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Charlotte crestCharlotte
v
CF Montreal crestCF Montreal

Major League Soccer | Wed 28 Oct, 23:30

Charlotte v CF Montreal Stats

Data last updated: Tue 27 Oct 2026, 07:54 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Charlotte and CF Montreal meet in a Major League Soccer clash where both teams have shown tendencies for open play and attacking intent. Charlotte ranks 5th with 47 points, while CF Montreal sits 15th with 25 points, indicating contrasting league positions but similar recent form with 4 points each from their last matches. Both sides average around five corners per game, reflecting active wing play and sustained pressure. The fixture promises territorial battles and set-piece opportunities, with Charlotte's slightly higher attacking output and Montreal's resilience shaping an intriguing contest underpinned by corner count potential.

BT4Y best bet

Over 9.5 Corners

  • Charlotte averages 5.2 corners per game, CF Montreal 5.0, combining for over 10 corners on average.
  • Both teams have attacking styles that generate frequent wing play and set-piece chances.
  • Recent form shows both sides earning 4 points recently, suggesting competitive intensity.
  • Model projects a 69% chance for Over 9.5 Corners, indicating strong statistical backing.
  • The match features players like P. Saint-Maximin who influence attacking pressure and corner creation.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies Over 9.5 Corners as a strong value bet with a 69% chance against an implied 55.6%, highlighting a 13.4% . Both Charlotte and CF Montreal average around five corners per match, reflecting active wing play and sustained attacking pressure. Recent form data confirms high corner counts, and player roles such as P. Owusu's goal threat and A. Saint-Maximin's key passes contribute to territorial control and set-piece opportunities. This combination of tactical style and statistical corner frequency supports the likelihood of surpassing 9.5 corners in this fixture.

Model Chance69% model chance vs 55.6% implied (+13.4 pts)
Strong positive
Average CornersCharlotte 5.2, CF Montreal 5.0 per game
Strong positive
Recent FormBoth teams recently competitive, maintaining corner pressure
Positive
Player InfluenceAttacking players create wide pressure and set-piece chances
Positive
Value Edge69% model chance vs 55.6% implied (+13.4 pts)
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect a high-tempo match with both Charlotte and CF Montreal pushing wide and creating multiple corner opportunities. Charlotte's higher league position and attacking intent combined with Montreal's resilience suggest a contest rich in set-piece chances. The statistical corner averages and player roles reinforce Over 9.5 Corners as a compelling angle for this fixture.

Main risk

Corner volume can be sterile if territory does not become shots, crosses or repeat box entries.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Corners market

“This fixture's corner count is driven by both teams' active wing play and sustained attacking pressure, making Over 9.5 Corners a well-supported selection from a tactical and statistical perspective.”

Key Data Signals

Over 9.5 Corners evidence

Charlotte averages 5.2 corners per game, CF Montreal 5.0, combining for over 10 corners on average.

Both teams have attacking styles that generate frequent wing play and set-piece chances.

Recent form shows both sides earning 4 points recently, suggesting competitive intensity.

Model projects a 69% chance for Over 9.5 Corners, indicating strong statistical backing.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 9.5 Corners notes

  • In the last nine head-to-head meetings, the average goals tally is 2.33, indicating moderately open games.
  • Both teams' recent matches show high over 2.5 goals rates, especially Charlotte at 80%, suggesting attacking tempo and transitions that often lead to corners.
  • This trend panel highlights the fixture's potential for multiple attacking phases and set-piece opportunities.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Charlotte1.6
Avg goals scored
CF Montreal1
Charlotte2.2
Avg goals conceded
CF Montreal1.8
Charlotte80%
BTTS rate
CF Montreal60%
Charlotte80%
Over 2.5 goals
CF Montreal60%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 64% · edge +12.3 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Load more odds for this section
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 43%
2.7
Check odds @ 2.7
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 79%
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 61%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 43%
2
Check odds @ 2
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 28%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Both teams have moderate goal-scoring records with Charlotte averaging 1.6 goals and Montreal 1.0 per game. Their BTTS rates differ, with Charlotte at 80% and Montreal at 60%, indicating Charlotte's matches often see goals at both ends. This attacking openness contributes to more attacking phases and set-piece situations, indirectly supporting a higher corner count.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 64% · edge +12.3 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Load more odds for this section
CF Montreal Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 43%
3.55
Check odds @ 3.55
CF Montreal to WinBet365 guide price · model 32%
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 61%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Charlotte Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 56%
1.27
Check odds @ 1.27
Charlotte to WinBetMGM guide price · model 46%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
The 69% for Over 9.5 Corners sits against roughly 55.6% implied by the current price (+13.4 pts). Charlotte lead the corner sample at 5.2 per match, with CF Montreal lower at 5.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Charlotte

LDLWL
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 3D 3L
25 Oct 2026A Portland Timbers2-3
17 Oct 2026A Philadelphia Union2-2
15 Oct 2026A Columbus Crew1-3
11 Oct 2026H FC Dallas3-2
27 Sep 2026H Chicago Fire0-1

CF Montreal

LDLLW
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 1D 8L
24 Oct 2026H Nashville SC0-2
18 Oct 2026A Seattle Sounders1-1
15 Oct 2026H Atlanta United FC0-3
10 Oct 2026A Toronto FC1-2
27 Sep 2026H FC Cincinnati3-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 53% vs implied 38% · edge +15 pts
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Load more odds for this section
CF Montreal Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 43%
3.55
Check odds @ 3.55
CF Montreal to WinBet365 guide price · model 32%
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
Charlotte Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 56%
1.27
Check odds @ 1.27
Charlotte to WinBetMGM guide price · model 46%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Recent form shows both teams earning 4 points in their last matches, maintaining competitive intensity. Charlotte's over 2.5 goals rate is 80%, while Montreal's is 60%, indicating open games that often involve attacking phases leading to corners. This recent momentum supports the likelihood of sustained wing play and set-piece creation in this fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Charlotte Over 2.5
60%CF Montreal Over 2.5
2.33H2H avg goals
In the last nine head-to-head meetings, the average goals tally is 2.33, indicating moderately open games. Both teams' recent matches show high over 2.5 goals rates, especially Charlotte at 80%, suggesting attacking tempo and transitions that often lead to corners. This trend panel highlights the fixture's potential for multiple attacking phases and set-piece opportunities.

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