique have conceded thirteen goals across their last five fixtures, rendering them vulnerable to transitions despite Oman's own.

What To Watch In The Data

Oman Win notes

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickOman to WinBet365 guide price · Model 28% vs implied 43% · edge -14.7 pts
    2.35
    Check odds @ 2.35
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 54%
    2.6
    Check odds @ 2.6
    Oman Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
    1.65
    Check odds @ 1.65
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 33%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Oman to Win is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Oman0
    Avg goals scored
    Mozambique-
    Oman3
    Avg goals conceded
    Mozambique-
    Oman0%
    BTTS rate
    Mozambique-
    Oman100%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Mozambique-
    Best odds for this sectionOver 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 82% vs implied 67% · edge +15 pts
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 54%
    2.6
    Check odds @ 2.6
    BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 68%
    1.6
    Check odds @ 1.6
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 38%
    4.33
    Check odds @ 4.33
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 33%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 26%
    1.45
    Check odds @ 1.45
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Oman

    L
    Last 50W 0D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 1L
    05 Jun 2026A Indonesia0-3

    Mozambique

    Last 50W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 0L

    No recent match sample is available for Mozambique yet.

    Market aligned with main pickOman to WinBet365 guide price · Model 28% vs implied 43% · edge -14.7 pts
    2.35
    Check odds @ 2.35
    Load more odds for this section
    Oman Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
    1.65
    Check odds @ 1.65
    Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 53%
    1.3
    Check odds @ 1.3
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    0Oman wins
    0Draws
    0Mozambique wins
    Market aligned with main pickOman to WinBet365 guide price · Model 28% vs implied 43% · edge -14.7 pts
    2.35
    Check odds @ 2.35
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 54%
    2.6
    Check odds @ 2.6
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 33%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    There is no strong recent head-to-head sample for Oman to Win, which makes current output, injuries and market timing more important than historic meetings.
    Season team stats

    Friendlies

    Oman2
    Played
    Mozambique2
    Oman2
    Avg goals for
    Mozambique0.5
    Oman2
    Avg goals against
    Mozambique2.5
    Oman0
    Clean sheets
    Mozambique0
    Market aligned with main pickOman to WinBet365 guide price · Model 28% vs implied 43% · edge -14.7 pts
    2.35
    Check odds @ 2.35
    Load more odds for this section
    Oman Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
    1.65
    Check odds @ 1.65
    Season data supports Oman to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    100%Oman Over 2.5
    -Mozambique Over 2.5
    -H2H avg goals
    Mozambique have conceded thirteen goals across their last five fixtures, rendering them vulnerable to transitions despite Oman's own recent inefficiencies in the final third.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

    Oman v Mozambique prediction

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    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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