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Once Caldas crestOnce Caldas
v
Alianza Valledupar crestAlianza Valledupar

Primera A | Wed 28 Oct, 23:00

Once Caldas v Alianza Valledupar Stats

Data last updated: Tue 27 Oct 2026, 00:32 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Once Caldas face Alianza Valledupar in Primera A on Wed 28 Oct, 23:00. Once Caldas come in with 9 recent points and 1.2 goals per match, while Alianza Valledupar have 10 points and 1.4 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • At 2.1, Both Teams to Score implies roughly 48%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 63%.
  • Once Caldas show a 60% BTTS rate and Alianza Valledupar show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • Once Caldas average 1.2 goals scored and Alianza Valledupar average 1.4, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 63% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 48% implied by the current price. Once Caldas show a 60% BTTS rate and Alianza Valledupar show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Model chance vs price63% model chance against roughly 48% implied
Strong positive
Once Caldas show a 60% BTTS rate and Alianza Valledupar.Visible data support
Positive
Once Caldas average 1.2 goals scored and Alianza Valledupar average.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Once Caldas show a 60% BTTS rate and Alianza Valledupar show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Once Caldas show a 60% BTTS rate and Alianza Valledupar show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Once Caldas average 1.2 goals scored and Alianza Valledupar average 1.4, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Compare both teams on scoring rate and clean-sheet record before trusting Both Teams To Score.
  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Once Caldas1.2
Avg goals scored
Alianza Valledupar1.4
Once Caldas0.6
Avg goals conceded
Alianza Valledupar1.2
Once Caldas60%
BTTS rate
Alianza Valledupar60%
Once Caldas0%
Over 2.5 goals
Alianza Valledupar60%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
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Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 66%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 38%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 56%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 22%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 31%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67

Continue the research

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
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Alianza Valledupar Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 44%
3.45
Check odds @ 3.45
Alianza Valledupar to WinBetMGM guide price · model 31%
6.25
Check odds @ 6.25
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 55%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 38%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Once Caldas Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 51%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
BTTS Yes is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Once Caldas

DDWWD
Last 52W 3D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 3D 4L
25 Oct 2026H Deportivo Pereira1-1
21 Oct 2026A Millonarios1-1
18 Oct 2026A Independiente Medellin2-0
10 Oct 2026H Llaneros1-0
04 Oct 2026A Internacional de Bogota1-1

Alianza Valledupar

WWDLW
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 1D 4L
25 Oct 2026H Internacional de Bogota1-0
20 Oct 2026A Deportivo Pasto1-0
10 Oct 2026H Águilas Doradas2-2
03 Oct 2026A Deportivo Cali1-3
27 Sep 2026A Jaguares2-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 59% vs implied 44% · edge +15 pts
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
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Alianza Valledupar Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 44%
3.45
Check odds @ 3.45
Alianza Valledupar to WinBetMGM guide price · model 31%
6.25
Check odds @ 6.25
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
Once Caldas Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 51%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Once Caldas to WinBet365 guide price · model 40%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

0%Once Caldas Over 2.5
60%Alianza Valledupar Over 2.5
1.8H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Once Caldas sit at 0% and Alianza Valledupar sit at 60% with the H2H average at 1.8 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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