Football Stats Hub

San Jose Earthquakes crestSan Jose Earthquakes
v
Colorado Rapids crestColorado Rapids

Major League Soccer | Thu 29 Oct, 02:30

San Jose Earthquakes v Colorado Rapids Stats

Data last updated: Wed 28 Oct 2026, 09:06 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

San Jose Earthquakes and Colorado Rapids meet in a Major League Soccer clash where both teams have shown moderate scoring form recently, averaging 1.2 goals per game each. Defensive solidity has been a feature, with San Jose conceding slightly more than Colorado. Both sides have a cautious approach, reflected in their similar over 2.5 goals rates of 40%. This match is poised to be a tactical battle with neither side likely to open up excessively, increasing the likelihood of a low-scoring encounter.

BT4Y best bet

Under 2.5 Goals

  • Both teams average just 1.2 goals scored per game recently, indicating limited attacking output.
  • San Jose concedes 1.4 goals per game, slightly higher than Colorado's 1.2, suggesting tight defenses.
  • Both teams have a 40% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals, supporting a low-scoring trend.
  • Head-to-head average goals stand at 2.2 over 10 matches, reinforcing a modest scoring pattern.
  • San Jose ranks 4th and Colorado 8th, but recent form points to cautious play rather than open attacking.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Under 2.5 Goals with a 61.5% chance, reflecting the teams' recent low scoring averages and defensive discipline. Both sides have a 40% over 2.5 goals rate, indicating that high-scoring games are less frequent. The head-to-head average of 2.2 goals per match further supports a restrained scoring environment. This pick offers positive value at of 2.25, with bolstered by consistent defensive performances and balanced attacking threat levels.

Recent Goals Per Game1.2 goals each
Strong positive
Over 2.5 Goals Rate40% both teams
Positive
Head-to-Head Average Goals2.2 goals per match
Positive
Defensive Concession1.4 San Jose, 1.2 Colorado
Positive
Value Edge59.4% model chance vs 44.4% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Under 2.5 Goals is a sensible selection given the teams' recent scoring restraint and defensive solidity. Both sides have shown a tendency for cautious play, with average goals per game and head-to-head data supporting a low-scoring outcome. This bet aligns well with the tactical balance expected in this MLS fixture.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match scoring potential

“This match features two teams with disciplined defenses and moderate attacking output, making Under 2.5 Goals a logical choice. The statistical trends and player profiles suggest a controlled tempo rather than an open, high-scoring game.”

Key Data Signals

Under 2.5 Goals evidence

Both teams average just 1.2 goals scored per game recently, indicating limited attacking output.

San Jose concedes 1.4 goals per game, slightly higher than Colorado's 1.2, suggesting tight defenses.

Head-to-head average goals stand at 2.2 over 10 matches, reinforcing a modest scoring pattern.

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2.5 Goals notes

  • Over the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.2, reflecting a trend towards modest scoring.
  • This sample indicates a tempo and tactical balance that limits goal volume, reinforcing the case for Under 2.5 Goals in this upcoming fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

San Jose Earthquakes1.2
Avg goals scored
Colorado Rapids1.2
San Jose Earthquakes1.4
Avg goals conceded
Colorado Rapids1.2
San Jose Earthquakes80%
BTTS rate
Colorado Rapids60%
San Jose Earthquakes40%
Over 2.5 goals
Colorado Rapids40%
Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · Model 59% vs implied 44% · edge +15 pts
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 61%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 43%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 28%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 25%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Recent form shows both teams average 1.2 goals per game, with San Jose conceding slightly more than Colorado. Both have a 40% over 2.5 goals rate, indicating that high-scoring matches are less common. The head-to-head average of 2.2 goals further underscores a tendency towards fewer goals and a balanced attacking threat.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

Major League Soccer fixtures and predictionscorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 65% · edge +10.6 pts
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Load more odds for this section
Colorado Rapids Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 52%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
Colorado Rapids to WinBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.9
Check odds @ 2.9
San Jose Earthquakes Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 52%
1.72
Check odds @ 1.72
DrawBet365 guide price · model 30%
3.7
Check odds @ 3.7
San Jose Earthquakes to WinBetfred guide price · model 42%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 66%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
The 59.4% for Under 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 44.4% implied by the current price (+15 pts). The Over 2.5 trend is 40% for San Jose Earthquakes and 40% for Colorado Rapids, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

San Jose Earthquakes

LDDDW
Last 51W 3D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 6D 1L
25 Oct 2026A FC Dallas0-3
18 Oct 2026H Nashville SC1-1
15 Oct 2026A Real Salt Lake1-1
11 Oct 2026A Colorado Rapids1-1
27 Sep 2026H Portland Timbers3-1

Colorado Rapids

WDDDL
Last 51W 3D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 5D 2L
25 Oct 2026H Vancouver Whitecaps1-0
18 Oct 2026A Portland Timbers0-0
15 Oct 2026H Minnesota United FC2-2
11 Oct 2026H San Jose Earthquakes1-1
27 Sep 2026A Los Angeles Galaxy2-3
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 72% vs implied 62% · edge +10 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Load more odds for this section
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 72%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Colorado Rapids Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 52%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
Colorado Rapids to WinBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.9
Check odds @ 2.9
San Jose Earthquakes Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 52%
1.72
Check odds @ 1.72
DrawBet365 guide price · model 30%
3.7
Check odds @ 3.7
San Jose Earthquakes to WinBetfred guide price · model 42%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Both teams have earned 6 points recently, scoring and conceding around 1.2 goals per game. Their over 2.5 goals rate of 40% suggests a preference for controlled matches rather than open, high-scoring affairs. This recent form supports the likelihood of a low-scoring game in this fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%San Jose Earthquakes Over 2.5
40%Colorado Rapids Over 2.5
2.2H2H avg goals
Over the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.2, reflecting a trend towards modest scoring. This sample indicates a tempo and tactical balance that limits goal volume, reinforcing the case for Under 2.5 Goals in this upcoming fixture.

Loading deeper match data…