Football Stats Hub

Moreirense crestMoreirense
v
AVS crestAVS

Primeira Liga | Sat 16 May, 15:30

Moreirense v AVS Stats

Data last updated: Fri 05 Jun 2026, 09:18 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Moreirense face AVS in Primeira Liga on Sat 16 May, 15:30. Moreirense come in with 7 recent points and 1.2 goals per match, while AVS have 9 points and 1.8 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

AVS to Win

  • At 4, AVS Win implies roughly 25%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 57%.
  • AVS have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 7 for Moreirense.
  • AVS have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.2 conceded per match, which helps the AVS Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Moreirense sit 7 in the table, while AVS sit 18, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 57% for AVS Win sits against roughly 25% implied by the current price. AVS have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 7 for Moreirense.

Model chance vs price57% model chance against roughly 25% implied
Strong positive
AVS have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points.Visible data support
Positive
AVS have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.2 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: AVS Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers AVS have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 7 for Moreirense. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

AVS Win evidence

AVS have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 7 for Moreirense.

AVS have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.2 conceded per match, which helps the AVS Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Moreirense sit 7 in the table, while AVS sit 18, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

AVS Win notes

    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Moreirense3.2
    Avg corners for
    AVS4.6
    Moreirense8.8
    Avg total corners
    AVS11
    Moreirense3
    Avg yellow cards
    AVS2.8
    Moreirense9
    Avg shots
    AVS13.8
    Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Model 69% vs implied 50% · edge +18.7 pts
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

    Continue the research

    Useful next reads

    Primeira Liga fixtures and predictionsMoreirense v AVS predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Moreirense1.2
    Avg goals scored
    AVS1.8
    Moreirense1.8
    Avg goals conceded
    AVS1.2
    Moreirense60%
    BTTS rate
    AVS100%
    Moreirense40%
    Over 2.5 goals
    AVS60%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 57% · edge +18.9 pts
    1.75
    Check odds @ 1.75
    Load more odds for this section
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 59%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 63%
    1.25
    Check odds @ 1.25
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 45%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 27%
    3
    Check odds @ 3
    BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickAVS to WinBet365 guide price · Model 57% vs implied 25% · edge +32 pts
    4
    Check odds @ 4
    Load more odds for this section
    AVS Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 66%
    2.6
    Check odds @ 2.6
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
    1.75
    Check odds @ 1.75
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 45%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    AVS to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Moreirense

    LWLWD
    Last 52W 1D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 102W 3D 5L
    11 May 2026A Tondela0-2
    02 May 2026H Estrela3-2
    25 Apr 2026A Benfica1-4
    20 Apr 2026H Estoril1-0
    10 Apr 2026A Famalicao1-1

    AVS

    WWDDD
    Last 52W 3D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 102W 6D 2L
    10 May 2026H FC Porto3-1
    02 May 2026A Nacional2-1
    26 Apr 2026H Sporting CP1-1
    17 Apr 2026A Rio Ave2-2
    11 Apr 2026H Guimaraes1-1
    Market aligned with main pickAVS to WinBet365 guide price · Model 57% vs implied 25% · edge +32 pts
    4
    Check odds @ 4
    Load more odds for this section
    AVS Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 66%
    2.6
    Check odds @ 2.6
    Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 82%
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    2Moreirense wins
    1Draws
    0AVS wins
    03 Jan 2026AVS v Moreirense0-2
    17 May 2025AVS v Moreirense0-3
    04 Jan 2025Moreirense v AVS1-1
    Market aligned with main pickAVS to WinBet365 guide price · Model 57% vs implied 25% · edge +32 pts
    4
    Check odds @ 4
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
    1.75
    Check odds @ 1.75
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 45%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    The head-to-head sample gives context for AVS to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    Primeira Liga

    Moreirense34
    Played
    AVS34
    Moreirense1.1
    Avg goals for
    AVS0.8
    Moreirense1.4
    Avg goals against
    AVS2
    Moreirense9
    Clean sheets
    AVS5
    Market aligned with main pickAVS to WinBet365 guide price · Model 57% vs implied 25% · edge +32 pts
    4
    Check odds @ 4
    Load more odds for this section
    AVS Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 66%
    2.6
    Check odds @ 2.6
    Season data supports AVS to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    7Moreirense433412715-12
    18AVS213431219-40
    Moreirense sit in position 7, while AVS sit in position 18, so table pressure belongs in the AVS Win assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    40%Moreirense Over 2.5
    60%AVS Over 2.5
    2.33H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Moreirense sit at 40% and AVS sit at 60% with the H2H average at 2.33 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

    Moreirense v AVS prediction

    Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

    More stats pages

    Browse football stats pages

    Open the main stats hub for the latest fixture dashboards.

    Competition and hubs

    Primeira Liga hubPrimeira Liga fixtures and predictionsMoreirense v AVS predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboard

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

    View match centre