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Once Caldas crestOnce Caldas
v
Alianza Valledupar crestAlianza Valledupar

Primera A | Mon 17 Aug, 02:15

Once Caldas v Alianza Valledupar Stats

Data last updated: Sun 16 Aug 2026, 07:58 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Once Caldas and Alianza Valledupar face off in a Primera A clash where offensive intent is clear from both sides. Once Caldas, positioned mid-table, have shown a tendency to concede and score regularly, while Alianza Valledupar, struggling near the bottom, also display attacking efforts despite defensive vulnerabilities. Both teams have averaged over 1 goal scored per game recently, setting up a contest likely to feature goals at both ends. Tactical openness and recent scoring patterns suggest an engaging match with chances for both sides to find the net.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Both teams have an 80% rate of scoring and conceding in recent matches.
  • Once Caldas average 18.6 shots per game with 6.8 on target, indicating strong attacking pressure.
  • Alianza Valledupar maintain a solid 3.91 shots on target per game, showing consistent offensive threat.
  • The head-to-head average goals stand at 1.9 across 10 meetings, reflecting a tendency for goals.
  • Both teams have a 60% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals, supporting an open game scenario.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Both Teams to Score at a 76% chance, well above the implied market probability of 47.6%, indicating strong value. Both Once Caldas and Alianza Valledupar have high BTTS rates of 80%, supported by their attacking statistics and defensive concessions. The teams' shot volumes and recent form underline the likelihood of goals at both ends. No data limitations affect , making this a robust pick based on attacking and defensive balance.

Model BTTS Chance76%
Strong positive
Market Implied Chance47.6%
Strong positive
Once Caldas BTTS Rate80%
Strong positive
Alianza Valledupar BTTS Rate80%
Strong positive
Shot Volume (Once Caldas)18.6 shots per game
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both teams have shown a consistent pattern of scoring and conceding, with Once Caldas exerting significant attacking pressure and Alianza Valledupar responding with their own offensive efforts. This match-up is likely to produce goals at both ends, supported by recent form and shot statistics. The BTTS selection aligns well with the tactical openness and scoring tendencies of both sides.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score rationale

“This fixture features two teams with clear attacking intent but defensive vulnerabilities, making Both Teams to Score a logical and data-backed choice. The volume of shots and goal involvement from key players further supports this outcome.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Both teams have an 80% rate of scoring and conceding in recent matches.

Once Caldas average 18.6 shots per game with 6.8 on target, indicating strong attacking pressure.

Alianza Valledupar maintain a solid 3.91 shots on target per game, showing consistent offensive threat.

The head-to-head average goals stand at 1.9 across 10 meetings, reflecting a tendency for goals.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals per game is 1.9, with both teams frequently scoring.
  • Both sides have a 60% over 2.5 goals rate recently, indicating a trend toward open, goal-rich encounters.
  • This trend suggests a lively tempo and multiple scoring chances, supporting the BTTS market choice.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Once Caldas6
Avg corners for
Alianza Valledupar3
Once Caldas11
Avg total corners
Alianza Valledupar8
Once Caldas2.2
Avg yellow cards
Alianza Valledupar3.25
Once Caldas18.6
Avg shots
Alianza Valledupar9.25
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 50% vs implied 50% · edge -0.2 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
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Over 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 56%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Once Caldas average 6 corners per game and 18.6 shots with 6.8 on target, showing sustained attacking pressure. Alianza Valledupar contribute with 3 corners and 9 shots per game, including 2.6 on target, indicating they create chances despite less possession. Both teams have moderate card averages, reflecting a competitive but not overly aggressive match environment.

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Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Once Caldas2
Avg goals scored
Alianza Valledupar1.2
Once Caldas1.4
Avg goals conceded
Alianza Valledupar1.6
Once Caldas80%
BTTS rate
Alianza Valledupar80%
Once Caldas60%
Over 2.5 goals
Alianza Valledupar60%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 51%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 69%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 33%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 53%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Both Once Caldas and Alianza Valledupar have an 80% BTTS rate recently, indicating frequent goals from both sides. Their matches also have a 60% rate of over 2.5 goals, suggesting open games with multiple scoring opportunities. The head-to-head average of 1.9 goals across 10 matches supports a trend toward goal involvement from both teams.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
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Alianza Valledupar Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 42%
3.45
Check odds @ 3.45
Once Caldas to WinBet365 guide price · model 63%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Once Caldas Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 71%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 51%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Alianza Valledupar to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
6.25
Check odds @ 6.25
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 56%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
The Both Teams to Score market offers strong value with a of 76% compared to an implied market chance of 47.6%. This large reflects the teams' high BTTS rates and attacking profiles. The current of 2.1 fairly reward the likelihood of goals at both ends, making this a price-sensitive but attractive market to consider.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Once Caldas

DLDWD
Last 51W 3D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 5D 2L
10 Aug 2026A Jaguares1-1
06 Aug 2026H America de Cali0-1
03 Aug 2026A Santa Fe2-2
27 Jul 2026H Cucuta5-1
14 May 2026A Junior2-2

Alianza Valledupar

LLDDD
Last 50W 3D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 4D 5L
09 Aug 2026H Bucaramanga2-3
01 Aug 2026H Deportes Tolima1-2
27 Jul 2026H Fortaleza FC1-1
03 May 2026H Millonarios2-2
27 Apr 2026A Llaneros0-0
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 86% vs implied 89% · edge -3.3 pts
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
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Alianza Valledupar Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 42%
3.45
Check odds @ 3.45
Once Caldas to WinBet365 guide price · model 63%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Once Caldas Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 71%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 47%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Alianza Valledupar to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
6.25
Check odds @ 6.25
DrawBet365 guide price · model 24%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Recent form shows Once Caldas with 6 points and 2 goals scored, while Alianza Valledupar have 3 points and 1.2 goals per game. Both teams maintain an 80% BTTS rate, reflecting consistent scoring and conceding. This form data underlines the likelihood of goals from both sides in this fixture, reinforcing the BTTS selection.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

1Once Caldas wins
4Draws
5Alianza Valledupar wins
08 Feb 2026Alianza Valledupar v Once Caldas1-1
15 Aug 2025Alianza Valledupar v Once Caldas0-0
02 Mar 2025Once Caldas v Alianza Valledupar1-2
06 Oct 2024Alianza Valledupar v Once Caldas1-0
25 Mar 2024Once Caldas v Alianza Valledupar1-0
27 Sep 2023Alianza Valledupar v Once Caldas2-1
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Load more odds for this section
Once Caldas to WinBet365 guide price · model 63%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 51%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Alianza Valledupar to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
6.25
Check odds @ 6.25
DrawBet365 guide price · model 24%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
The 10 previous meetings between Once Caldas and Alianza Valledupar average 1.9 goals per game, reflecting a moderately open scoring pattern. While not overwhelmingly high, the consistent goal involvement from both teams in these encounters provides a useful background for expecting goals at both ends in this match.
Season team stats

Primera A

Once Caldas25
Played
Alianza Valledupar22
Once Caldas1.6
Avg goals for
Alianza Valledupar0.8
Once Caldas1.2
Avg goals against
Alianza Valledupar1.5
Once Caldas4
Clean sheets
Alianza Valledupar4
Best odds for this sectionAlianza Valledupar Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 42% vs implied 29% · edge +13 pts
3.45
Check odds @ 3.45
Load more odds for this section
Once Caldas to WinBet365 guide price · model 63%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Once Caldas Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 71%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Alianza Valledupar to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
6.25
Check odds @ 6.25
Season-long data reveals both teams have similar BTTS rates at 80%, with Once Caldas scoring 2 goals per game and conceding 1.4, while Alianza Valledupar score 1.2 and concede 1.6. These balanced attacking and defensive numbers support the expectation of goals at both ends throughout the match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
5Once Caldas33198929
17Alianza Valledupar1719388-14
9Once Caldas541213
15Alianza Valledupar13012-2
Once Caldas sit 9th with 5 points, while Alianza Valledupar are 15th with 1 point, indicating a gap in league performance. However, the standings do not fully capture the attacking tendencies and defensive frailties that suggest both teams will find the net, making BTTS a relevant market despite table positions.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Once Caldas Over 2.5
60%Alianza Valledupar Over 2.5
1.9H2H avg goals
Over the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals per game is 1.9, with both teams frequently scoring. Both sides have a 60% over 2.5 goals rate recently, indicating a trend toward open, goal-rich encounters. This trend suggests a lively tempo and multiple scoring chances, supporting the BTTS market choice.

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