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Remo crestRemo
v
Botafogo crestBotafogo

Serie A | Thu 29 Oct, 00:30

Remo v Botafogo Stats

Data last updated: Wed 28 Oct 2026, 09:03 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This Serie A clash features Remo and Botafogo, two sides with contrasting league positions and cautious recent form. Remo, struggling near the bottom, have managed only 0.6 goals per game and conceded one per match, while Botafogo, mid-table, average a similar 0.6 goals scored but have a leaky defense allowing 1.6 goals per game. Both teams have shown a tendency for low-scoring affairs recently, with Remo’s matches exceeding 2.5 goals only 20% of the time and Botafogo’s at 40%. The tactical setup suggests a tight contest with limited attacking risk, reflecting their need for points and defensive solidity.

BT4Y best bet

Under 2.5 Goals

  • Remo averages just 0.6 goals per game and concedes 1.0, indicating low scoring potential.
  • Botafogo concedes 1.6 goals per game but also scores only 0.6, suggesting defensive vulnerabilities but limited attacking threat.
  • Remo’s over 2.5 goals rate is 20%, Botafogo’s is 40%, both relatively low for Serie A standards.
  • Head-to-head matches have averaged 2.33 goals across three recent meetings, supporting a modest scoring expectation.
  • Shots data shows moderate attempts but limited shots on target, reinforcing a controlled tempo game.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Under 2.5 Goals with a 62.4% chance, reflecting both teams’ low scoring averages and defensive caution. Remo’s limited offensive output combined with Botafogo’s defensive frailties balanced by their own scoring struggles creates a scenario where few goals are expected. The at 2.1 offer positive value given the implied chance of 47.6%. is high at 79%, supported by recent form and season-long trends. No data limitations affect this prediction, making it a solid statistical and tactical call.

Remo’s low scoring and conceding rates0.6 goals for, 1.0 against per game
Strong positive
Botafogo’s defensive vulnerability offset by low scoring0.6 goals for, 1.6 against per game
Positive
Recent over 2.5 goals rates low for both teams20% Remo, 40% Botafogo
Strong positive
Model confidence79%
Strong positive
Odds value edge62.4% model chance vs 47.6% implied (+14.8 pts)
Strong positive
Main risk

Those performances demonstrate that Remo can remain competitive, but defensive lapses and limited finishing have repeatedly undermined their efforts.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Under 2.5 Goals

“This match is poised for a tactical battle where defensive discipline will limit clear chances, making Under 2.5 Goals a compelling selection based on both teams’ scoring difficulties and recent form.”

Key Data Signals

Under 2.5 Goals evidence

Botafogo concedes 1.6 goals per game but also scores only 0.6, suggesting defensive vulnerabilities but limited attacking threat.

Remo’s over 2.5 goals rate is 20%, Botafogo’s is 40%, both relatively low for Serie A standards.

Head-to-head matches have averaged 2.33 goals across three recent meetings, supporting a modest scoring expectation.

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2.5 Goals notes

  • Over the last three head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.33, indicating a moderate scoring trend.
  • Recent form and season data show low over 2.5 goals rates for both teams, suggesting that while goals can occur, the tempo and defensive setups typically keep totals below three.
  • This trend supports a controlled game with limited goal-scoring opportunities.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Remo0.6
Avg goals scored
Botafogo0.6
Remo1
Avg goals conceded
Botafogo1.6
Remo60%
BTTS rate
Botafogo40%
Remo20%
Over 2.5 goals
Botafogo40%
Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 62% vs implied 48% · edge +14.8 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 63%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 41%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 60%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 42%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 24%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Both teams have low scoring averages and moderate BTTS rates, with Remo at 60% and Botafogo at 40%. The combined data points to a match where goals are scarce and both teams may not score simultaneously, reinforcing the Under 2.5 Goals outlook. The head-to-head average of 2.33 goals over three matches further supports a modest scoring environment.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Remo

LDDDL
Last 50W 3D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 4D 6L
24 Oct 2026A Cruzeiro0-1
18 Oct 2026H RB Bragantino1-1
10 Oct 2026A Vasco DA Gama0-0
07 Oct 2026H Gremio1-1
19 Sep 2026H Santos1-2

Botafogo

LWDLL
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 3D 5L
24 Oct 2026A Internacional0-3
17 Oct 2026H Chapecoense-sc1-0
12 Oct 2026A Coritiba1-1
08 Oct 2026H Vasco DA Gama1-2
19 Sep 2026A Mirassol0-2
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetUK guide price · Model 72% vs implied 65% · edge +6.1 pts
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
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Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 72%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Remo to WinBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.88
Check odds @ 2.88
Botafogo Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 53%
2
Check odds @ 2
Remo Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 52%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Botafogo to WinBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 30%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Recent form data shows both teams scoring only 0.6 goals per game, with Remo’s matches exceeding 2.5 goals just 20% of the time and Botafogo’s at 40%. This trend indicates a pattern of low-scoring contests, consistent with the Under 2.5 Goals selection. Both teams have struggled to convert chances, reinforcing the expectation of a tight, low-scoring match.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

more Serie A analysisRemo v Botafogo predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 75% vs implied 77% · edge -1.9 pts
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 63%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Remo to WinBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.88
Check odds @ 2.88
Botafogo Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 53%
2
Check odds @ 2
Remo Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 52%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Botafogo to WinBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 30%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
The 62.4% for Under 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 47.6% implied by the current price (+14.8 pts). The Over 2.5 trend is 20% for Remo and 40% for Botafogo, so the goals angle is not just a price call. Over 2.5 Goals is backed by both teams' poor defensive records, conceding a combined 101 goals this season.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

20%Remo Over 2.5
40%Botafogo Over 2.5
2.33H2H avg goals
Over the last three head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.33, indicating a moderate scoring trend. Recent form and season data show low over 2.5 goals rates for both teams, suggesting that while goals can occur, the tempo and defensive setups typically keep totals below three. This trend supports a controlled game with limited goal-scoring opportunities.

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