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Al Taawon crestAl Taawon
v
Al-Qadisiyah FC crestAl-Qadisiyah FC

Pro League | Tue 20 Oct, 16:10

Al Taawon v Al-Qadisiyah FC Stats

Data last updated: Mon 19 Oct 2026, 09:23 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Al-Qadisiyah FC arrives at this Pro League fixture in commanding form, leading the standings with 22 points and a potent attack averaging 3 goals per game recently. In contrast, Al Taawon struggles near the bottom with just 4 points and a fragile defense conceding over 2 goals per match. The away side's offensive efficiency and defensive resilience set the tactical tone, while Al Taawon faces pressure to improve results at home. This clash pits a confident, high-scoring Al-Qadisiyah FC against a team fighting to stabilize, creating an intriguing contest with clear momentum advantage for the visitors.

BT4Y best bet

Al-Qadisiyah FC Draw No Bet

  • Al-Qadisiyah FC tops the league with 22 points, Al Taawon has 4 points near relegation zone
  • Al-Qadisiyah FC averages 3 goals per game recently; Al Taawon scores 0.2 goals per game
  • Al-Qadisiyah FC concedes 1.2 goals per game, Al Taawon concedes 2.2
  • Al-Qadisiyah FC has 60% BTTS rate and 80% Over 2.5 goals rate, indicating open games
  • Al-Qadisiyah FC's M. Kudus leads with 6.55 shots and 4.91 shots on target per 90 minutes

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model strongly favors Al-Qadisiyah FC Draw No Bet with a 76% chance, reflecting their dominant league position and superior recent form. The 1.95 offer positive value given the implied chance of 51.3%. Al-Qadisiyah FC's attacking prowess, led by prolific shooters like M. Kudus, and relatively solid defense contrast sharply with Al Taawon's struggles, justifying in the away side avoiding defeat. The data quality is robust for both teams, supporting a reliable prediction without major sample limitations.

Model chance66.3% model chance vs 51.3% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Implied chance vs model66.3% model chance vs 51.3% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Recent formAl-Qadisiyah FC strong, Al Taawon weak
Strong positive
Player attacking statsM. Kudus high shot volume and accuracy
Positive
Data qualityComplete for both teams
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Al-Qadisiyah FC's superior offensive firepower and league leadership make them the logical choice to avoid defeat against a struggling Al Taawon side. Their consistent goal threat and better defensive record provide a tactical and statistical edge that should see them at least secure a draw, if not a win, in this matchup.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome and value

“Al-Qadisiyah FC's attacking efficiency and league control give them a clear advantage, making the Draw No Bet a strategically sound choice in this fixture.”

Key Data Signals

Al-Qadisiyah FC Draw No Bet evidence

Al-Qadisiyah FC tops the league with 22 points, Al Taawon has 4 points near relegation zone

Al-Qadisiyah FC averages 3 goals per game recently; Al Taawon scores 0.2 goals per game

Al-Qadisiyah FC concedes 1.2 goals per game, Al Taawon concedes 2.2

Al-Qadisiyah FC has 60% BTTS rate and 80% Over 2.5 goals rate, indicating open games

What To Watch In The Data

Al-Qadisiyah FC Draw No Bet notes

  • In the last ten head-to-head meetings, the average goals scored is 2.1 per game, indicating moderately open matches.
  • Al-Qadisiyah FC’s recent Over 2.5 goals rate of 80% suggests a high-tempo game with multiple scoring opportunities, supporting expectations for an attacking contest.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Al Taawon0.2
Avg goals scored
Al-Qadisiyah FC3
Al Taawon2.2
Avg goals conceded
Al-Qadisiyah FC1.2
Al Taawon20%
BTTS rate
Al-Qadisiyah FC60%
Al Taawon40%
Over 2.5 goals
Al-Qadisiyah FC80%
Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · Model 50% vs implied 37% · edge +12.7 pts
2.7
Check odds @ 2.7
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BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 47%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 57%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 72%
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 36%
2
Check odds @ 2
Al-Qadisiyah FC's recent matches show an 80% rate of Over 2.5 goals and 60% BTTS, suggesting open, attacking games. Al Taawon’s low scoring and higher concession rates imply defensive vulnerabilities that could be exploited, supporting expectations for multiple goals and both teams scoring.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickAl-Qadisiyah FC Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 66% vs implied 51% · edge +15 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Load more odds for this section
Over 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 71%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Al-Qadisiyah FC to WinBetfred guide price · model 70%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 57%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
The 66.3% for Al-Qadisiyah FC Draw No Bet sits against roughly 51.3% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Al-Qadisiyah FC have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points from the sample compared with 2 for Al Taawon.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Al Taawon

DLLLD
Last 50W 2D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 4D 5L
17 Oct 2026A Al Diriyah1-1
11 Oct 2026A Al Shabab0-3
12 Sep 2026H Al-Hilal Saudi FC0-6
08 Sep 2026A Al-Hazm0-1
05 Sep 2026H Al-Fateh0-0

Al-Qadisiyah FC

WWDWW
Last 54W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 107W 1D 1L
16 Oct 2026H Abha2-1
09 Oct 2026A Al Kholood5-0
11 Sep 2026H Al-Ettifaq3-3
08 Sep 2026H Al-Ahli Jeddah3-2
03 Sep 2026A Al Diriyah2-0
Market aligned with main pickAl-Qadisiyah FC Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 66% vs implied 51% · edge +15 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
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Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 84%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Al-Qadisiyah FC to WinBetfred guide price · model 70%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Al-Qadisiyah FC's recent form is excellent, accumulating 13 points with a strong goal-scoring record, while Al Taawon has managed only 2 points and scored 0.2 goals per game. This contrast underscores the visitors’ momentum and advantage heading into the match.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Al Taawon Over 2.5
80%Al-Qadisiyah FC Over 2.5
2.1H2H avg goals
In the last ten head-to-head meetings, the average goals scored is 2.1 per game, indicating moderately open matches. Al-Qadisiyah FC’s recent Over 2.5 goals rate of 80% suggests a high-tempo game with multiple scoring opportunities, supporting expectations for an attacking contest.

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