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Internacional de Bogota crestInternacional de Bogota
v
Independiente Medellin crestIndependiente Medellin

Primera A | Mon 17 Aug, 00:15

Internacional de Bogota v Independiente Medellin Stats

Data last updated: Sun 16 Aug 2026, 07:58 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Internacional de Bogota face Independiente Medellin in Primera A on Mon 17 Aug, 00:15. Internacional de Bogota come in with 3 recent points and 0.8 goals per match, while Independiente Medellin have 12 points and 1.8 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Independiente Medellin to Win

  • Independiente Medellin to Win is rated around 70% by the current BT4Y model.
  • Independiente Medellin have the stronger recent points return, taking 12 points from the sample compared with 3 for Internacional de Bogota.
  • Independiente Medellin have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.2 conceded per match, which helps the Independiente Medellin to Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Internacional de Bogota sit 13 in the table, while Independiente Medellin sit 2, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Independiente Medellin to Win around 70% on the latest available numbers. Independiente Medellin have the stronger recent points return, taking 12 points from the sample compared with 3 for Internacional de Bogota.

Independiente Medellin have the stronger recent points return, taking 12.Visible data support
Positive
Independiente Medellin have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.Visible data support
Positive
Price sensitivityCheck the latest price
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Independiente Medellin Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Independiente Medellin have the stronger recent points return, taking 12 points from the sample compared with 3 for Internacional de Bogota. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

Independiente Medellin to Win evidence

Independiente Medellin have the stronger recent points return, taking 12 points from the sample compared with 3 for Internacional de Bogota.

Independiente Medellin have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.2 conceded per match, which helps the Independiente Medellin Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Internacional de Bogota sit 13 in the table, while Independiente Medellin sit 2, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Independiente Medellin to Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Internacional de Bogota0.8
    Avg goals scored
    Independiente Medellin1.8
    Internacional de Bogota2.6
    Avg goals conceded
    Independiente Medellin1.2
    Internacional de Bogota60%
    BTTS rate
    Independiente Medellin60%
    Internacional de Bogota60%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Independiente Medellin60%

    No priced odds are available for this section yet.

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    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

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    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Internacional de Bogota4.8
    Avg corners for
    Independiente Medellin5
    Internacional de Bogota9
    Avg total corners
    Independiente Medellin9
    Internacional de Bogota2
    Avg yellow cards
    Independiente Medellin2.8
    Internacional de Bogota11.2
    Avg shots
    Independiente Medellin13.8

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    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Internacional de Bogota

    LWLLL
    Last 51W 0D 4L
    Last 5 record
    Last 103W 1D 6L
    09 Aug 2026A Deportes Tolima1-2
    06 Aug 2026H Jaguares1-0
    26 Jul 2026H America de Cali0-2
    13 May 2026A Atletico Nacional1-7
    09 May 2026H Atletico Nacional1-2

    Independiente Medellin

    WWWLW
    Last 54W 0D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 107W 1D 2L
    05 Aug 2026A Deportes Tolima3-2
    02 Aug 2026H Deportivo Cali1-0
    25 Jul 2026H Deportivo Pasto3-2
    03 May 2026H Águilas Doradas1-2
    26 Apr 2026H Fortaleza FC1-0

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    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    2Internacional de Bogota wins
    4Draws
    4Independiente Medellin wins
    07 Feb 2026Independiente Medellin v Internacional de Bogota1-2
    23 Aug 2025Independiente Medellin v Internacional de Bogota3-1
    09 Mar 2025Internacional de Bogota v Independiente Medellin0-0
    06 Oct 2024Independiente Medellin v Internacional de Bogota0-0
    23 Mar 2024Internacional de Bogota v Independiente Medellin1-2
    15 Jul 2023Independiente Medellin v Internacional de Bogota2-2

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    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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    Open Match Centre player odds

    Season team stats

    Primera A

    Internacional de Bogota24
    Played
    Independiente Medellin22
    Internacional de Bogota1.3
    Avg goals for
    Independiente Medellin1.5
    Internacional de Bogota1.6
    Avg goals against
    Independiente Medellin1.3
    Internacional de Bogota5
    Clean sheets
    Independiente Medellin6

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    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    8Internacional de Bogota28197750
    11Independiente Medellin26197572
    2Independiente Medellin933003
    13Internacional de Bogota33102-2
    Internacional de Bogota sit in position 13, while Independiente Medellin sit in position 2, so table pressure belongs in the Independiente Medellin to Win assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    60%Internacional de Bogota Over 2.5
    60%Independiente Medellin Over 2.5
    2.7H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Internacional de Bogota sit at 60% and Independiente Medellin sit at 60% with the H2H average at 2.7 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.