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Club America crestClub America
v
Club Tijuana crestClub Tijuana

Liga MX | Thu 29 Oct, 03:00

Club America v Club Tijuana Stats

Data last updated: Wed 28 Oct 2026, 02:10 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Club America face Club Tijuana in Liga MX on Thu 29 Oct, 03:00. Club America come in with 10 recent points and 3.2 goals per match, while Club Tijuana have 6 points and 1.8 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Over 8.5 Corners

  • At 1.67, Over 8.5 Corners implies roughly 60%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 75%.
  • Club Tijuana lead the corner sample at 6.2 per match, with Club America lower at 4.8.
  • Corner value is stronger when the territory also produces shots: Club America average 16.8 and Club Tijuana average 14.6.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 75% for Over 8.5 Corners sits against roughly 60% implied by the current price. Club Tijuana lead the corner sample at 6.2 per match, with Club America lower at 4.8.

Model chance vs price75% model chance against roughly 60% implied
Strong positive
Club Tijuana lead the corner sample at 6.2 per match.Visible data support
Positive
Corner value is stronger when the territory also produces shots.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Over 8.5 Corners is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Club Tijuana lead the corner sample at 6.2 per match, with Club America lower at 4.8. Corner volume can be sterile if territory does not become shots, crosses or repeat box entries.

Main risk

Corner volume can be sterile if territory does not become shots, crosses or repeat box entries.

Key Data Signals

Over 8.5 Corners evidence

Club Tijuana lead the corner sample at 6.2 per match, with Club America lower at 4.8.

Corner value is stronger when the territory also produces shots: Club America average 16.8 and Club Tijuana average 14.6.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 8.5 Corners notes

  • Use corner averages alongside shot pressure to separate territory from real threat.
  • Check whether wide attacks are producing repeat deliveries rather than harmless possession.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Club America3.2
Avg goals scored
Club Tijuana1.8
Club America2
Avg goals conceded
Club Tijuana1.4
Club America100%
BTTS rate
Club Tijuana80%
Club America80%
Over 2.5 goals
Club Tijuana60%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 85%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 48%
3
Check odds @ 3
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 37%
2
Check odds @ 2
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 75% vs implied 60% · edge +15 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
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BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 71%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Club America to WinBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Club America Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 75%
1.32
Check odds @ 1.32
Club Tijuana Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Club Tijuana to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
5.25
Check odds @ 5.25
Over 8.5 Corners is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Club America

LWWDW
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 106W 2D 2L
26 Oct 2026H CF Pachuca1-2
22 Oct 2026A Atlas5-2
18 Oct 2026A Leon5-3
11 Oct 2026H Monterrey1-1
28 Sep 2026A Necaxa4-2

Club Tijuana

WDDDL
Last 51W 3D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 4D 3L
26 Oct 2026H Santos Laguna4-1
22 Oct 2026A Toluca2-2
17 Oct 2026H Puebla0-0
11 Oct 2026A FC Juarez1-1
26 Sep 2026H Atlas2-3
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 86% vs implied 86% · edge +0.5 pts
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
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Club America to WinBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Club America Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 75%
1.32
Check odds @ 1.32
Club Tijuana Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 46%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Club Tijuana to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
5.25
Check odds @ 5.25
DrawBet365 guide price · model 23%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Club America Over 2.5
60%Club Tijuana Over 2.5
2.7H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Club America sit at 80% and Club Tijuana sit at 60% with the H2H average at 2.7 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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