Football Stats Hub

Al Khaleej Saihat crestAl Khaleej Saihat
v
Al-Hazm crestAl-Hazm

Pro League | Thu 29 Oct, 14:35

Al Khaleej Saihat v Al-Hazm Stats

Data last updated: Wed 28 Oct 2026, 09:06 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Al Khaleej Saihat hosts Al-Hazm in a Pro League clash where recent form and tactical dynamics favor the home side. Al Khaleej Saihat has accumulated 12 points and sits 10th, showing more stability compared to 13th-placed Al-Hazm with 10 points. The home team’s offensive approach, combined with Al-Hazm’s defensive vulnerabilities, sets the stage for a competitive match with Al Khaleej Saihat expected to leverage home advantage and sharper attacking play to secure victory.

BT4Y best bet

Al Khaleej Saihat to Win

  • Al Khaleej Saihat holds a strong model win probability of 73.2%, significantly above the implied market chance of 48.8%.
  • Recent form shows Al Khaleej Saihat with 8 points from last matches versus Al-Hazm’s 2, indicating momentum advantage.
  • Al Khaleej Saihat averages 11 shots per game with 3 on target, supported by key attackers J.
  • Head-to-head matches average 3.25 goals, suggesting open play but Al Khaleej Saihat’s defensive solidity balances the contest.
  • Al Khaleej Saihat ranks higher in the league standings, reflecting better overall season performance and consistency.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model strongly favors Al Khaleej Saihat to win based on a 73.2% calculated chance, reflecting superior recent form, attacking efficiency, and league standing. The team’s offensive players like J. Benegas contribute high shot volumes and goal threat, while Al-Hazm’s defensive record and lower points tally weaken their position. This combination creates a clear statistical edge for Al Khaleej Saihat, making the win selection a confident choice without price sensitivity concerns.

Model Win Probability73.2%
Strong positive
Recent Form PointsAl Khaleej Saihat 8 vs Al-Hazm 2
Strong positive
Shots per Game (Al Khaleej Saihat)11 shots, 3 on target
Positive
League Standings Position10th vs 13th
Positive
Head-to-Head Average Goals3.25 goals per match
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Al Khaleej Saihat’s superior recent form and attacking firepower make them the logical choice to win this fixture. Their higher league position and greater shot volume underline a team in better rhythm, likely to capitalize on Al-Hazm’s defensive weaknesses and secure the three points.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Attacking strength and home advantage

“Al Khaleej Saihat’s attacking duo, especially J. King’s consistent goal threat, combined with their home advantage, positions them strongly to control the game and convert chances against a struggling Al-Hazm defense.”

Key Data Signals

Al Khaleej Saihat to Win evidence

Al Khaleej Saihat holds a strong model win probability of 73.2%, significantly above the implied market chance of 48.8%.

Recent form shows Al Khaleej Saihat with 8 points from last matches versus Al-Hazm’s 2, indicating momentum advantage.

Al Khaleej Saihat averages 11 shots per game with 3 on target, supported by key attackers J.

Head-to-head matches average 3.25 goals, suggesting open play but Al Khaleej Saihat’s defensive solidity balances the contest.

What To Watch In The Data

Al Khaleej Saihat to Win notes

  • The last eight head-to-head matches average 3.25 goals, suggesting an open and attacking fixture historically.
  • This trend supports the likelihood of goal-scoring opportunities, though Al Khaleej Saihat’s defensive discipline may moderate the total goals scored.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Al Khaleej Saihat1.6
Avg goals scored
Al-Hazm1.2
Al Khaleej Saihat1.6
Avg goals conceded
Al-Hazm2
Al Khaleej Saihat80%
BTTS rate
Al-Hazm80%
Al Khaleej Saihat40%
Over 2.5 goals
Al-Hazm60%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 73% vs implied 58% · edge +15 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Load more odds for this section
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 59%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 63%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 27%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
2
Check odds @ 2
Both teams have an 80% BTTS rate, indicating frequent goal exchanges. However, Al Khaleej Saihat’s lower over 2.5 goals rate (40%) compared to Al-Hazm’s 60% suggests a match with goals but potentially controlled scoring from the home side, balancing attacking intent with defensive caution.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickAl Khaleej Saihat to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 64% vs implied 49% · edge +15 pts
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Load more odds for this section
Al Khaleej Saihat Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 73%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 75%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
The 63.8% for Al Khaleej Saihat to Win sits against roughly 48.8% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Al Khaleej Saihat have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 2 for Al-Hazm.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Al Khaleej Saihat

LWWDD
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 5D 3L
23 Oct 2026A Al-Ahli Jeddah1-4
18 Oct 2026A Al-Fateh3-2
15 Oct 2026H Al-Fayha2-0
10 Oct 2026A Al-Ettifaq1-1
12 Sep 2026H Al-Nassr1-1

Al-Hazm

DLLDL
Last 50W 2D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 4D 5L
22 Oct 2026H Al-Fayha2-2
19 Oct 2026A Al-Hilal Saudi FC0-1
15 Oct 2026H Al-Fateh2-3
10 Oct 2026H NEOM1-1
11 Sep 2026A Al-Ahli Jeddah1-3
Market aligned with main pickAl Khaleej Saihat to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 64% vs implied 49% · edge +15 pts
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Load more odds for this section
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 86%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Al Khaleej Saihat Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
Al Khaleej Saihat’s recent form is markedly stronger, securing 8 points compared to Al-Hazm’s 2 in recent matches. This momentum advantage reflects better offensive output and defensive resilience, positioning Al Khaleej Saihat as favorites to maintain winning ways at home.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Al Khaleej Saihat Over 2.5
60%Al-Hazm Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
The last eight head-to-head matches average 3.25 goals, suggesting an open and attacking fixture historically. This trend supports the likelihood of goal-scoring opportunities, though Al Khaleej Saihat’s defensive discipline may moderate the total goals scored.

Loading deeper match data…